Coronavirus 2019-nCoV

[C0|dB|00ded]

LOL. But that part of the article didn't fit the narrative. Kinda waters down the "evolution", huh?

What narrative. Did you even read the article you silly person? You might learn somethin' new if you did. The website is basically agnostic politically.

[wufan]

"Experts cautioned that this patient’s case could be an outlier"

Of course you two hopefuls cling to the above conjecture and totally disregard the following FACT:

"This is the world’s first documentation of a patient who recovered from Covid-19 but got another episode of Covid-19 afterwards,"

And this is why I have had an accuracy of 99.99% on Coronavirus issues while ya'll are batting around .500 (the times you agreed with me) :P

There have been more reported cases of reinfections, they just haven't been documented as separate strains. Of course there are going to be reinfections, the common cold is a coronavirus and if we don't become immune to the ever-evolving cold, we aren't going to be permanently immune to Covid-19 either. All we can hope for is ENOUGH immunity to rid it from the community at large. Perhaps we will have multiple vaccine shots throughout the year as it mutates. We have now proven we can produce vaccines in a fraction of the time as in the past. Perhaps we'll be working on the next vaccine iteration as soon as the one in the fall is released.

The point of the article is to inform ya'll on what I already know. That this is an insidious, alien virus and quite unpredictable. It's best to keep your eyes wide open to new information lest you put yourself and your family in unnecessary harm due to your hubris.

P.S. I didn't even see the doctor's disclaimer about it being an outlier. It was generous of her to say as a gesture of calm and good will, but doctors and scientists have understand the issue quite well from the moment it was realized we were dealing with a coronavirus. They are slippery...

P.P.S. Again, the point you should have taken from my post is what I said on the potential greater vaccinal-immunal effect towards the goal of herd immunity versus the community spread and mild asymptomatic infections. I don't flap my gums 'fer nuttin'. There's pearls between them thar lines...

1 in 24 million might be an outlier. What statistical model are you using?

[C0|dB|00ded]

1 in 24 million might be an outlier. What statistical model are you using?

If you would be willing to go forward with the hypothesis that this could be #1 out of 24 million, and you could do so with a straight face and a background in the sciences... I doubt any models I offered would convince you of anything.

Hint: it's the nature of the coronavirus to be immunity evasive.
Bonus hint: there are already multiple reports of "cleared infections" returning positives months later.
Xtra-bonus hint: rational minds would not deduce that we just got lucky catching patient one in 24 million.

Let's focus on the good news shall we? The 2nd go-around was milder in this case.

[ShockerFever]

Also from the article, that Cold forgot to mention:

Why would Cold omit that part of the article? Weird.

It is a known fact that when viruses mutate, they weaken.

1 case out of 24 million is a cause for concern and is now threatening the fate of the species.

[wufan]

If you would be willing to go forward with the hypothesis that this could be #1 out of 24 million, and you could do so with a straight face and a background in the sciences... I doubt any models I offered would convince you of anything.

Hint: it's the nature of the coronavirus to be immunity evasive.
Bonus hint: there are already multiple reports of "cleared infections" returning positives months later.
Xtra-bonus hint: rational minds would not deduce that we just got lucky catching patient one in 24 million.

Let's focus on the good news shall we? The 2nd go-around was milder in this case.

What statistical model are you using where 1 in 24 million isn’t an outlier? If you don’t believe that number is correct, then what is the correct number and how did you arrive at it? Once you present that number, run it through a statistical model and tell me the statistical likelihood.

Your fantastical fairytales aren’t fit for my 8 year old.

[C0|dB|00ded]

It is a known fact that when viruses mutate, they weaken.

Incorrect generalization/assumption.

[ShockerFever]

Incorrect generalization/assumption.

Of course it is.

[Shockm]

Dr. Marc Siegel NYU Langone Health said this morning that a speculation that the Carona Virus could come back again in the fall comes from the 1918 Spanish Flu which mutated and came back. He stated further that they don't know.

