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2020-21 Bracketology

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  • 2020-21 Bracketology

    Bracketology: Your Way-Too-Early March Madness bracket for 2021, Version 1 - ESPN

    Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer,
    posted: 04/06/20, 7:00am cst

    https://www.espn.com/mens-college-ba...2021-version-1

    "In the best of times, Bracketology for future seasons is educated guessing at its finest. And these are anything but the best of times. With an understanding that all of us in college basketball are blessed to work in life's toy department, we press on toward a 2020-21 season with a hopeful eye and a wistful heart. The 2019-20 tourney-less campaign left us worse than in the lurch. It left us with a suddenness that was unprecedented and, Lord willing, unrepeatable....

    Our methodology for future brackets is based on an algorithm of returning minutes per team, the established level of production of those minutes and guesstimates of how (and how well) a team's non-returning minutes will be replaced. The NBA draft process and NCAA transfer portal present moving targets for everyone, so this bracket might be obsolete for at least some teams in a day, a week or a month. We'll update to reflect that movement as frequently as possible.

    In the meantime, know that a typical April bracket will correctly forecast about half of the top seeds for the following season. It will identify about two-thirds of the eventual at-large pool. And its misses will be glaring...."

    Teams of Interest
    4-seed, Houston
    8-seed, Oklahoma State
    12-seed, Western Kentucky

    Battle of Atlantis Teams
    1-seed, Creighton
    2-seed, Duke
    4-seed, West Virginia
    5-seed, Ohio State

    Wichita First Round Site
    1-seed, Creighton
    2-seed, Kansas

    Other Teams
    9-seed, UConn
    10-seed, Oklahoma
    11-seed, Loyola Chicago
    14-seed, New Mexico State
    Last edited by WuShock Reaper; April 6, 2020, 01:43 PM. Reason: Forgot Western Kentucky

  • #2
    If the Big East garners 2 #1 seeds and only has 4 total teams in the tourney, with UCONN being one of them.... They must have some really, really bad teams. I would think that having 2 #1 seeds would have some huge residual RPI/Net ranking implications for the other teams. Would think it would drag along a couple others. But I guess if the Big 12 is gonna be back to getting 7 teams in, then....
    "When life hands you lemons, make lemonade." Better have some sugar and water too, or else your lemonade will suck!

    Comment


    • #3
      2020-21 Bracketology - April Edition.JPG

      Lunardi has UConn still in the American Conference. The AAC has now become a 1-bid league.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by WuShock Reaper View Post
        2020-21 Bracketology - April Edition.JPG

        Lunardi has UConn still in the American Conference. The AAC has now become a 1-bid league.
        One bid my ass. The American is a 3 bid NCAA, 2 bid NIT minimum.
        When you believe in something, the only person that's gotta believe it is you. Everything else is for the birds.- LeVelle Moton
        Wichita is going to the rich side of town with a pack of matches and a five gallon tank of gasoline and try to burn everything to the ground

        Comment


        • #5
          Bracketology: ...in early 2021 bracket projection - CBS Sports

          by Jerry Palm
          Posted: 04/09/20, 1;45pm cst

          https://www.cbssports.com/college-ba...et-projection/

          "...In putting together a bracket this early, it is necessary to be lax with some of the bracketing rules. For instance, regular-season rematches are not factored in since we don't have full schedules to compare to yet.

          The NET rankings and other data on the Bracketology page is as of the end of the 2019-2020 season...."

          Teams of Interest
          4-seed, Houston
          9-seed, Oklahoma State
          11-seed, Memphis

          Battle of Atlantis Teams
          1-seed, Creighton
          3-seed, Duke
          5-seed, West Virginia
          9-seed, Ohio State

          Wichita First Round Site
          1-seed, Creighton
          2-seed, Kansas

          Other Teams
          8-seed, UConn
          8-seed, Northern Iowa
          10-seed, Oklahoma
          13-seed, New Mexico State

          First Four Out
          Tulsa, 2nd Spot

          Comment


          • #6
            A bit off topic maybe... but in Taylor’s breakdown of the AAC teams, it showed Precious NOT going pro... how is Memphis NOT a tourney team if so?

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by molly jabali View Post
              A bit off topic maybe... but in Taylor’s breakdown of the AAC teams, it showed Precious NOT going pro... how is Memphis NOT a tourney team if so?
              How did Memphis not run away with the AAC title this year? They had an absolutely LOADED roster, like one of the best recruiting classes in NCAA history. They should have, at minimum, won the conference. Memphis needs a real coach to have any guarantee like that.
              When you believe in something, the only person that's gotta believe it is you. Everything else is for the birds.- LeVelle Moton
              Wichita is going to the rich side of town with a pack of matches and a five gallon tank of gasoline and try to burn everything to the ground

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by shock View Post

                How did Memphis not run away with the AAC title this year? They had an absolutely LOADED roster, like one of the best recruiting classes in NCAA history. They should have, at minimum, won the conference. Memphis needs a real coach to have any guarantee like that.
                Youth played a big part I think.

