2020-21 Schedule

[Aargh]

Unless something unexpected happens, it's not likely that there will be a 2020-2021 basketball season.

There's a trial out of Oxford University (England) that is in human trials for a vaccine that they think will be effective. If EVERYTHING turns out with the best possible result, they will have a vaccine available by September, but there will be billions of people wanting that vaccine and they don't know the quantities they can produce.

To play games, players would have to take a test with a short result turnaround (15 - 30 minutes) before every game. Right now, Kansas is testing about .5% of the population and there are many anecdotal comments about the inability of people with significant symptoms to be tested, possibly due to a shortage of tests.

Tests could be used to isolate those infected or to allow basketball games to be played in empty gyms unless something major happens between now and November. I doubt that on-campus classes will start this year. Will basketball practice be allowed? Basketball doesn't work well with 6' separation between players.

[Shockm]

This discussion has been ongoing for a while and I don’t see much that is new. No school or sports for a year? We still don’t know.

Last week kwch had had a story that WSU was planning on school next fall. They also would provide on line classes for students who don’t want to come to school but we all know that they don’t usually offer as many classes on line.

[shocks02]

Unless something unexpected happens, it's not likely that there will be a 2020-2021 basketball season.

There's a trial out of Oxford University (England) that is in human trials for a vaccine that they think will be effective. If EVERYTHING turns out with the best possible result, they will have a vaccine available by September, but there will be billions of people wanting that vaccine and they don't know the quantities they can produce.

To play games, players would have to take a test with a short result turnaround (15 - 30 minutes) before every game. Right now, Kansas is testing about .5% of the population and there are many anecdotal comments about the inability of people with significant symptoms to be tested, possibly due to a shortage of tests.

Tests could be used to isolate those infected or to allow basketball games to be played in empty gyms unless something major happens between now and November. I doubt that on-campus classes will start this year. Will basketball practice be allowed? Basketball doesn't work well with 6' separation between players.

There was a study recently about the upcoming college football season and 85% of ADs believed games would be played. That number is even higher for college basketball. Not saying you're wrong, just that the unexpected at this point would be no season.

[shoxtop]

Basketball doesn't work well with 6' separation between players.

Jay Bilas disagrees

[WstateU]

There will be football and basketball this fall... "That is all!"

[Shockm]

First Step:

NBA reopening team practice facilities Friday where local restrictions eased, sources say


https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/...ed-sources-say

[ShockerFever]

Unless something unexpected happens, it's not likely that there will be a 2020-2021 basketball season.

There's a trial out of Oxford University (England) that is in human trials for a vaccine that they think will be effective. If EVERYTHING turns out with the best possible result, they will have a vaccine available by September, but there will be billions of people wanting that vaccine and they don't know the quantities they can produce.

To play games, players would have to take a test with a short result turnaround (15 - 30 minutes) before every game. Right now, Kansas is testing about .5% of the population and there are many anecdotal comments about the inability of people with significant symptoms to be tested, possibly due to a shortage of tests.

Tests could be used to isolate those infected or to allow basketball games to be played in empty gyms unless something major happens between now and November. I doubt that on-campus classes will start this year. Will basketball practice be allowed? Basketball doesn't work well with 6' separation between players.

That would be the pessimistic, mainstream take on how things are gonna go.

[SB Shock]

On the Parrish/Norlander basketball podcast - they said they were hearing talk of college basketball and football season starting Jan 1, 2021. Basketball would only play conference schedules.

[MikeKennedyRulZ]

Unless something unexpected happens, it's not likely that there will be a 2020-2021 basketball season.

There's a trial out of Oxford University (England) that is in human trials for a vaccine that they think will be effective. If EVERYTHING turns out with the best possible result, they will have a vaccine available by September, but there will be billions of people wanting that vaccine and they don't know the quantities they can produce.

To play games, players would have to take a test with a short result turnaround (15 - 30 minutes) before every game. Right now, Kansas is testing about .5% of the population and there are many anecdotal comments about the inability of people with significant symptoms to be tested, possibly due to a shortage of tests.

Tests could be used to isolate those infected or to allow basketball games to be played in empty gyms unless something major happens between now and November. I doubt that on-campus classes will start this year. Will basketball practice be allowed? Basketball doesn't work well with 6' separation between players.

Are you aware of the anitbody testing that is currently going on that tends to indicate that potentially 5 times the number of people have had the virus? What this means is these people had it and had zero symptoms or such benign symptoms that they did not need treatment. Meaning that a) the virus isn't nearly as severe in the majority of the population as being spewed and 2) the death rate is even more minuscule. My guess is that this is not being reported widely because it doesn't fit the narrative or salacious nature of today's "media" and "journalism".

[Stickboy46]

There was a study recently about the upcoming college football season and 85% of ADs believed games would be played. That number is even higher for college basketball. Not saying you're wrong, just that the unexpected at this point would be no season.

It's a money decision. They will weigh the cost of skipping the season vs the potential cost of lawsuits and make their decision on that. IMO too much money to be lost by not having a football and basketball season so it will happen. Whether they will have fans in stands is a different story. Easy enough to test 30 (basketball) or ~100 (football) players before each game rather than thousands of fans. They can still get a lot of money from TV contracts.

[Shock Top]

On the Parrish/Norlander basketball podcast - they said they were hearing talk of college basketball and football season starting Jan 1, 2021. Basketball would only play conference schedules.

Would suck to miss out on that loaded B4A tournament.

Had planned on going.

[Aargh]

Are you aware of the anitbody testing that is currently going on that tends to indicate that potentially 5 times the number of people have had the virus? What this means is these people had it and had zero symptoms or such benign symptoms that they did not need treatment. Meaning that a) the virus isn't nearly as severe in the majority of the population as being spewed and 2) the death rate is even more minuscule. My guess is that this is not being reported widely because it doesn't fit the narrative or salacious nature of today's "media" and "journalism".

The calculated mortality rate (deaths / confirmed cases) is 5.7% That appears to be 3 to 5 times the actual mortality rate. That indicates there are 3 to 5 times as many people with the virus that have not been tested. That makes the anecdotal tales of people with fairly strong symptoms being told they are not sick enough to be tested, which seems to confirm what local officials and medical facilities are saying, that they don't have enough testing capacity.

In the state of New York, where there has been a heavy infection rate and heavy testing, antibody tests show 20-21% positive in NYC and 14% in the entire state. It has not been established that having antibodies protects from a second infection.

Testing in Kansas is at such a low % of the population that we simply don't have data, although the calculated mortality rate here is lower than the national average.

The question for sports is that unless every player is tested before every game, and only those without the presence of the virus are allowed to play, there is a known risk of infection with mortality resulting in a small % of those infected. Is that a risk that schools and players are willing to take?

[Shockm]

First of all I would think that testing would be done every day before any practice.

2nd of all, I would be surprised if young athletes would have anything except a very low mortality rate.

[Shock Top]

So do we wait years to go back to normals lives? How long do we let people live in fear?

Serious questions.

If we have to wait until Billy Gates chipped vaccine comes out and are forced to take it, a lot of people won't be too happy or will be willing to comply.

[MikeKennedyRulZ]

In San Diego, 79 of the 111 deaths (71%) are over 70 years old and 97 of the 111 deaths (87%) are over 60. Only 8 of the 111 deaths are under 50 and I am guessing those had pre-existing conditions. Pretty good statistics for college kids playing sports, IMO.