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    • It is entirely possible 100 million Americans will be infected. With a 3% fatality rate, that is 3 million dead Americans, which I believe is greater than the entire population of Kansas! This virus could get scary fast!!

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      • Originally posted by MrsHenryLevitt View Post
        It is entirely possible 100 million Americans will be infected. With a 3% fatality rate, that is 3 million dead Americans, which I believe is greater than the entire population of Kansas! This virus could get scary fast!!
        Slide capture in the post above yours projects a roughly 0.5% fatality rate for the US.

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        • Originally posted by SHOCKvalue View Post

          Slide capture in the post above yours projects a roughly 0.5% fatality rate for the US.
          Forgive me for my ignorance, but even a half of a million deaths would be frightening! I was going by WHO figures stating the morbidity rate between 3-4%!

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          • Trump instituted a Europe travel band and excluded the UK. People can fly (or take the train) into the UK and their passport won’t be stamped (Brexit rules don’t change until December) and then catch a flight to the US from London. Idiot.

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            • Idiot, Yes as well as a moron! Dow futures have dropped 1300 points in the 90 minutes since Trump took to the airwaves to calm the financial markets! That. Says. A. Lot.

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              • Tom hanks and his wife both have tested positive in Australia.

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                • Originally posted by SB Shock View Post
                  Tom hanks and his wife both have tested positive in Australia.
                  Yes as well as a US Senator and the UK Minister of Health!

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                  • SK has hit the S curve nicely.

                    Looks like Trump was right. This will likely be a 0.5% to 1% CFR all said and done the first year.

                    The information is out there in America. Americans are being vigilant and citizens and organizations are self-imposing restrictions, halting high risk events, cutting out unnecessary travel, etc. Information is free flowing and getting where it needs to go.

                    Good job America, stay informed, and rely on yourself to make good decisions as this unfolds, however it unfolds.
                    Kung Wu say, man making mistake in elevator wrong on many levels.

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                    • Originally posted by RoyalShock View Post
                      How come China has only reported 80,000 cases in a month and a half, while the US is expected to reach.. 96 million.. in two?
                      Last edited by ShockerFever; March 11, 2020, 11:30 PM.
                      Deuces Valley.
                      ... No really, deuces.
                      ________________
                      "Enjoy the ride."

                      - a smart man

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                      • Originally posted by ShockerFever View Post

                        How come China has only reported 80,000 cases in a month and a half, while the US is expected to reach.. 96 million.. ?
                        Because China took draconian measures and shut down their whole economy and started isolating everybody. Models show that if you limit contacts by 75% within a week or 2 you will actually start seeing a decline in cases.

                        The U.S. simulations I suspect are a worst-case scenario where you continue as "Business As Usual". Obviously, with tonight's development with Industry, businesses, the government is not taking it as business as usual. The question will be what % of contact reduction is achieved. The more proactive, the more manageable and reduction in cases will be seen.

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                        • It was also reported tonight that thousands of illegal Chinese Nationals were trying to enter the US by way of the Southern border since Jan. 1. It didn’t say how they got to the border.

                          Furthermore, the southern border are breeding grounds for sickness and disease. The illegals have to be contained and that exposes border agents and others who live close by. It was pointed out that illegals don’t appear with ID papers, or medical histories.

                          Of course, libs will say to just allow them in and we can take care of those things later and anyone who disagrees is racist and xenophobic.

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                          • Originally posted by Shockm View Post
                            It was also reported tonight that thousands of illegal Chinese Nationals were trying to enter the US by way of the Southern border since Jan. 1. It didn’t say how they got to the border.

                            Furthermore, the southern border are breeding grounds for sickness and disease. The illegals have to be contained and that exposes border agents and others who live close by. It was pointed out that illegals don’t appear with ID papers, or medical histories.

                            Of course, libs will say to just allow them in and we can take care of those things later and anyone who disagrees is racist and xenophobic.
                            Reported?? By who? THOUSANDS ?

                            Furthermore, is that number higher than an average period? If it’s the same number as usual over a given time it’s hard to say there’s anything nefarious going on.

                            Lastly, Have you been to the southern border recently? Or driven within a radius of the CBP’s jurisdiction? You can hardly drive 15 miles without being stopped by CBP. Trump has gotten it pretty airtight, no pun intended, down there.
                            The mountains are calling, and I must go.

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                            • Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
                              SK has hit the S curve nicely.

                              Looks like Trump was right. This will likely be a 0.5% to 1% CFR all said and done the first year.

                              The information is out there in America. Americans are being vigilant and citizens and organizations are self-imposing restrictions, halting high risk events, cutting out unnecessary travel, etc. Information is free flowing and getting where it needs to go.

                              Good job America, stay informed, and rely on yourself to make good decisions as this unfolds, however it unfolds.
                              Right now we are at the same place as ROK and Italy were 2 weeks ago. ROK took it seriously and started testing, social distancing and isolating and we see where they are. Italy didn't take it seriously and reacted late, and it is out of control and overwhelming its health care system.

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