Silver, doing his best Jerry Palm impression, drops Trump's odds 7% this morning (versus his prior upward adjustment yesterday evening) despite the absence of new polls showing any meaningful shift. Definitely was not pandering for clicks over the last couple weeks with outlier projections.
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Election Day 2016
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Election Day has arrived and here are where the RCP averages stand as voters hit the booths:
-H2H - Clinton 46.8, Trump 43.2
-4-way - Clinton 45.5, Trump 42.2, Johnson 4.7, Stein 1.9
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Originally posted by wufan View PostWhere are you seeing this? CNN has Trump winning the popular vote early and within 1% in Florida.
Too lazy and obsessively preoccupied to post a bunch of links but they are p easy to find if ya wanna dive down the twitter rabbit hole.
edit: if you want to cut through the mico-level bs just monitor the odds swings on PredictIt in real time to get a good feel
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