2016-17 Bracketology

[T.VuOP]

"Bracket Watch: Projecting the 68-team NCAA Tournament field" - Fox Sports

By Stewart Mandel
Published December 27, 2016

http://www.foxnews.com/sports/2016/12/27/bracket-watch-projecting-68-team-ncaa-tournament-field0.html

Wichita State (Automatic Qualifier from the MVC)

#9-Seed Projected

Now playing #8-Seed Maryland

Has us headed to Tulsa.


P.S. Kansas is the #1-seed in the same region.

Any sweat from either Phog.net or Chicken Hawk fans?

[ShockingButTrue]

Any sweat from either Phog.net or Chicken Hawk fans?

It goes like this: "Nah, we've already beaten Duke. No way a Valley team could ever beat us!"

[WSUwatcher]

Yep, SBT, Valley teams don't seem to scare The Flagship much when it comes to tournament play.

Beat 'em regularly, yes; scare 'em, no.

[WuShock Reaper]

Brecketology with Joe Lunardi
12/29/16 - Last Updated

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

West Region
Wichita State (Automatic Qualifier from the MVC)

#9-Seed Projected, no change in the seed line

Now playing #8-Seed Minnesota

Has us headed to Tulsa.


P.S. Baylor #1 Seed for the West Region

Kansas (Midwest Region) is the #1-seed in the same pod location. That would make for a very tough ticket to have #1 seeds in the same opening round location.

[shock-it-to-me]

I know he has us as mvc auto qualifier, because we are the obvious choice to win the conference tournament, but a #9 seed is still well within at large range, correct? Where is the last at large typically seeded?

[shocktheheart]

I know he has us as mvc auto qualifier, because we are the obvious choice to win the conference tournament, but a #9 seed is still well within at large range, correct? Where is the last at large typically seeded?

Last at large is usually a 11 or 12

[Jhook89]

I know he has us as mvc auto qualifier, because we are the obvious choice to win the conference tournament, but a #9 seed is still well within at large range, correct? Where is the last at large typically seeded?

11. As we saw last year, they try to get the last 4 teams who got in to play the 2 play-in games.

[Play Angry]

Seed of Last At-Large Teams in the Field During the 68 Team Era:

2016: 11
2015: 11
2014: 12
2013: 13
2012: 14
2011: 12

[MadaboutWu]

Of course if we don't win three games in St. Louis Lunardi would drop us from the 9 line (assuming our projection plays out the rest of the way as he thinks).

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

It all depends on how many regular season MVC losses WSU suffers.

18-0 or 17-1 and an at-large is secure no matter what happens in St. Louis.
16-2 is probably good enough, but I wouldn't be relaxed until I saw WSU's name announced during the selection show.
15-3 and I don't think WSU can afford a 4th loss to a Valley team in St. Louis.

I'm guessing Lunardi's 9 seed assumes 16-2 and 3-0 in St. Louis

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

WSU is potentially just a couple of crap losses by ISUr away from having ZERO top 100 games in conference play. Ugghh.

[Rocky Mountain Shock]

However, if we continue winning conference games, it's likely we will move up a seed line or two, giving us a slightly larger margin of error.

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

However, if we continue winning conference games, it's likely we will move up a seed line or two, giving us a slightly larger margin of error.

WSU will be a double digit favorite in 2/3rds of the MVC games. To earn something better than a 9 seed, the Shox need to do more than "continue winning", they need to be near perfect. Winning 6 or 7 and then losing 1 is basically a wash. Even 15-2 from here on out does very little to help. Probably gotta go 16-1 over the next 17 to get Lunardi to move the Shox up out of the 8/9 seed range.

[WuShock Reaper]

Based on RPI Forecast conference games, we have the following odds as of today:

http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Wichita%20St..html

13-5 (99.6%)
14-4 (97.9%)
15-3 (91.3%)
16-2 (74.2%)
17-1 (44.8%)
18-0 (14.3%)


Fixed my error, not sure what i was thinking.

[ShockerFever]

Since when do we play 16 games? Did we join the AAC already?