Originally posted by wsushox1
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Coronavirus 2019-nCoV
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So what do we do now? Now that the curve is beginning to flatten in NYC, and likely will across the remainder of the country over the next three weeks....what the hell do we do next?
The virus isn't going away. It will come back. The President said yesterday that we DON'T need widespread testing or contact tracing. The federal government is pulling funds for coronavirus testing centers.
I have not heard a single coherent plan from the federal government besides "Open the economy" back up. That's just not good enough.
We have one shot to get the "reopening" right, otherwise you're looking at an economic recovery that will go from 18 months to 60+ months. On the monetary side of things, the federal reserve has already used up all of the legal authority they have within their mandate to backstop the economy and protect asset prices (for better or worse). On the fiscal side of things, the stimulus that has passed is woefully too small.
If we can't get this right, you are looking at UBI, medicare for all, among many other extreme policies within the next 12-18 months. That's the reality.Last edited by wsushox1; April 10, 2020, 03:54 PM.The mountains are calling, and I must go.
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Originally posted by SHOCKvalue View Post
Do you travel in cars or planes? Ever go to a busy gun range?
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Originally posted by pogo View Post
I suppose that is your idea of ascertaining how much I trust other people while driving, flying or visiting a busy gun range right? Well if indulging in any of these activities were as deadly on a daily basis as the virus is now, then no I wouldn't. My turn. Would you take a gun from a complete stranger who told you it was empty, put it to your head and pull the trigger?
Mitigate the risk. We do it every day with our choices. You'll never die in a car wreck if you never get in a car. When the virus is hanging around and knocking off people of your demographic you'll likely not ever come down with it if you simply stay home. Guess you could get it from grocery deliveries, but if those are delivered far enough out that they sit in your garage (or wherever) while the virus dies off you should be good.
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Originally posted by pogo View Post
I suppose that is your idea of ascertaining how much I trust other people while driving, flying or visiting a busy gun range right? Well if indulging in any of these activities were as deadly on a daily basis as the virus is now, then no I wouldn't. My turn. Would you take a gun from a complete stranger who told you it was empty, put it to your head and pull the trigger?Deuces Valley.
... No really, deuces.
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"Enjoy the ride."
- a smart man
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Originally posted by pogo View Post
I suppose that is your idea of ascertaining how much I trust other people while driving, flying or visiting a busy gun range right? Well if indulging in any of these activities were as deadly on a daily basis as the virus is now, then no I wouldn't. My turn. Would you take a gun from a complete stranger who told you it was empty, put it to your head and pull the trigger?
That rate and odds could increase by ten times and I still wouldn't bat an eye with the same response. It could increase by another ten fold and I still think my answer is the same - that's still 1:580. At 1000 times more lethality than current.
The proportional math of this entire thing is completely ignored in the media - both sides. Because calming people with math doesn't sell ads or generate page counts. Rational thought doesn't circulate in the hyperbolic, emotional, and irrational types who populate the media class either. It's likewise ignored by the government, because a calmed and rational public is not so easily lead around like cattle. In no country is this virus statistically relevant. The numbers are TINY when observed on a per capita basis. Absolutely tiny.
In Sedgwick County, we have had 172 cases. Out of over 500K people. Only 30 of those cases required hospitalization. Just two people in SG CO have died from this. TWO. If you told someone a year ago those numbers, and then told them we were in the midst of economic seppeku because of it they would assume you were describing some sort of a dark humor SNL skit.Last edited by SHOCKvalue; April 10, 2020, 06:18 PM.
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The likelihood of dying from any number of everyday choices and common diseases:
https://blog.timesunion.com/healthca...of-dying/2515/
The likelihood of dying from the common flu is 1:9410.
It has been said that the coronavirus is something like ten times more lethal than the common flu. That's 1:941. Here are the things more likely to kill you than the coronavirus, per the article above:
Heart disease 631,636 1 in 6 Cancer 562,875 1 in 7 Smoking-related deaths 433,000 1 in 9 Stroke 135,952 1 in 28 Obesity-related 112,000 1 in 35 Heavy drinking 79,000 1 in 49 Breast cancer 40,598 1 in 95 Prostate cancer 29,093 1 in 133 Fall 22,631 1 in 171 Assault 18,361 1 in 211 Brain tumor 13,000 1 in 298 Car accident 12,772 1 in 303 Skin cancer 8,461 1 in 457 Pedestrian accident 5,958 1 in 649 Motorcycle accident 5,024 1 in 770
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