2015 Bracketology

[ShockerMas]

A lot of losses from the 4 seeds last year. San Diego St. is the only 4 seed with only 4 losses like ours THIS year. The 5 seeds from last year have 8, 6, 9 and 6 losses. Gonna look kinda weird on paper that Wichita St. with only 4 losses is gonna be a 5 seed more than likely. Seems like more of an overall W/L record of a 4 or even 3 seed. But I digress...the MVC sos kills it...I know. I'm sure there's been some 5 seeds with only 4 or less losses in the tourney's recent history no???

2011-12 Murray State: 6 seed entered NCAA's with 30-1 record (beat 11 seed then lost to Marquette; final record of 31-2)

[LandStander]

When wsu was a five seed in 2012 Louisville was a 4 with 9 loses, Indiana was a 4 with 8 loses, Baylor was 3 with 7 loses, Marquette was a 3 with 7 loses, etcetera. It works the other way too, Harvard was an 11 with 4 loses, UNC was a 1 with 5 loses and creighton was an 8 with 5 loses

[Play Angry]

Manhattan beats Iona to grab the MAAC auto bid.

Losses like this and Murray State vs. Belmont help us marginally, I suppose. A handful of strong would-be ~12 seeds have blown it in their conference tournaments to teams with 100+ RPIs. That, in turn, pushes some weaker would-have-been 13s or 14s up the ladder and potentially into a matchup with us.

The mind wanders when you have almost two weeks between games.

[HenryMuto]

It's not so much the losses as it is quality wins vs other at large quality teams and that is where you guys fall short this year. Just 1 win vs At large lock (Northern Iowa) and 1 win vs a bubble team (Tulsa) and both were at home. What is saving you from being an 8-11 seed is the fact you only have 4 losses and none are considered bad losses (outside top 100 RPI). That is what is going to keep you at the 5-6 range. Murray State has just 5 losses and they are not even going to likely make the NCAA tournament.
You have some other solid wins but those teams all fell flat this year like Seton Hall and Alabama and are heading to the NIT or worse.

[WuShock16]

The other thing that helps is a good collective non-conference strength of schedule. Yes, there are not any big-time lunkers on our resume, but most all are at least decent. Even those disappointments (Seton Hall, Alabama, and Memphis) are still in the Top 100, which counts for something. Murray State's problem (some their fault, but some not if they are being screwed with MTEs) is their bad non-conference schedule.

[shockmonster]

Joe currently has my ideal match up of 5 wsu vs 12 wofford in Jacksonville

Where is UNI seeded? A 5 seems fair.

[JB4WSU]

If the Shockers are a 5 seed this Sunday, which of the following possible 12 seeds do we think is a favorable match-up: Wofford, BYU, Stephen F Austin, Indiana, or Louisiana Tech?

[rrshock]

No byu

[Shox21]

If the Shockers are a 5 seed this Sunday, which of the following possible 12 seeds do we think is a favorable match-up: Wofford, BYU, Stephen F Austin, Indiana, or Louisiana Tech?

Not BYU or SFA

[MadaboutWu]

Do we have a rooting interest in Baylor vs. W. Va.? Either have a chance of being a six or worse?

[Dan]

I wanna play any team with young guards. Our vets will rattle their cages.

[shocks02]

Do we have a rooting interest in Baylor vs. W. Va.? Either have a chance of being a six or worse?

West Virginia has the worse resume of the two. Not sure the chances are good of us being seeded ahead of both of these teams. Probably best just to root against WV.

[shocks02]

Same kind of goes for the Louisville-UNC game. UNC has the weaker resume, IMO. I believe that even if UNC wins today, but loses tomorrow, that we'll still have the better resume. Therefore, go Heels!

[WstateU]

The other thing that helps is a good collective non-conference strength of schedule. Yes, there are not any big-time lunkers on our resume, but most all are at least decent. Even those disappointments (Seton Hall, Alabama, and Memphis) are still in the Top 100, which counts for something. Murray State's problem (some their fault, but some not if they are being screwed with MTEs) is their bad non-conference schedule.

Yes, no "lunkers", but some keepers...

[MadaboutWu]

Same kind of goes for the Louisville-UNC game. UNC has the weaker resume, IMO. I believe that even if UNC wins today, but loses tomorrow, that we'll still have the better resume. Therefore, go Heels!

I think there is no chance we slot ahead of Louisville so I'm pulling for them (which would be my general tendency anyway over dimploma-mill U).