If UNI is getting an at large, then we are too. Despite how putrid we've played and our resume lacks any meaningful wins, it's still light years better than Northern Iowa. They have 4 crappy Valley losses, one of them to a 200+ team. They're hanging their hat on to one good win vs Colorado (who got taken behind UCLA on Saturday) and that's it. So as long as their name keeps popping around, then I guess I can be happy because there's zero chance they're getting an at large above us.
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Originally posted by ShockerFever View PostIf UNI is getting an at large, then we are too. Despite how putrid we've played and our resume lacks any meaningful wins, it's still light years better than Northern Iowa. They have 4 crappy Valley losses, one of them to a 200+ team. They're hanging their hat on to one good win vs Colorado (who got taken behind UCLA on Saturday) and that's it. So as long as their name keeps popping around, then I guess I can be happy because there's zero chance they're getting an at large above us.
I think a big key for us to feel safely in this season is for there to not be any bid theives from the following conferences:
Mountain West
Atlantic 10
SoCon
If San Diego State, Dayton, and ETSU all win their conference tournaments, that will give us a little more margin for error. If none or one of them does, we're gonna be sweating it out."In God we trust, all others must bring data." - W. Edwards Deming
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Originally posted by Maizerunner08 View PostWell I’ll spin things a bit. UNI is also an 11 seed in the ESPN bracket. However, they most likely have to win out to get in. Lucky for us, we probably can afford one more loss and get in. Thank you, American.
Less Good Wins (and a close enough winning percentage 4-3 vs 8-7)
More Bad Losses ( 2 vs 0)
Lower NET ( by 3)
Lower KP (by 4)
Lower Sagarin (by 27
Lower BPI (by 26)
Lower KPI (by 9)
Lower SOR (by 8)
Worse Average NET Win (152 vs 157)
Worse Average NET Loss (114 to 52)
Worse SOS (85 vs 98)Last edited by Stickboy46; February 24, 2020, 01:31 PM.
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Bracket Matrix update for this morning:
WSU in 95 of 96 brackets. 10 Seed with 7 teams below before the cut line
The one bracket without WSU?
NCAA bracketology for 2024 from the number crunchers at TeamRankings.com. Our algorithmic models project all 362 NCAA teams and update daily.
100% analytical site that also has Oklahoma state getting an At-large ...
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" Work to do
Wichita State Shockers
The most likely outcome for the Shockers would appear to be a seed in the Nos. 9-to-11 range in the NCAA tournament. That looks more probable than this team missing the bracket entirely, and it also recommends itself as more likely than the Shockers rising to a No. 8 seed (or higher). Barring a big 11th-hour push by Memphis or a bid thief at the American tournament, no remaining WSU regular-season opponent is going to receive an NCAA bid. That limits Wichita State's ability to improve its seeding. On the other hand, two victories in the last four games (say, home wins against Temple and Tulsa) might prove sufficient, even if the Shockers were to drop both games on the road (to SMU and Memphis).
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The SoCon, Valley, and Mountain West tournaments are all within a week from today. We have to hope/pray for:
- ETSU to win the SoCon title game (one week from today)
- UNI to win the Valley title game (Sunday afternoon)
- San Diego State or Utah St. to win the Mountain West title game (Saturday night)
These three results could be the difference between feeling comfortable and sweating it out. The other results we need would be for Gonzaga, St. Mary's, or BYU to win the WCC tournament (Tuesday night), and for UCLA and Arizona St. to not win the Pac-12 tournament.
Basically, there are eleven conference leaders ahead of us in the NET currently, and we need to pray that in those eleven conferences, teams ahead of us win those conference tournaments."In God we trust, all others must bring data." - W. Edwards Deming
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Originally posted by Kel Varnsen View PostThe SoCon, Valley, and Mountain West tournaments are all within a week from today. We have to hope/pray for:
- ETSU to win the SoCon title game (one week from today)
- UNI to win the Valley title game (Sunday afternoon)
- San Diego State or Utah St. to win the Mountain West title game (Saturday night)
These three results could be the difference between feeling comfortable and sweating it out. The other results we need would be for Gonzaga, St. Mary's, or BYU to win the WCC tournament (Tuesday night), and for UCLA and Arizona St. to not win the Pac-12 tournament.
Basically, there are eleven conference leaders ahead of us in the NET currently, and we need to pray that in those eleven conferences, teams ahead of us win those conference tournaments.
If we win out and add a win in the AAC toirney, I'm not sure we are gonna get bumped by an auto qualifier.
Teams like UNI ir ETSU... I could be wrong but if they tag on a bad loss in their conference tourney they are screwed."When life hands you lemons, make lemonade." Better have some sugar and water too, or else your lemonade will suck!
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Originally posted by Kel Varnsen View Post43 in the NET today. Up 2 spots from 45.Deuces Valley.
... No really, deuces.
________________
"Enjoy the ride."
- a smart man
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