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Election Day 2016

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  • #31
    Originally posted by SB Shock View Post
    Unless the polls are absolutely flawed - Hillary will have it wrapped up before the polls close out west and the Republican will lose the senate. Worst case in senate for democrats is that Kaine is the deciding vote.
    538 shows a 44.1% chance that Republicans maintain at least 51 seats (a majority) in the Senate.

    38.6% Dems reach 51+
    17.3% of a 50/50 tie

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    • #32
      Is this B.S.? I can't tell what information to belive anymore:

      Mitt Romney went into Election Day down 161,000 in absentee ballots and early voting. He ended up losing the state by 74,000.

      This time, in a dramatic surprise twist, Trump is only down 32,500! And Republicans tend to outvote Democrats on Election Day in Florida.
      Source: http://drudgereport.com/flashfl.htm
      Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

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      • #33
        Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
        II can't tell what information to believe anymore
        Join the club. This is a major problem in my opinion but our alleged free press have seemingly abandoned even a pretense of objectivity and independence. I don't see this changing anytime soon, if ever.

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        • #34
          Drudge basically copied the first few sentences from yesterday afternoon's Politico article, put sirens around it and pretended he was the one breaking news.

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          • #35
            Markets are pricing in a ~60% chance that Clinton will receive between 320 and 360 electoral votes as of this afternoon (37% for 320 < EV < 339 and 22% for 340 < EV < 359). This is a little surprising given the favorable OH polling (for Trump) that came out earlier today coupled with solid reports for the GOP on NC early voting.

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            • #36
              Originally posted by Play Angry View Post
              Markets are pricing in a ~60% chance that Clinton will receive between 320 and 360 electoral votes as of this afternoon (37% for 320 < EV < 339 and 22% for 340 < EV < 359). This is a little surprising given the favorable OH polling (for Trump) that came out earlier today coupled with solid reports for the GOP on NC early voting.
              Id take a piece of that 360 action.

              It says that Trump is way out peforming Romney in Florida and North Carolina and actually leading in Colorado. Is North Carolina and Colorado a surprise or is this expected based on national polls?
              Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

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              • #37
                Originally posted by Play Angry View Post
                Drudge basically copied the first few sentences from yesterday afternoon's Politico article, put sirens around it and pretended he was the one breaking news.
                Thats how Drudge always works. He just turns someone elses article into a more sensational headline and then links to their article.
                Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

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                • #38
                  RCP average for Colorado was 2.9. With Trump leading in early voting that has to flip Trump doesnt it?
                  Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
                    RCP average for Colorado was 2.9. With Trump leading in early voting that has to flip Trump doesnt it?
                    Fire up the deposit on PredictIt and make that easy cheddar if your gut says yes? Odds are nearly 5-1 against at the moment.

                    Florida is also 2-1 in favor of Clinton right now.

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                    • #40
                      Originally posted by Play Angry View Post
                      Fire up the deposit on PredictIt and make that easy cheddar if your gut says yes? Odds are nearly 5-1 against at the moment.

                      Florida is also 2-1 in favor of Clinton right now.
                      5-to-1? Wow.
                      Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        538 has Colorado at 3-1 in favor of Hillary. 70% chance for Hillary to win Presidency overall.

                        And Nate Silver is the outlier that says the race is closer than almost any of the other pollsters.

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                        • #42
                          Originally posted by Jamar Howard 4 President View Post
                          538 shows a 44.1% chance that Republicans maintain at least 51 seats (a majority) in the Senate.

                          38.6% Dems reach 51+
                          17.3% of a 50/50 tie

                          http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...6-forecast#now
                          Well things have improved dramatically for the republican senate then - last I had seen it was almost 70-30% for the democrats.

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                          • #43
                            I totally just let my 8 year old vote for me. :)
                            Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!

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                            • #44
                              Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
                              I totally just let my 8 year old vote for me. :)
                              Letting the 8 yr old get bathed in the stench of voting for Trump? That's pretty much child abuse!

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                              • #45
                                I voted for the guy standing directly in line behind me . . .






                                . . . for state representative.

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