                Comment


                • #9
                  UPDATED: "Bracketology:..." - ESPN

                  Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer,
                  posted: 04/14/20, 7:00am cst

                  http://www.espn.com/mens-college-bas...l/bracketology

                  Teams of Interest
                  4-seed, Houston
                  8-seed, Oklahoma State
                  12-seed, Western Kentucky

                  Battle of Atlantis Teams
                  2-seed, Duke
                  3-seed, Creighton
                  4-seed, West Virginia
                  5-seed, Ohio State

                  Wichita First Round Site
                  2-seed, Kansas
                  3-seed, Creighton

                  Other Teams
                  9-seed, UConn
                  9-seed, Oklahoma
                  12-seed, Loyola Chicago
                  13-seed, New Mexico State

                  First Four Out
                  None

                  Next Four Out
                  Memphis, 2nd Spot


                  No real changes other than Creighton moving from the 1-seed line to the 3-seed line.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by WuShock Reaper View Post
                    UPDATED: "Bracketology:..." - ESPN

                    Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer,
                    posted: 04/14/20, 7:00am cst

                    http://www.espn.com/mens-college-bas...l/bracketology

                    Teams of Interest
                    4-seed, Houston
                    8-seed, Oklahoma State
                    12-seed, Western Kentucky

                    Battle of Atlantis Teams
                    2-seed, Duke
                    3-seed, Creighton
                    4-seed, West Virginia
                    5-seed, Ohio State

                    Wichita First Round Site
                    2-seed, Kansas
                    3-seed, Creighton

                    Other Teams
                    9-seed, UConn
                    9-seed, Oklahoma
                    12-seed, Loyola Chicago
                    13-seed, New Mexico State

                    First Four Out
                    None

                    Next Four Out
                    Memphis, 2nd Spot


                    No real changes other than Creighton moving from the 1-seed line to the 3-seed line.
                    TyShon Alexander declared for the draft. He was Creighton's stud. They may drop further on more pundits radars.
                    There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by shock View Post

                      How did Memphis not run away with the AAC title this year? They had an absolutely LOADED roster, like one of the best recruiting classes in NCAA history. They should have, at minimum, won the conference. Memphis needs a real coach to have any guarantee like that.
                      One of their big-time freshmen (Weissman) quit the team right before he could come back and play, and they had injuries (Young and Jeffries).

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by SB Shock View Post

                        One of their big-time freshmen (Weissman) quit the team right before he could come back and play, and they had injuries (Young and Jeffries).
                        That was more of a rhetorical question. Wiseman quit for a reason, and they were unimpressive with Young and Jeffries.

                        Penny is a coach that needs an overwhelming leg up in talent to succeed.
                        When you believe in something, the only person that's gotta believe it is you. Everything else is for the birds.- LeVelle Moton
                        Wichita is going to the rich side of town with a pack of matches and a five gallon tank of gasoline and try to burn everything to the ground

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          UPDATED: "Bracketology:..." - ESPN

                          Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer,
                          posted: 04/28/20, 8:00am cst

                          https://www.espn.com/mens-college-bas...l/bracketology

                          Teams of Interest
                          3-seed, Houston
                          8-seed, Oklahoma State
                          12-seed, Western Kentucky

                          Battle of Atlantis Teams
                          2-seed, Duke
                          3-seed, Creighton
                          3-seed, West Virginia
                          4-seed, Ohio State

                          First Four Out
                          None

                          Next Four Out
                          SMU, 4th Spot

                          Wichita First Round Site
                          2-seed, Kansas
                          3-seed, Creighton

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by SB Shock View Post

                            One of their big-time freshmen (Weissman) quit the team right before he could come back and play, and they had injuries (Young and Jeffries).
                            They had a German on the team?!!!
                            "In God we trust, all others must bring data." - W. Edwards Deming

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by WuShock Reaper View Post
                              UPDATED: "Bracketology:..." - ESPN

                              Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer,
                              posted: 04/28/20, 8:00am cst

                              https://www.espn.com/mens-college-bas...l/bracketology

                              Teams of Interest
                              3-seed, Houston
                              8-seed, Oklahoma State
                              12-seed, Western Kentucky

                              Battle of Atlantis Teams
                              2-seed, Duke
                              3-seed, Creighton
                              3-seed, West Virginia
                              4-seed, Ohio State

                              First Four Out
                              None

                              Next Four Out
                              SMU, 4th Spot

                              Wichita First Round Site
                              2-seed, Kansas
                              3-seed, Creighton
                              You didn't include the records of the teams, ???
                              3-seed, Houston.......24-6
                              8-seed, Oklahoma State.....17-15
                              12-seed, Western Kentucky.....23-6

                              2-seed, Duke.....22-7
                              3-seed, Creighton.....18-13
                              3-seed, West Virginia.....19-13
                              4-seed, Ohio State.....17-15

                              Next Four Out SMU.....20-8

                              Comment

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