2009-2011 Louisville earned 1, 9, and 4 seeds. They won a mere 3 tourney games total from those positions. Then they went to the Final Four in 2012 and won the whole thing in 2013 with lots of Jr's/Sr's.
2007-2009 Duke earned 6, 2, and 2 seeds. They won a mere 3 tourney games total from those positions. Then they won the whole thing in 2010 with lots of Jr's/Sr's.
Heck, the Rush/Chalmers/Robinson trio led KU in mins/gm in both 2006 and 2008. They lost to Bradley in the first round in 2006. They won the title in 2008.
The correlation between early exists in past years and probability of advancing in the current year is very weak.
2007-2009 Duke earned 6, 2, and 2 seeds. They won a mere 3 tourney games total from those positions. Then they won the whole thing in 2010 with lots of Jr's/Sr's.
Heck, the Rush/Chalmers/Robinson trio led KU in mins/gm in both 2006 and 2008. They lost to Bradley in the first round in 2006. They won the title in 2008.
The correlation between early exists in past years and probability of advancing in the current year is very weak.
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