2016 Bracketology

[shoxlax]

Glad you changed your mind Henry.

One week ago...

Owned

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

Just for fun, JH4P, 1 week ago...

Wins tomorrow and Saturday and then an appearance in the semis would be plenty. After that it is merely about improving on seeding.

Shox won "tomorrow"
Shox won "Saturday"
Shox made it to the semis
Shox are in!

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

Last post tonight, I promise.

I found this. Note that it doesn't count the Emporia State win and was before New Mexico State got rescheduled. Just focus on the loss column.

My predictions:
26-5: 5 seed
25-6: 7 seed
24-7: 8 seed
23-8: 11 seed
22-9: 12 seed (bubble in)
21-10: Bubble out

I'm tempted to say that I wouldn't change a thing. Maybe switch 9 losses to bubble out. Otherwise, I'm sticking to it.

I've been saying 7 losses gets a single digit seed and 8 losses still gets the Shox in for a very long time.

[gdb620]

ESPN's Bubble Watch now has the Shox listed under "locks." http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

[ShockerPrez]

Wonder what seed the Redbirds will get??

They should find some grass seed that is drought resistant.

[WuShock Reaper]

Bubble Update
March 4, 2016
By Bruce Marshall

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/story.cfm/story/1753865

Notice where they have the Shockers seeded. Does Vegas know something we don't?

[DUShock]

Bubble Update
March 4, 2016
By Bruce Marshall

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/story.cfm/story/1753865

Notice where they have the Shockers seeded. Does Vegas know something we don't?

VALLEY
Solid...Wichita State
Bubble...Northern Iowa
Conference-11th
Tourney ("Arch Madness") March 3-6 at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
Last year...NCAA-2 (Wichita State-Sweet 16, Northern Iowa-Second Round); NIT-1 (Illinois State-Second Round); CBI-1 (Loyola-Chicago-Champion); CIT-1 (Evansville-Champion).
NOTES...Don't argue with us about Wichita, which we assure you will be in the field of 68 no matter what happens at Arch Madness in St. Louis this weekend. A 23-7 record overall, a 16-2 mark in the Missouri Valley (both losses by single digits), the No. 1 per-possession defense (adjusted for competition) in all of college basketball, a top-10 rank in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted efficiency, and a top-25 perch in the BPI are already good enough for an "up" vote. The Shockers' flaws on paper can be explained in large part by the early-season injury to PG Fred VanVleet, who missed all three games at the Disney World Tourney during Thanksgiving week, which wound up being losses to USC, Alabama, and Iowa. It took VanVleet to get healthy, but the Shockers ended up roughly where we thought they would be. By virtue of wins over North Carolina, Iowa State, and Wichita, Northern Iowa can cling to the periphery of the bubble due to the VCU example of 2011, when the Rams were apparently the last team in when no bracketologist had them close to the final cut. Then VCU went out and made it to the Final Four. In St. Louis this weekend, also do not dismiss Evansville or late-charging Illinois State, which beat Wichita four weeks ago and shocked the Shockers at Scottrade Center last March.

Interesting indeed, I appreciate their projected seed.

[ShockerFever]

Bubble Update
March 4, 2016
By Bruce Marshall

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/story.cfm/story/1753865

Notice where they have the Shockers seeded. Does Vegas know something we don't?

Jerry Palm would have a coronary.

[wusphlash]

Bubble Update
March 4, 2016
By Bruce Marshall

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/story.cfm/story/1753865

Notice where they have the Shockers seeded. Does Vegas know something we don't?

Vegas always knows something we don't and should never be doubted.

[Dave Stalwart]

It would be too good to be true, but as a Shocker fan, I don't consider our team to be any less than a 4 or 5 seed. I think we have a very dangerous team, moreso than most of the other teams around us in the voting and RPI stuff.

[HenryMuto]

Glad you changed your mind Henry.

One week ago...

Well now we will see how things shake out. It isn't my mind that matters its what the committee thinks. I think you are in even with the loss today but we have to see how the rest of the week shakes out and how many bids are stolen.

The resume does not scream NCAA tournament team. Many other teams with similar resume from mid majors would not get in but I believe the name Wichita State will help you and most of all that non conf SOS in the top 10.

[HenryMuto]

Good news so far today for you guys.

Alabama, GW, Saint Joe's, Ohio State, LSU, Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, USC all losers today. Some of these losses knocked teams out unless they have a long run in their conf tournament and others it put them that much closer to the cut line in case they lose in the first round of their conf tournament.

[Stickboy46]

Still 10 in KenPom after the update for this game. Still 1 in defense, but fell 10 spots in Offense.

[ShauXTyme]

Lunardi just stated that an at-large spot has been taken by the MVC, now that Wichita State lost. Said he still believes Wichita is firmly in the tourney. Relax.

[HenryMuto]

CBS write up after the loss by Jerry Palm.

WICHITA STATE: L 57-52 (OT) vs. Northern Iowa
Status: Probably out
Record: 24-9, 16-3 MVC | RPI: 38 | Strength of schedule: 107

The Shockers fell to UNI for the second time this season 57-52 in overtime in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley conference tournament. Wichita State has one moment of glory this season – a home win over Utah. That is their only win against a team in the top 75 of the RPI. Their at-large chances are slim-to-none, and if this wasn't a team with a recent Final Four run and undefeated regular season, I doubt we'd be talking about them at all.