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Originally posted by ShockerPrez
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Sorry for the sarcasm. Biden, Obama, Clinton, Clyburn, in addition to the historian (Michael Bechloss) all gave the same message in final Election Day speeches to get out the Democrat base vote. Keeping power is extremely important. -
I get it. Dems are saying all this stuff, media is reporting it, but no one ever says why. It's like a lot of things these days, no substance, all BS.Originally posted by Shockm View Post"When life hands you lemons, make lemonade." Better have some sugar and water too, or else your lemonade will suck!Comment
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Michael Bechloss has completely gone off the deep end. I don’t know if he suffered a traumatic brain injury or started using drugs but the man is not of sound mind imho.Comment
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Who dat?Originally posted by WuDrWu View PostKung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
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538 now showing Repubs 59 over Dems 41 for Senate races.
Strangest race of the season is Oz vs Fetterman. Up until two days ago, Fetterman was winning (what in the hell is wrong with people in PA?!?!), and actually pretty soundly. Oz now winning 57 to 43. How Fetterman was leading in polls up until yesterday is beyond strange. It's almost like the polls were being rigged there for some time -- if you have a better explanation, I'd like to hear it.
Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
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This is what I was seeing on 538 regarding Smiley's chances: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...te/washington/Originally posted by WuDrWu View Post
Practically zero.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
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Michael Bechloss is a Presidential historian along the lines of Doris Kearns Goodwin. Yes, they’re both leftists (as most national journalists are) but they both used to be mostly fair. Doris has gone over to the Dark Side, but Michael has completely flown the coup. He’s no longer watchable or readable.Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
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It’s a Hail Mary for sure, but Murray has no excitement and many have tired of her. A low turnout could make it close.Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
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1. Everybody whose small business got closed will vote red.
2. Everybody who's kids suffered with closed schools will vote red.
3. Everybody who had some one they cared about commit suicide due to the lockdown will vote red.
4. Everybody who had their church closed down will vote red.
5. Everybody who had some one get sick or die due the jab will vote red.
6. But they will cheatComment
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I don't care about their politics, but it shouldn't affect their historical writings that much. The Oath Keepers involvement in January 6 was a problem and it should be reported in the history books, but all it should take is 1-3 sentences, because it is a small momentary blip in history and was not a serious overthrow attempt, and not close to a Civil War. Historical writings have always been affected by politics to an extent, and there are mistakes that are found consistently (some are corrected) but those comments by Bechloss in that article are ridiculous.Originally posted by WuDrWu View PostComment
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Here's an interesting article on Mayra Flores who won the special election last year. It appears that she has a very good chance to be re-elected. She is an interesting hispanic woman who was born in Mexico, voted for Barack Obama in 2008, and turned Republican because her values weren't being represented by the Democrat Party. She said that he father always emphasized that as Americans, they believed in God, Family, and Hard Work. This article emphasizes thes evangelical beliefs that influence her.
https://churchleaders.com/news/43761...votes-rns.html
Ahead of Midterms, Faith Plays Central Role in Republican Efforts To Win Latino Votes
"Pastor Luis Cabrera, who leads City Church Harlingen in South Texas, foresees a “godly wave” in next week’s midterm elections, particularly in his home state, where he has acted as a spiritual guide to a group of Latina Republicans seeking to flip congressional seats with a message of faith, family and country. Values, they say, that are central to Latino voters.
Values, they believe, that Democrats have abandoned.
“We’re going to take this country back for God and we’re going to fight for our piece of the land, for the American dream … for our principles, our values and our morals,” said Cabrera, 45, who as a child immigrated with his parents to the U.S. from Nicaragua."
