Originally posted by Kung Wu
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Originally posted by Awesome Sauce Malone View Post
The "Preachy" Atheist is just as bad as the "Preachy" Evangelical. #BeBest
Last edited by ShockingButTrue; March 28, 2020, 02:52 AM.
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Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostI'm seeing a possible inflection point for New York! Unless my data is old -- can anybody confirm they see the same thing?Livin the dream
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Originally posted by wufan View Post
Haven’t seen the analysis online and not tracking individually, but the US curve is bending. When NY state is 40% of confirmed cases and NY metro is 30%, I would have to think it is true.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!
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Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostI'm seeing a possible inflection point for New York! Unless my data is old -- can anybody confirm they see the same thing?
NY Data.JPG
Here is the NY State data. Plotted before the stay at home order and after. You can see the effect of "Stay at Home Order"
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Originally posted by SB Shock View Post
NY Data.JPG
Here is the NY State data. Plotted before the stay at home order and after. You can see the effect of "Stay at Home Order"Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!
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Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
Hmm, I would have thought yesterday dropped a little, but my data may not be updated yet. Regardless, yes the stay at home seems to be helping quite a bit.
You can go to any state and look at historical data here:
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Originally posted by ShockerFever View PostFauci expecting 100,000 - 200,000 US deaths?
Dr. Fauci is predicting 1M infectuons.
Death rate will depend on how our hospitals hold up. The death rate is a lagging indicator, I would suspect it has something to do with the impact of morbidity and availability of good healthcare, but would probably be more dependent on good healthcare (ERs not getting overcrowded, availability of health equipment - especially ventillators).
If ERs get overwhelmed, we may see areas where the death rate is significantly over 2%. Also note in rural areas, the hospitals will get taxed much quicker due to small size.
I would think that people living in cities might have a chance to fare better, primarily because it will be easier for them to get resources. Rural areas willing have a tougher time getting those resources, especially if we have to employ a strategy of putting those resources where they will save the most lives. However, that is only my opinion, and I would bet that others may have effective arguments against my logic.
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