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Election Day 2016

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  • #46
    Silver, doing his best Jerry Palm impression, drops Trump's odds 7% this morning (versus his prior upward adjustment yesterday evening) despite the absence of new polls showing any meaningful shift. Definitely was not pandering for clicks over the last couple weeks with outlier projections.

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    • #47
      Election Day has arrived and here are where the RCP averages stand as voters hit the booths:

      -H2H - Clinton 46.8, Trump 43.2

      -4-way - Clinton 45.5, Trump 42.2, Johnson 4.7, Stein 1.9

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      • #48
        First wave of polls have closed.

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        • #49
          County by county results indicate Trump is going to take an ass whooping.

          Senate still very much up for grabs.

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          • #50
            Rubio wins in FL despite early returns looking very strong for Clinton in that state.

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            • #51
              Originally posted by Play Angry View Post
              County by county results indicate Trump is going to take an ass whooping.

              Senate still very much up for grabs.
              Where are you seeing this? CNN has Trump winning the popular vote early and within 1% in Florida.
              Livin the dream

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              • #52
                Originally posted by wufan View Post
                Where are you seeing this? CNN has Trump winning the popular vote early and within 1% in Florida.
                About 100 different sources across 4 screens - lots of good local reporters and some SOSs will release county results way way way earlier than what is reflected on CNN/NBC/MSNBC/FOX News etc.

                Too lazy and obsessively preoccupied to post a bunch of links but they are p easy to find if ya wanna dive down the twitter rabbit hole.

                edit: if you want to cut through the mico-level bs just monitor the odds swings on PredictIt in real time to get a good feel

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                • #53
                  FL gonna be super duper close once Broward rolls in, impressive turnout #s all around

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                  • #54
                    Damn, he's gonna win Florida

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                    • #55
                      Wow demographic splits this year are going to be crazy.

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                      • #56
                        OH is actually starting to look increasingly good for Trump

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                        • #57
                          Turnout really is at crazy levels across the board, this is nuts for two candidates with such low approval ratings.

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                          • #58
                            Trump odds surging as rural turnout is through the roof.

                            Up to 28% at this point.

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                            • #59
                              Originally posted by Play Angry View Post
                              Turnout really is at crazy levels across the board, this is nuts for two candidates with such low approval ratings.
                              I think people underestimate the hate for both candidates

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                              • #60
                                FB_IMG_1478657709375.jpg
                                There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.

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