Home Christian News Ahead of Midterms, Faith Plays Central Role in Republican Efforts To Win...Ahead of Midterms, Faith Plays Central Role in Republican Efforts To Win Latino Votes
By
Alejandra Molina
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November 1, 2022
Pastor Luis Cabrera speaks during a recent tent revival in Dover, Delaware. Video screen grabShareTweetPinPocketFlipboard
(RNS) — Pastor Luis Cabrera, who leads City Church Harlingen in South Texas, foresees a “godly wave” in next week’s midterm elections, particularly in his home state, where he has acted as a spiritual guide to a group of Latina Republicans seeking to flip congressional seats with a message of faith, family and country. Values, they say, that are central to Latino voters.
Values, they believe, that Democrats have abandoned.
“We’re going to take this country back for God and we’re going to fight for our piece of the land, for the American dream … for our principles, our values and our morals,” said Cabrera, 45, who as a child immigrated with his parents to the U.S. from Nicaragua.
“Make America Godly Again” is a phrase Cabrera uses often as part of a revival movement — which stands against abortion and advocates for Bibles in schools and more funding for law enforcement — that helps political candidates organize their campaigns around God. It’s a slogan Rep. Mayra Flores employed with success in her June special election campaign that made her the first Mexican-born woman to serve as a member of Congress. Flores is seeking to retain her seat.
As pastor of a Latino evangelical congregation, Cabrera said he sees church members struggling with rising gas and food prices. He blames the current White House administration for “putting a strain on our economy.” Inflation, he said, “is killing Latino families.” Cabrera said he educates congregants on their civic duties and biblical principles and tells them that as Christians they should vote because “you’re not only a godly citizen, but you’re a citizen of this country.”
In this Sept. 22, 2021, file photo, Republican congressional candidate Mayra Flores speaks at a Cameron County Conservatives event in Harlingen, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
Latinos are regarded as the fastest-growing racial and ethnic group in the United States electorate, and with the midterms just one week away, Republicans, conservative pastors and other right-wing organizations are centering faith as they escalate outreach to Latino voters in battleground states like Texas, Arizona and Florida.
Pew Research Center data looking at 2022 midterm election preferences of Latinos shows that some of the sharpest differences in candidate choice are by religion.
Half of Latino evangelical Protestants said they would vote for the Republican candidate for U.S. House, while a majority of Latino Catholics (59%) and the religiously unaffiliated (60%) said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, according to the Pew.
With Pew data showing U.S. Latinos are no longer majority-Catholic, recent election polls have highlighted a growing number of non-Catholic Latinos who were never Catholic to begin with. Some were raised Protestant, and, increasingly, many are raised nonreligious.
“As aggregate populations, religious nones will likely support more progressive political positions, while evangelicals will lean more conservatively,” said Jonathan Calvillo, an assistant professor of Latinx studies at Emory’s Candler School of Theology.
Last edited by Shockm; November 8, 2022, 10:13 AM.Comment
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Have you ever seen a poll that had a Republican way ahead that actually went the other way? All polls always tilt toward democrats. Polls are just one more propaganda tool used by the left to try and convince you that your thinking is in the minority and to get you to question why you believe sonething that so many other people in your community do not. Why else would polls always be such a high priority news item constantly? They are to shape opinion, not gauge it.Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post"When life hands you lemons, make lemonade." Better have some sugar and water too, or else your lemonade will suck!Comment
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That's optimistic.Originally posted by ShockerPrez View Post
One concern I have is that in specific states and counties polls are manipulated to make potential fraud look more credible. If a poll is showing a Democrat consistently beating a Republican in a critical swing state like PA, then we shouldn't question the barrage of late night mail-in ballots being stuffed in boxes, right? It would not be difficult or require very many manipulated poll responses to get the desired effect you are looking for.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
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Speaking of REAAAAALLY bad polling companies, check this out: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
If you look at the chart, the bubbles on the left are the best of the best (most accurate) polling companies, while the bubbles on the far right are the worst of the worst polling companies.
The two worst bubbles on the entire chart of bad bubbles are Kansas pollsters:
Fort Hayes State University
Jayhawk Consulting Services
They are on an island to themselves on how bad they are. Nyuk, nyuk, nyuk.
Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
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