It sounds like generalizations, and assumptions and the speculation is likely to be incorrect as correct. . I'm sure there will be a lot of rumors, anxieties, and mental breakdowns regarding this possibility.

[WuDrWu]

Perhaps I missed this as well, but isn't this one case also asymptomatic?

I'm literally shaking in my boots. 1 in 24 million, and if it weren't for testing, wouldn't even know it.

And I'll remind everyone I'm a gasoline soaked rag with Covid being a lit match.

[wichshock65]

Perhaps I missed this as well, but isn't this one case also asymptomatic?

I'm literally shaking in my boots. 1 in 24 million, and if it weren't for testing, wouldn't even know it.

And I'll remind everyone I'm a gasoline soaked rag with Covid being a lit match.

Rest easy Doc. Better odds of something happening to you are:

• Getting a royal flush in your first hand of poker – 1 in 649,740
• Dating a supermodel – 1 in 880,000
• Becoming an astronaut – 1 in 12,100,000
• Winning an Oscar – 1 in 11,500
• Having identical quadruplets – 1 in 15,000,000
• Winning an Olympic gold medal – 1 in 662,000
• Finding a pearl in an oyster – 1 in 12,000
• Writing a New York Tomes best seller – 1 in 220

If you're going to worry about something happening, worry about your dating a supermodel. HIGH MAINTENANCE!

[WuDrWu]

Rest easy Doc. Better odds of something happening to you are:

• Getting a royal flush in your first hand of poker – 1 in 14
• Dating a supermodel – Even money
• Becoming an astronaut – Been there
• Winning an Oscar – Could, but not interested.
• Having identical quadruplets – All offspring will be perfect
• Winning an Olympic gold medal – In how many different events?
• Finding a pearl in an oyster – Make my own.
• Writing a New York Tomes best seller – Own the Old Grey Lady

Supermodels are convenient backups

FIFC

[C0|dB|00ded]

Perhaps I missed this as well, but isn't this one case also asymptomatic?

I'm literally shaking in my boots. 1 in 24 million, and if it weren't for testing, wouldn't even know it.

And I'll remind everyone I'm a gasoline soaked rag with Covid being a lit match.

Congratulations! That makes you irrational!

[WstateU]

Rest easy Doc. Better odds of something happening to you are:

• Getting a royal flush in your first hand of poker – 1 in 649,740
• Dating a supermodel – 1 in 880,000
• Becoming an astronaut – 1 in 12,100,000
• Winning an Oscar – 1 in 11,500
• Having identical quadruplets – 1 in 15,000,000
• Winning an Olympic gold medal – 1 in 662,000
• Finding a pearl in an oyster – 1 in 12,000
• Writing a New York Tomes best seller – 1 in 220

If you're going to worry about something happening, worry about your dating a supermodel. HIGH MAINTENANCE!

[MoValley John]

Rest easy Doc. Better odds of something happening to you are:

• Getting a royal flush in your first hand of poker – 1 in 649,740
• Dating a supermodel – 1 in 880,000
• Becoming an astronaut – 1 in 12,100,000
• Winning an Oscar – 1 in 11,500
• Having identical quadruplets – 1 in 15,000,000
• Winning an Olympic gold medal – 1 in 662,000
• Finding a pearl in an oyster – 1 in 12,000
• Writing a New York Tomes best seller – 1 in 220

If you're going to worry about something happening, worry about your dating a supermodel. HIGH MAINTENANCE!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMRrNY0pxfM&app=desktop

[C0|dB|00ded]

Rest easy Doc. Better odds of something happening to you are:

• Getting a royal flush in your first hand of poker – 1 in 649,740
• Dating a supermodel – 1 in 880,000
• Becoming an astronaut – 1 in 12,100,000
• Winning an Oscar – 1 in 11,500
• Having identical quadruplets – 1 in 15,000,000
• Winning an Olympic gold medal – 1 in 662,000
• Finding a pearl in an oyster – 1 in 12,000
• Writing a New York Tomes best seller – 1 in 220

If you're going to worry about something happening, worry about your dating a supermodel. HIGH MAINTENANCE!

Sage advice my friend!