Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

2018 AAC Ratings and Rankings

Collapse
X
Collapse
First Prev Next Last
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #31
    This week's (through 4 November matches) RPIs of interest-

    11 - UCF
    23 - Cincinnati
    45 - Shockers
    47 - Tulsa

    The Shock's non-conference opponent's winning percentage is now 73.6%.

    Comment


    • #32
      Bracketology Guy - Nov 5

      64 Projected NCAA-Tournament Teams, listed by Conference
      Projected Champion listed first || separated by at large teams

      AAC - UCF || At-Large: Cincinnati, Tulsa

      Last 4 in: Tulsa, Notre Dame, Miami-FL, Dayton
      First 4 out: Wichita State, Western Kentucky, Colorado, Indiana



      Bubble Team Profiles

      AAC


      Wichita State (12-12, 7-6 AAC)

      RPI: 45
      SOS rank: 8
      Record against 1-25 RPI: 0-7
      Record against 26-50 RPI: 0-2
      Record against 51-100 RPI: 4-1
      Significant Wins: James Madison
      Significant Losses: SMU, Houston
      Last 10 games: 3-1
      Remaining Matches: vs. Houston, vs. SMU, at Temple, at UConn, vs. Tulsa, vs. North Texas

      Tulsa (17-8, 9-4 AAC)

      RPI: 49
      SOS rank: 62
      Record against 1-25 RPI: 0-5
      Record against 26-50 RPI: 1-2
      Record against 51-100 RPI: 3-0
      Significant Wins: Wichita State
      Significant Losses: SMU
      Last 10 games: 3-2
      Remaining Matches: vs. SMU, vs. Houston, at UConn, at Temple, at Wichita State

      Tulane (20-7, 8-4 AAC)
      RPI: 70
      SOS rank: 160
      Record against 1-25 RPI: 1-1
      Record against 26-50 RPI: 0-2
      Record against 51-100 RPI: 1-3
      Significant Wins: Cincinnati
      Significant Losses: Wofford
      Last 10 games: 5-0
      Remaining Matches: vs. Temple, vs. UConn, @cincinnati, @ecu, vs. Memphis


      I assume the at-large choice of Tulsa over the Shockers is a higher assumed finish in the AAC.

      Rationale for some of the at-larges is expected later.

      Comment


      • #33
        However, the RPI Futures has the following:

        10 (11) - UCF
        21 (21) - Cincinnati
        51 (49) - Wichita State
        65 (69) - Tulsa

        Conference finish? RPI? Moot because neither the Shockers nor Tulsa will be an at-large?


        1000 Simulations with the chance of being Top 45 in parentheses
        10 - UCF
        21 - Cincinnati
        51 - Wichita State (23%)
        65 - Tulsa (3%)

        No difference. With only three weekends left, that is not too surprising.
        Last edited by flyingMoose; November 6th, 2018, 03:28 AM.

        Comment


        • #34
          In answer to a question on VT,

          RPI is in Wichita State’s favor. They really need to beat Tulsa, and hope that Tulane wins out.



          Well, Tulane is at Cincinnati yet, so the chances of them winning out are not great, although Tulane currently has the third best Pablo value in the AAC.
          Last edited by flyingMoose; November 6th, 2018, 03:29 AM.

          Comment


          • #35
            This week's (through 11 November matches) RPIs of interest, verifying what we pretty much already know-

            10 - UCF
            24 - Cincinnati

            54 - Tulsa
            61 - Shockers
            67 - Tulane


            The RPI Futures has the following:

            10 (10) - UCF
            The Knights will surely host the first round.

            24 (21) - Cincinnati
            The Bearcats will receive an at-large bid.

            The following are looking forward to spring practices.
            60 (69) - Tulane
            71 (51) - Shockers
            74 (65) - Tulsa
            This assumes a Shocker win over Tulsa (they still have a slighter better Pablo value and play at home) which I think no one on this site expects. As noted earlier, Pablo does not quickly reflect injuries and very recent level of play.

            Comment


            • 1972Shocker
              1972Shocker commented
              Editing a comment
              My guess is either Tulane or Tulsa will represent the AAC in the NIVC. Tulane currently leads Tulsa by 1 game with 3 matches to play. Tulane has Cincy, ECU and Memphis left. Tulsa has UConn, Temple and WSU.

              If they tie Tulsa owns a win over Tulane in the only match they will play this season.

          • #36
            To prolong the agony, I guess ...


            Bracketology Guy - Nov 12

            64 Projected NCAA-Tournament Teams, listed by Conference
            Projected Champion listed first || separated by at large teams

            AAC - UCF || At-Large: Cincinnati

            Last 4 in:
            First 4 out:
            Next 4 out: Tulane


            Bubble Team Profiles

            AAC
            Tulane (23-7, 11-4 AAC)
            RPI: 67
            SOS rank: 184
            Record against 1-25 RPI: 1-1
            Record against 26-50 RPI: 0-0
            Record against 51-100 RPI: 1-4
            Significant Wins: Cincinnati
            Significant Losses: Wofford
            Last 10 games: 7-0
            Remaining Matches: @cincinnati, @ecu, vs. Memphis

            Comment


            • #37
              The Shockers RPI is now 90 ... one slot behind Bradley.

              The average attendance is 2278, 17th in the table.


              6-year history of Bracketology:
              Missed on only FOUR at-large bids

              Missed on eight seeded teams


              Bracketology Guy - Nov 19

              64 Projected NCAA-Tournament Teams, listed by Conference
              Projected Champion listed first || separated by at large teams

              AAC - UCF || At-Large: Cincinnati

              UCF is projected to be a 12 Seed.

              Comment


              • #38
                Bracketology Guy missed one seeded team and two at-large teams. He noted that cases could be made for about six at-large teams for the last two spots, so he did not feel real confident about his final couple of picks. However, he strongly disagrees with K-State being left out since they swept Hawaii, one of the at-larges, twice early in the season.

                K-State and Kansas were the among the first four left out.

                Comment

                Working...
                X