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Realistic shot at NIT?
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Originally posted by Triticum aestivum L. View PostOur rpi and NET forecasts go down about 10 spots with 2 more wins. Will likely go down again with another win over ECU. Add in a loss and we are below 100 in NET. Our SOS takes a big hit also. I don't see an NIT this year. Our recent record is good, but there are no good wins in there. The body of work is just not there.
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Originally posted by ShockCrazy View Post
I suggest you look at the resumes of the teams that generally end up in the NIT. . . If we win a quarterfinal game against UCF
My earlier comments stand, we are 101 in KenPom right now and 90 in NET. After we win tonight, our RPI is forecast to fall 26 spots from 73 to 99 and NET will move in the wrong direction also. Our SOS is forecast to fall from 32 to 61 over the next 2 games. Unfortunately, 2 additional wins and our resume' is getting much worse, not better. Add in another Neutral game win vs. ECU and get no help with metrics.
If we win against UCF (big if IMO) and double our Q1 wins on the season, then we have a chance and that still means the NCAA/NIT takes us over teams with better NET. I would appreciate JH4P's perspective if he is still around.
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By the way, some of the projections we see regarding RPI (for what it's worth at this point), and also NET, are almost comically off the mark.
So far Warren Nolan has WSU dropping from 73rd to 75th (not 99th) in his Live RPI following the win over East Carolina, and his current NET reading for the Shocks is still 90th.
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Originally posted by WSUwatcher View PostBy the way, some of the projections we see regarding RPI (for what it's worth at this point), and also NET, are almost comically off the mark.
So far Warren Nolan has WSU dropping from 73rd to 75th (not 99th) in his Live RPI following the win over East Carolina, and his current NET reading for the Shocks is still 90th.
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Before tonight's games, I have the Shockers as one of the "last four teams in" in the 2019 NIT with a 5-6 seed.
Need to root for a loss from these teams in tonight's games:
Seton Hall won - Marquette blew a 12 point lead with about 5:00 minutes to play.
Florida lost - ha ha Florida, they lost by 1 point at home against #10 LSU
Rutgers lost - barely lost to Penn State by 1 point after being down 18 at the half
Creighton won - in OT against Providence, but Providence is eliminated from NIT consideration
Arkansas won - crushed Vanderbilt who is now 0-16 in the SEC
Georgetown lost - were crushed by DePaul, yes! DEPAUL!!!
Ohio State lost - by 18 points to Northwestern
North Carolina State lost - another ha ha ha as Georgia Tech wins with 1.4 seconds with a dunk
Clemson won - at Notre Dame by 2 points
Oregon won - beat the other WSU by 11
Oregon State lost - lost by 5 n OT to Washington, thank you Huskies.Last edited by WuShock Reaper; March 7, 2019, 06:28 AM.
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First things first... I'm sure HCGM will have everyones attention Saturday night, but they need to be focused on the task at hand.
I just finished watching Tulane give USF all they wanted. I'm not trying to portray Tulane as some developing power, but they play hard for Dunleavey and will pulling out all the stops to keep from being an 'Ofer' for the league season.
Shocks are in ideal position to finish out the league year and secure the 6th seed. They will have to do a bit more than just show up Saturday night.
That is all.Above all, make the right call.
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Originally posted by Mr. Obvious View PostTulane is the worse team in the country.
As mentioned they are not a rising power, not even close. But they are not the worst team in the country.
Part of my point is not only did they just play USF down to the last possession, I was also in attendance back in '97 in STL when WSU lost in the play-in round to a 1-28 Drake team (and still emotionally scarred from that night).
Just saying they need to take care of business or as Big Al used to say "Just win, baby."
That is all.Last edited by ShockRef; March 6, 2019, 10:50 PM.Above all, make the right call.
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By the way, some of the projections we see regarding RPI (for what it's worth at this point), and also NET, are almost comically off the mark.
That Warren Nolan is full of sh!t man.:poster_shocks:
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Almost as much as Bob Denver.
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Just curious, Wheatman -- what makes you think Warren Nolan is clueless?
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Bob Denver as in Gilligan??
I just said that about Warren Nolan because I used his site to opine in Post #33 above. I drilled down to the Team Sheets and expected results and reported my findings based on that. Turns out he was waaay off with regards to RPI and SOS projections.
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Originally posted by MadDog View Post
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The NIT has NEVER taken a sum-.500 team but the NCAA has and does??? Interesting.FINAL FOURS:
1965, 2013
NCAA Tournament:
1964, 1965, 1976, 1981, 1985, 1987, 1988, 2006, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2021
NIT Champs - 1 (2011)
AP Poll History of Wichita St:
Number of Times Ranked: 157
Number of Times Ranked #1: 1
Number of Times Top 5: 32 (Most Recent - 2017)
Number of Times Top 10: 73 (Most Recent - 2013, 2014, 2015, 2017)
Highest Recent AP Ranking:
#3 - Dec. 2017
#2 ~ March 2014
Highest Recent Coaches Poll Ranking:
#2 ~ March 2014
Finished 2013 Season #4
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Originally posted by ShockRef View Post
Mr. O,
As mentioned they are not a rising power, not even close. But they are not the worst team in the country.
Part of my point is not only did they just play USF down to the last possession, I was also in attendance back in '97 in STL when WSU lost in the play-in round to a 1-28 Drake team (and still emotionally scarred from that night).
Just saying they need to take care of business or as Big Al used to say "Just win, baby."
That is all.
When Tulane was here, I was struck with how untalented they were but how HARD they played... It's their Super Bowl.
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Originally posted by MadDog View Post
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