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2022 - Severe Storms (T-Storms and Blizzards)
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Tuesday has shown a signal (at Days 4 and 5) for possible severe weather next week.
Tues Svr.jpg
Big questions with this one are moisture return and whether it edges further east each day?Last edited by SB Shock; March 26, 2022, 08:29 PM.
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Three days out, and the signal is there. Not a high-end threat, just a small threat of least some lightning.
Tues Svr2.jpg
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The following is experimental charts with probabilities for hail and tornadoes
Tues Svr-All.jpg
For all Threats
Tues Svr-Hail.jpg
For Hail Threats
Tues Svr-Torn.jpg
For Tornado Threats
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The threat has shifted slightly to the east. The main tornado threat is shifted to OK.
Be watching where the dryline sets up. Right now the models are showing the dry line through wichita-salina. If this verifies tomorrow - then any threat will be east of Wichita. If the dryline is set up west of Wichita then there will be a larger threat of severe weather.
Tues Svr3.jpg
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Back to east of the turnpikeInfinity Art Glass - Fantastic local artist and Shocker fan
RIP Guy Always A Shocker
Carpenter Place - A blessing to many young girls/women
ICT S.O.S - Great local cause fighting against human trafficking
Wartick Insurance Agency - Saved me money with more coverage.
Save Shocker Sports - A rallying cry
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Originally posted by SubGod22 View PostBack to east of the turnpike
Short range Models showing some initiation (around 6-7pm) just to the west and over Wichita with the dry line a little to the west.
Strong cap make it more difficult to forecast. Big bust potential but also more discrete supercells if it breaks. Oklahoma will be more likely squall line.
Watch the dew point - that maybe the best indicator.
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Latest update moved the slight risk slightly west of wichita, consistent with model trends. Tornado threat went from 2% to 5%.
day1otlk_1630.gifAttached Files
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Wichita NWS office as of this morning believe the action will be east of I35. It will be interesting to see in their early afternoon update if they stick with that or update their guidance.
Dryline resides west of Wichita. Dewpoint Hutchinson 52. St Johns 30. Dewpoints are not impressive as Wichita is sitting at 55. Looking at OK dewpoints, won't get much better as dewpoints are running 55-60 across the state. It is up approximately +20 from yesterday.
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Does anyone REALLY know what these maps mean? And living in Omaha, do these maps mean I'm in a similar weather situation as those of you in Wichita? Oh, Omaha is east of the turnpike.There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.
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