2015 Bracketology

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

Root for Louisville over UNC and Baylor over WVU.

[shoxlax]

Hey Jamar:

List in order of most likely to least likely the site we will be sent to in your opinion. You drive me nuts sometimes but I trust you on this one. Need to start making travel plans and don't want to waste time on the unlikely

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

Outside of the 1 and 2 seeds, predicting which site a team will go to is nearly impossible. Too much comes down to the exact seed numbers. If you swap a 4 and a 5 seed, you might end up shuffling a whole number of teams around to different sites. Until sometime Friday or Saturday, not even the committee knows where they are likely to send a team like WSU.

[WuShock16]

Not that I am trying to speak for JH4P, but my two guesses of "not-happening" sites would be Charlotte and MAYBE Omaha. If Duke and Virginia are both 1's, then we wouldn't go there...if those are indeed the teams in Charlotte. In Omaha, Wisconsin is a solid 2 (with chance at 1, I suppose). KU seems pretty set at 2, although I personally think they need a win tomorrow to firm that up. If neither drops to a 3, I'd say we wouldn't go there, as we would have to be a 7.

Everything else seems fair game to me, with Seattle and Portland being very possible, I suppose, due to having fewer teams out west.

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

Good point WuShock16. If Duke and Virginia both go to Charlotte, then that site will need a pair of 8/9 games as well to match up with the 1/16 winners on the weekend. That would exclude WSU from being sent there unless one believes WSU could fall all the way to an 8 seed.

Of course, if Duke or Virginia get sent to Louisville (still not that far away), then Charlotte is once again a possibility for the Shox.

[Dave Stalwart]

Good point WuShock16. If Duke and Virginia both go to Charlotte, then that site will need a pair of 8/9 games as well to match up with the 1/16 winners on the weekend. That would exclude WSU from being sent there unless one believes WSU could fall all the way to an 8 seed.

Wait, did you mean RISE to an 8 seed?

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

No, I meant fall.

WSU should be a 5. It would be "falling" to an 8 seed. Falling describes going down in ranking, not down in seed number.

You fall if you get demoted.
You rise if you get promoted.

[Dave Stalwart]

No, I meant fall.

WSU should be a 5. It would be "falling" to an 8 seed. Falling describes going down in ranking, not down in seed number.

You fall if you get demoted.
You rise if you get promoted.

But I thought we were projected as barely on the bubble.

[WuShock16]

Of course, if Duke or Virginia get sent to Louisville (still not that far away), then Charlotte is once again a possibility for the Shox.

No way in hell Duke gets sent to Louisville as a high seed if there is already a site within the state of North Carolina. It's a birthright for them to play those kind of home games.

Virginia is a little more tricky. I think Charlotte is still the closest site from Charlottesville but others aren't much further (Pittsburgh, Columbus, and Louisville).

[shocks02]

I think there is no chance we slot ahead of Louisville so I'm pulling for them (which would be my general tendency anyway over dimploma-mill U).

If you compare resumes, I believe we should be seeded ahead of Louisville. It isn't even all that close...

[wufan]

But I thought we were projected as barely on the bubble.

That was only if we lost to UNI to end the season according to one lone prognosticator. It didn't happen and he went away.

[KC Shox]

If you compare resumes, I believe we should be seeded ahead of Louisville. It isn't even all that close...

Please explain.

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

If you compare resumes, I believe we should be seeded ahead of Louisville. It isn't even all that close...

Not even close? Your crazy.

Louisville . WSU
Top 25: 2-5 . 1-2
26-50:1-1 . 1-0
51-100: 7-1 . 5-2
101-200: 8-0 . 8-0
201+: 6-0 . 12-0

[Steeleshocker]

Not even close? Your crazy.

Louisville . WSU
Top 25: 2-5 . 1-2
26-50:1-1 . 1-0
51-100: 7-1 . 5-2
101-200: 8-0 . 8-0
201+: 6-0 . 12-0

Those are pretty close numbers, I'm guessing the committee would look at road and neutral records and non-con strength to break the tie.

[Anthroshock]

I don't particularly care where we end up, as long as it's a Friday-Sunday site.