"More Than One-Third of Preseason Top 25 Teams Fail to Win an NCAA Tournament Game" - HERO Sports
By Andrew Doughty
Published on October 22, 2018 at 3:06 PM EDT
"Since 2006, more than 100 preseason top-25 teams have failed to win an NCAA Tournament game that season....
Arizona was ranked No. 3 in last year's preseason AP Top 25. Wichita State was ranked No. 4, and USC was No. 10. None of those three teams won a game in the 2018 NCAA Tournament, nor did eight other preseason top-25 teams.
Last year's futility -- seven non-tourney teams plus four more without a tourney win -- was unusual, but it's still common for preseason top-25 teams to flounder. Since 2006-07, 301 teams have been ranked in the preseason AP Top 25 (Michigan and Utah tied for 25th in 2014-15). Of those 301 teams, 110 have failed to win an NCAA Tournament game, or 36.5 percent. Forty-seven of the 301 teams missed the tourney entirely, or 15.6 percent.
Postseason success has been especially tricky for teams ranked 17th and 21st. Only 50 percent of the last 24 teams to be ranked in those two spots made the tournament. And only 37.5 percent of teams ranked 17th or 21st won a tournament game. Oddly, 12 of the 13 teams ranked 25th have made the tournament and nearly 50 percent of those 13 teams won a game...."
By Andrew Doughty
Published on October 22, 2018 at 3:06 PM EDT
"Since 2006, more than 100 preseason top-25 teams have failed to win an NCAA Tournament game that season....
Arizona was ranked No. 3 in last year's preseason AP Top 25. Wichita State was ranked No. 4, and USC was No. 10. None of those three teams won a game in the 2018 NCAA Tournament, nor did eight other preseason top-25 teams.
Last year's futility -- seven non-tourney teams plus four more without a tourney win -- was unusual, but it's still common for preseason top-25 teams to flounder. Since 2006-07, 301 teams have been ranked in the preseason AP Top 25 (Michigan and Utah tied for 25th in 2014-15). Of those 301 teams, 110 have failed to win an NCAA Tournament game, or 36.5 percent. Forty-seven of the 301 teams missed the tourney entirely, or 15.6 percent.
Postseason success has been especially tricky for teams ranked 17th and 21st. Only 50 percent of the last 24 teams to be ranked in those two spots made the tournament. And only 37.5 percent of teams ranked 17th or 21st won a tournament game. Oddly, 12 of the 13 teams ranked 25th have made the tournament and nearly 50 percent of those 13 teams won a game...."
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