Poll Watch, 2012-13 Edition

[SubGod22]

I'm thinking 13 or 14

[Ixiah]

I was curious after hearing about so many losses of ranked teams so here is a summary of how the AP top 25 has done this week:

#1 Duke - L @ Miami(90-63), W vs Maryland (84-64)
#2 Michigan - W vs Perdue, ? @ Illinois (not played yet)
#3 Kansas - W @ Kansas St. (59-55), W vs Oklahoma (57-54)
#4 Syracuse - W vs Cincinnatti (57-55),L @ Villanova (75-71)
#5 Louisville - L @ Villanova (73-64), L @ Georgetown (53-51)
#6 Arizona - L vs UCLA (84-73), W vs USC (74-50)
#7 Indiana - W vs Penn. St. (72-49), W vs Michigan St. (75-70)
#8 Florida - W @ Georgia (64-47), W @ Miss St. (82-47)
#9 Butler - L @ LaSalle (54-53), W vs Temple (83-71)
#10 Gonzaga - W vs BYU (83-63), W vs San Francisco (66-52)

#11 Kansas St. - L vs Kansas (59-55), L @ Iowa St. (73-67)
#12 Minnesota - L @ Northwestern (55-48), L @ Wisconsin (45-44)
#13 Michigan St. - W @ Wisconsin (49-47), L @ Indiana (75-70)
#14 Ohio St. - W vs Iowa (72-63), W @ Penn St. (65-51)
#15 New Mexico - W vs Colorado St (66-61), L @ San Diego St. (55-34)
#16 Oregon - W vs Washington St. (68-61), W vs Washington (81-76)
#17 Creighton - L @ Drake (74-69), ? @ SIU (not played yet)
#18 North Carolina St. - L @ Wake Forrest (86-84), W vs North Carolina (91-83)
#19 VCU - L @Richmond (86-74), L vs La Salle (69-61)
#20 Wichita St. - W @ Missouri St. (62-52), W vs Bradley (73-39)

#21 Cincinnati - L @ Syracuse (57-55)
#22 Missouri - W vs South Carolina (71-65), W vs Vanderbilt (81-59)
#23 Ole Miss. - W vs Tennesse (62-56), W @ Auburn (63-61)
#24 Notre Dame - L @ Georgetown (63-47), W @ South Florida (73-65)
#25 Miami - W vs Duke (90-63), ? vs Florida St. (not played yet)

[GoShockers89]

#15 on Seth Davis's exceptionally weird ballot:

https://twitter.com/SethDavisHoops

He has Duke falling all the way to #13 and UCLA debuting at #14 (after a 1-1 week). Also keeps Creighton at #16.

[ShockTalk]

Since everyone's putting their prediction for Monday on here, I'll copy what I put in another thread.

Note: This doesn't have anything to do with where I think the Shockers should be ranked, it's how I think the pollsters will do it.

Pass in the polls for sure: VCU, CU

Probably Pass: NC St, Minn. Since the Polls are a fashion show, Minnesota losing 4 in a row is a killer, however, losing at Indiana and Wisconsin were mostly likely to happen and losing to Michigan at home not unexpected. Northwestern game hurt. Their current and forecasted RPI is still higher than the Shocks along with having a SOS in the top 6.

50/50 or less to Pass: New Mexico, K St, Louisville, Butler. First, I think K St is overrated, but losing to KU didn't hurt them at all and they were actually underdogs at Iowa St (note, I think we should be ahead of them, just might not happen). New Mexico was not the favorite to win at SDSU and this probably hurt them very little. They are well ahead of us in RPI and, like MN, have a SOS that is in the top 6 both current and projected. Again, being a fashion show, how far Louisville's two road losses hurt them is a real question...50/50. Butler's road loss to a good LaSalle team (they also beat VCU this week) probably shows up worse in a fashion show, just not bad enough for us to pass them.

Pass Us: Miami. After all, the did beat #1 Duke and were ranked, even if barely. Add to this, their current RPI is #3, SOS #1. They man-handled FL St.

Beating Bradley and MSU doesn't help you leapfrog in the polls. Your suppose to win those games. Beating IN St next week is a lot more meaningful.

My guess, #17.

I'd rather be pleasantly surprised by being ranked higher than being PO'd at the Polls I give marginal credit to.

[Anthroshock]

He has Duke falling all the way to #13 and UCLA debuting at #14 (after a 1-1 week). Also keeps Creighton at #16.

Duke is justifiable seeing as how they got drilled. UCLA shouldn't be that high. On twitter he goes on about ranking teams missing players due to injury. Not consistent at all.

[im4wsu]

RPI Poll 1/26/2013

1	Duke
2	Kansas
3	Miami (FL)
4	Arizona
5	Florida
6	New Mexico
7	Michigan
8	Gonzaga
9	Syracuse
10	Butler
11	Minnesota
12	Michigan St.
13	Louisville
14	Belmont
15	UNLV
16	Wichita St.
17	N.C. State
18	Marquette
19	Oregon
20	Indiana
21	Colorado
22	Colorado St.
23	Oklahoma
24	Ohio St.
25	Cincinnati

[im4wsu]

KenPom as of 1/26

1	Florida
2	Indiana
3	Michigan
4	Louisville
5	Duke
6	Pittsburgh
7	Kansas
8	Syracuse
9	Minnesota
10	Ohio St.
11	Arizona
12	Gonzaga
13	Wisconsin
14	Miami FL
15	Creighton
16	Michigan St.
17	Virginia Commonwealth
18	Cincinnati
19	Colorado St.
20	Wichita St.
21	Oklahoma St.
22	San Diego St.
23	Kentucky
24	Nevada Las Vegas
25	Oregon

[GoShockers89]

#17 in CBS's Top 25 and one. Same spot as last week.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/blog/eye-on-college-basketball/21620060/updated-top-25-and-one

[wsushox1]

#17 in CBS's Top 25 and one. Same spot as last week.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebask...top-25-and-one

Yea I really don't think we are going to see as much movement upwards in the poll as people think we will. I'm thinking 18-19

[tropicalshox]

17 at best.

[GoShockers89]

17 at best.

I'm thinking 18-19

I will resign from this thread and make AP Voter voodoo dolls if this happens.

[WuShock Reaper]

My heart wants to go with 14,

my brain says stick with 16.

So I will split the difference and go with my neck - 15th.

[wsushox1]

I just don't understand how Creighton can lose at Drake and stay only one ranking behind us, (in Lunardi's bracket). Has us at 19, Creighton at 20.

[GoShockers89]

Much better. #10 here:

http://borgesblognhr.blogspot.com/

ETA: Cannot read. Actually #11.

[GoShockers89]

I just don't understand how Creighton can lose at Drake and stay only one ranking behind us, (in Lunardi's bracket). Has us at 19, Creighton at 20.

Is that an updated one? I remember that being the S-Curve from Tuesday.