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  • Cincinnati Freshman Justin Jenifer: .362 FG / .333 3pt% / 2.17 A/TO

    Cincinnati Senior Justin Jenifer: .455 FG / .443 3pt% / 4.57 A/TO

    Comment


    • If you want to get excited about next year, go on YouTube and look up Teddy Allen’s West Virginia big 12 highlight games.

      Comment


    • Everyone of the new guys will be greatly improved both in their mental makeup and physically. Some of these new guys still have baby fat on them. Marshall has grown them as fast as he could without breaking them.
      Teddy will give WSU three reliable scorers next year. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if one or two more players get added.

      Comment


      • Chickenhawk hunter
        Chickenhawk hunter commented
        Editing a comment
        100% agree with you.

      • 1979Shocker
        1979Shocker commented
        Editing a comment
        Will they be improved in shooting and BBIQ, too?

      • ShockTalk
        ShockTalk commented
        Editing a comment
        Yes, BBIQ can be improved through knowledge and experience. One's real IQ has a varying impact.

        Shooting can be improved, it's just a matter of when one tops out. The younger one is, the less likely they may have topped out. Shooting can also be improved as one increases their BBIQ.

    • A 6th or 7th place finish this year is going to happen. With 9 new players and our 2 seniors, I think 6/7 is a fair finish. As it stands, we will have 3 new faces next season with the reality of probably 2 more. I just don't see a future for Rod Brown and Ricky Torres. Brown is a man without a position. He is too small for a 4 and not skilled enough to play the 3. He can't shoot and he can't create. Torres has shown zero ability to shoot from distance. He has shown glimpses of a mid-range shooting touch, but at his size and lack of speed and quickness, there is little opportunities for him to capitalize on this. Although he is a good ball handler, he is slow with the ball. He can't separate himself from the defender. He is not fast or quick enough on defense to log enough minutes to be in the regular rotation next season. The best part of his game is his vision for the offense. He is about the only guard that can find the right open guy consistently, but it is not enough to justify his existence unfortunately. The talent curve of current players and incomers are just too great for Torres to overcome to help this program compete at this level.

      The natural curve for improvement for Burton, Stevenson, Dennis, Jaime, Mit, Chandler and Udeze, in addition to Gordon, Etienne and Fernandez and the other 2 newcomers, will allow the Shockers to compete to finish 3/4 in the AAC. This has a chance to qualify for the big dance next season.

      Comment


    • I'd like to see a Juco or transfer 4 at minimum. If we sign 2 guys I want the 2nd guy to be a lights out shooter.

      Comment


      • JVShocker
        JVShocker commented
        Editing a comment
        You mean "maker", correct? Everyone's got someone who can shoot the ball. It's getting them thru the center of the orange cylinder that has been frustrating this season.

      • ShockTalk
        ShockTalk commented
        Editing a comment
        How about a "shooter maker"? We have a maker in Teddy, but not one that shoots, particularly from the 3. We need a real sniper. I'm not sure that the current crop for next year's class has anyone in that category, either.

        Edit: I think DD is turning out to be a quality shooter for this year's class, but on paper, I'm not as sure about next year's class at this time. ES and JB could turn out to be quality shooters, but that's putting the cart a little ahead of the horse at this point. We need to be able to spread the other teams' defense.
        Last edited by ShockTalk; February 25, 2019, 09:16 PM.

      • Dan
        Dan commented
        Editing a comment
        ES I can see, JB has such a funky release, i’m It sure he’ll ever be a guy that takes, and makes, more than one or 2 threes a game.

    • If you look at the history of how Marshall develops a player (using KenPom rating)


      4 Year Players Improvement
      Frosh-Soph: +7.4%
      Soph-Jr: +3.9%
      Jr-Sr: -0.2%

      Juco Transfers
      They are what they are (+0.4%). Though u can divide them up into 2 groups - those that get better, those who get worse.

      9 players Offensive rating decreased (-5.8%)
      8 players Offensive rating increased (+7.9%)

      Offensive Projections

      2019: 105.7

      2020: 107.6. (If JE be the +10% improvement type guy then you could add +1)
      2021: 115.1
      2022: 114.9

      Historically, the Defensive improvement averages are -2.7%, best year improvement of -5.2% was achieved (Fred/Ron senior year).

      Defensive Projections

      2019: 99.7 (93rd)

      2020: 97.5 (56th)
      2021: 95.6 (37th)
      2022: 93.7 (25th)

      AdjEM
      2019: +60 (Ranked 105)

      2020: 10.1 (Ranked 68) [if JE is the +10%, WSU could be as high as 11.1 (Ranked 61st)
      2021: 19.5 (Ranked 25)
      2022: 21.2 (Ranked 17)

      Conclusions

      WSU is not likely to be an NCAA tournament team until 2021 if historical patterns are followed.

      WSU offensively only projects to be +2.8% better next year (loss of McDuffy tempers the improvements). This projection includes Teddy's possible contribution and does not account for any recruits contributions.

      The WSU defensive rating of 99.7, actually the 4th worst in the Marshall ERA. If WSU is to exceed these expectations, I think there is where you will need to see the biggest improvement. To be a Top 40 team requires AdjEM of ~ +16.0.
      Last edited by SB Shock; February 25, 2019, 08:51 PM.

      Comment


      • ShockTalk
        ShockTalk commented
        Editing a comment
        Good work SB Shock.

