2022 Mid-Term Election

[pinstripers]

Not disagreeing with your premise, but are you saying that the majority isn't running the Democrat agenda? Bernie, AOC, etc. are?

All of those things poll approx 75 against nationally.

[Shockm]

All of those things poll approx 75 against nationally.

So.................. the Democrat Party is saying what? Trans gender? Climate Warming? You’re talking out of both sides. You might still be correct, but it makes no sense.

i personally worry about the mental viability of our kids because the agenda makes no sense. Are they for trans genderism for kids? How about climate warming? Illegal Immigration. What do they actually believe? What do our kids believe? Probably not in Great Bend, but other places?

[WuDrWu]

They will believe what they are taught, and they are being taught (a majority at least) by folks with a one world view. Transgressionism.

[Kel Varnsen]

All of those things poll approx 75 against nationally.

Great, but it clearly doesn't stop a good portion of the country from voting for the same people who support the insanity.

Hell, the Kansas Department of Commerce under supposed "moderate" Laura Kelly supported all-ages drag shows.

I'm not convinced that a good portion of Democrats actually oppose this stuff. If they did, the people who support it would never get elected. But they do. Over and over and over again.

[1972Shocker]

Have any of our resident tech gurus familiar with Fractal data anaylysis?

Democrats are Aboard the Big Data Titanic

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/10/democrats_are_aboard_the_big_data_emtitanicem.html

Seven state voter integrity teams called us after reading an article about Democrats employing a massive tech weapon for the upcoming elections. They were terrified their efforts to clean up voter rolls were for naught.

Sleep well. Nobody ever changed the game in any industry, or election, by applying demonstrably obsolete technology,.

The future of computing, and election computing, is not size and scale, it is blinding speed, across trillions of records, from hundreds to thousands of databases, using daily or hourly snapshot analysis, delivered to your cell phone or tablet -- to determine if a person changed their mind -- this morning.

Mike Lindell and Sheriff David Clarke asked us to run the Wisconsin voter rolls with our disruptive Fractal technology.

Voter integrity teams were ferociously analyzing state voter rolls with SQL, relational, Mongo, Excel type systems -- the equivalent of emptying a swimming pool with a spoon. We loaded Wisconsin and within hours had it in their hands -- no charge -- finding registered voters living in laundromats and UPS boxes.

Word spread and we now run about 15 or 20 mostly swing states. We fund 90% of this ourselves.

We don’t run one copy of the state voter registration roll. We run 7, or 15, or 55 or in one state, 66. Running multiple copies of rolls allows our users to see subtle, critical changes in the data not visible to current technology.

That inactive voter, probably dead, moved to active, voted, then went back into that comfortable grave -- as inactive. Current technology sees the person as inactive -- before they vote and afterward.

Fractal identifies the data movement, flags it, that vote is challenged before it impacts an election.

This compute problem takes 15 million voters from one state, with 20 copies of the voter rolls, (20 x 15 million) compares every field, finding the differences as slight as a missing comma, categorizes results into easy-to-grasp columns, returning the results to the user in less than 10 seconds, on their phone. For free.

We do this now for multiple states. We house almost 1.6 billion voter records -- because stuff changes and Fractal catches it. The Big Data Titanic types, using conventional tech, would take months to do this, need a data center requiring the power of a small town, costing millions of dollars.

We deliver it on $4,000 computers, using less power than an electric drill. Our engineers demonstrate running the entire state on an iPhone, but that was just showing off.

[1972Shocker]

[SB Shock]

The control of the senate according to 538 just went 50/50.

[WuDrWu]

The control of the senate according to 538 just went 50/50.

Yep, just saw that as well updated this afternoon.

The Dems are taking on water FAST in Georgia and Nevada. Hershel is riding a Kemp wave that's starting to put him in the lead in the newest polls, and the unpopular Dem. incumbent Cortez Masto is even further behind her GOP opponent. Honestly, Nevada is really hard to measure because turnout is a huge deal in that state, in Vegas (where all the vote is determined, but there's a HUGE Hispanic population that is trending to the GOP, but it's also a HUGE union town which is all DEM) and a late push in turnout probably saves her. Hopefully Kemp carries Walker to victory in Georgia. If he can, then the GOP just needs 1 of Nevada, PA, New Hampshire or Arizona with a very late (albeit tiny) chance at Washington where it appears many of the folks have tired (rightly so) of Patty Murray's THIRTY FREAKING YEARS in the Senate. There isn't a 1 in 10 chance she gets beat, but that race has tightened and if Patty Murray is in trouble in Washington, the DEMs are likely looking at a pummeling next Tuesday.


Dems and the Media are doing everything they can to tear down Kari Lake in Arizona (who has run a superior campaign to her opponent) as the numbers show she just might be able to coattail Blake Masters home in his Senate race vs Dem. incumbent Mark Kelly. The Dems are completely on the defensive now as the GOP is throwing money into odd races just to force the Dems to spend money where they didn't expect. Trying to temper enthusiasm, to say the least (how in the WORLD is Fetterman still leading in PA??!!!) but it's looking better and better for the GOP. Polls for almost 10 years have underestimated the GOP in the days leading up to the election.....IF (and it's a big if) that stays consistent, then the current DEM power is gonzo.

[WuDrWu]

I am a bit concerned about too much confidence in Ted Budd in North Carolina. NC has been a nice little surprise for the GOP last few elections but I'm not quite as confident as most others seem to be. This will be an early marker next Tuesday. If this race is tight, then it's likely to be a long night for both sides sweating out tight race after tight race. If it's an early call for Ted, then the wave is likely on for the GOP.

[WuDrWu]

It's also interesting to note that for some time now, the most likely outcome (as compared individually) was a 50/50 split. That's probably as good as the DEMs can hope for at this point. Anything different would signify a significant change in direction in the final 7 days.

Since gridlock is now more than likely (the GOP is more than 4-1 to win back the House now) it would seem the big ticket is confirming appointments and potential (albeit unlikely) Supreme Court replacements.

[SubGod22]

Someone on Twitter was showing RCP has it at 54-46. For whatever that's worth.

[atlwsu]

Someone on Twitter was showing RCP has it at 54-46. For whatever that's worth.

I saw that on Realclear Politics

[Kung Wu]

On 538, Republicans are now edging out Democrats 51 to 49: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...recast/senate/

[WuDrWu]

The path to Senate victory is narrow for both parties, but as toss up races become more and more stable for the GOP (Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, North Carolina) the path for the DEMs constricts more and more.

The DEMs must win 4 of 5 (in order of the Dems likely to win New Hampshire, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada) to retain the Senate. That is a somewhat tall order, especially as internal polling shows them all but throwing in the towel in Georgia.

Barring a November surprise in the next 6 days, I suspect 538 will have that number closer to 60-40 GOP than 50/50 by election day.

[Shockm]

On 538, Republicans are now edging out Democrats 51 to 49: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...recast/senate/

I'm not sure about these polls after the 2020 debacles. What does Trafalgar say? They were the only one that was credible back then, but no one paid attention.