      • N Crestway
        N Crestway commented
        Editing a comment
        Helps when you have some analytics.

    • One of the joys of college athletics is watching players improve over their four seasons. It’s fun...

      Comment


      • No offense to those providing all the statistics/percentages etc but I trust what I SEE and my
        basketball sense and I sense improvement next year. Center position is strong now and will
        probably be even better next season offensively, defensively and on the boards. I am not at
        all worried about replacing MM's 19 ppg. TA, DD and ES will all average 10-12 ppg. Not at
        all worried about replacing SHJ's offensive numbers - that should be easy. JB will be
        improved at PG and if one of the freshmen earns significant PT or earns the starting role then
        all the better cause JB will be tough to beat out. DD and ES both are going to be solid
        wing three point threats - mark my words. Just like DD it will probably take DG 2/3 of a season
        to get comfortable but once he does he could be another DD but a little bigger. By this time
        next season I think we will have as good a chance to win the auto berth as anyone and maybe
        even an at large. Would be nice if ES grew a couple inches and DG grew an inch and gained 20 pounds.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by wufan View Post

          That’s not true in all circumstances. Certainly JE is the best post, and gets the most minutes, but...

          conference stats:

          JE: 17.8 min, 7.4 points, 5.5 boards
          AM: 12.8 min, 4 points, 3.8 boards
          IPBC: 11 min, 4.4 points, 2.5 boards

          Here are some facts for you.

          Plus Minus Season Total (per shockernet)
          JE 128
          AM -21

          Plus Minus per 40 min (per shockernet)
          JE 10.6
          AM -4.2

          Defensive rating per 100 possessions (per sport-reference.com)
          JE 93.4
          AM 100.5
          lower is better

          Percentile defensive rank per synergy
          JE 90th percentile
          AM 9th Percentile.

          Foul committed per 40 min (per KenPom)
          JE 6.5
          AM 6.8

          Defensive rebounding percentage (Per KenPom)
          JE 27.9% ranked 23rd nationally
          AM 17.5%

          Block Percentage (per KenPom)
          JE 10.2% ranked 23rd nationality
          AM 6.8%

          We are nearly 15 points better per 40 mins when JE is on the floor. AM is a slightly better offensive player than JE but by just about any measure AM is a terrible defender. Don't get blinded by his points and FG% he is the Enes Kanter of our team. I believe JE is a fringe, 10 day contract type of NBA player especially if he continues to develop his outside shot. AM is a fringe situational AAC player.

          Comment


          • AM is a good matchup against certain teams, and a terrible matchup against others. For this reason, he has value as he gives us flexibility at the post when we need it.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by 12eagle View Post

              Here are some facts for you.

              Plus Minus Season Total (per shockernet)
              JE 128
              AM -21

              Plus Minus per 40 min (per shockernet)
              JE 10.6
              AM -4.2

              Defensive rating per 100 possessions (per sport-reference.com)
              JE 93.4
              AM 100.5
              lower is better

              Percentile defensive rank per synergy
              JE 90th percentile
              AM 9th Percentile.

              Foul committed per 40 min (per KenPom)
              JE 6.5
              AM 6.8

              Defensive rebounding percentage (Per KenPom)
              JE 27.9% ranked 23rd nationally
              AM 17.5%

              Block Percentage (per KenPom)
              JE 10.2% ranked 23rd nationality
              AM 6.8%

              We are nearly 15 points better per 40 mins when JE is on the floor. AM is a slightly better offensive player than JE but by just about any measure AM is a terrible defender. Don't get blinded by his points and FG% he is the Enes Kanter of our team. I believe JE is a fringe, 10 day contract type of NBA player especially if he continues to develop his outside shot. AM is a fringe situational AAC player.
              I don’t care what the stats say. JE is a far superior offensive player not less than AM.
              AM is on a learning curve and is figuring out how to use his huge body. He will improve a lot IMO..... more than Marshall’s big men historical stats.

              Comment


              • Why are we even arguing or justifying who is the better player? Jamie is clearly ahead of AM, but Jamie also needs a backup who can contribute some good things. AM has a place on this team and is better than most thought he would be.

                It always seems to be an either/or conversation about those two which is not overly productive.

                Comment


                • asiseeit
                  asiseeit commented
                  Editing a comment
                  well said and spot on ! I like AM starting so JE doesn't get into early foul trouble.

                • wusphlash
                  wusphlash commented
                  Editing a comment
                  You mean we can root for more than 5? Hoping for the success of one is not mutually exclusive of hoping for success of others? Go figure.

              • I think that the differing styles of play benefits each one. JE is usually more effective but AM is being more like a "rock" than he used to. Early in the year, he was just moved around by more aggressive players but he has toughened up during the year.

                Comment


                • This is probably the best place for this, but Morris Udeze is having his surgery and is done for the year. They are hoping to have him back for the fall.

                  Comment


                  • Shock Top
                    Shock Top commented
                    Editing a comment
                    Fall of 2020, hopefully.

                • Along those lines, it'll be interesting to see what moves the staff makes to bring in the next project. We just have JE one more season and then a senior AM and ? Udeze? If he's healthy. Nobody else on the radar that I'm aware of. So 2020-2021 could be very interesting if Udeze continues to struggle with the shoulder.

                  Comment


                  • Shocktoberfest
                    Shocktoberfest commented
                    Editing a comment
                    Sorry. Forgot about IPBC. I do like him. But often I think of him as a 4. Either way, need reinforcements.
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