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2016 Bracketology

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  • Originally posted by Horn28Clem30 View Post
    Bleacher Report has us as a play in game w/ VCU for an 11 seed. Worst case, if it comes down to needing to be in the play in game to make it...fine.
    I have no problem with it. 3 games in 6 days isn't that big of deal.

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    • http://espn.go.com/mens-college-bask.../iteration/252 interesting, I can see this
      I have come here to chew bubblegum and kickass ... and I'm all out of bubblegum.

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      • I would not be disappointed with a play in game. If we can't win it then we don't belong and the extra
        game might be a help after a long lay off. My gut tells me we will be in with a 12 seed though.

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        • Depending on the bracket, I'd generally prefer to be a 10-seed than an 8 or 9.
          "You Don't Have to Play a Perfect Game. Your Best is Good Enough."

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          • If you adjust our RPI for our injuries, we are around 30 dropping Orlando or 18ish assuming most-likely outcomes (beat USC, lose to Xavier, beat Monmouth). Compared to Missouri State in 2006, we are clearly a better team with a better resume. Missouri played and lost to a single top 100 team in their OOC (#45 Arkansas), and was 2nd in the MVC (2 games behind 1st) with a scoring margin of 5.3 PTs/G. The 7th best team we played in our OOC would be the 2nd best team Missouri State did, and they didn't have as strong a conference performance (20 PTs/G, win by 4 games) or injury issues or a high KenPom. Missouri was left out explicitly because they did not even try to put together a non-conference schedule.

            Compare to the teams that are supposed to overtake us. No team over 80 in KenPom or 67 in RPI has ever got an at-large. So no LSU, Alabama, Temple, Houston, or Michigan. And only 3 each have ever gotten in with an RPI over 62 or a KenPom in the 70s. That hits Gonzaga, Saint Bonaventure, and George Washington. If we are penalized for not having enough quality wins, surely they can't jump us with a team with the same problem. The following are within 1 win of us either top50 or top100: Saint Mary's, Cincinnati, VCU, Valporaiso, SDSU, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Monmouth, AR Little Rock, Pittsburgh, Florida, Tulsa, and Connecticut.

            Finally, no team in the last 5 years has missing the tournament with a 30 or lower KenPom. We are 11. We are so far above the mark it isn't funny. Add in the adjusted RPI being 18 or 30, and you could make a solid case that healthy we are a 3-4 seed and even with a bare minimum adjustment for injuries we have an argument for as high as a 7 seed. Conservative seeding should put us somewhere in the 9-10 range.

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            • Originally posted by asiseeit View Post
              I would not be disappointed with a play in game. If we can't win it then we don't belong and the extra
              game might be a help after a long lay off. My gut tells me we will be in with a 12 seed though.
              we had "play in games" at the Loo

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              • pinstripers - if you could take the play in game right now or wait and see what the committee does
                what would you opt for?

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                • Absolutely take the play in game

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                  • is that an option?

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                    • Originally posted by ShockdaWorld View Post
                      Depending on the bracket, I'd generally prefer to be a 10-seed than an 8 or 9.
                      Generally, you are probably correct. That said, with the exception of Kansas, who is playing really well right now (but I still think we match-up well with them), the 1s and 2s are probably interchangeable this year.
                      78-65

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                      • Hey, Butler fan here.
                        I really hope you guys make again this year. Obviously I don't want Butler to face you in the first round though, Lunardi is projecting as of today. I'm getting kinda nervous that WSU and/or Monmouth might get the shaft.

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                        • Originally posted by readyletsgo View Post
                          Hey, Butler fan here.
                          I really hope you guys make again this year. Obviously I don't want Butler to face you in the first round though, Lunardi is projecting as of today. I'm getting kinda nervous that WSU and/or Monmouth might get the shaft.
                          The way the committee bones mid majors all the time...they'll play each other i'm sure.

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                          • Originally posted by pinstripers View Post
                            we had "play in games" at the Loo
                            If that's true then we're in the tournament. One game on Wednesday gets you in. We won on Friday.

                            Step off the ledge man!

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                            • Originally posted by shoxlax View Post
                              Kellen Marshall just flat out owned Seth Davis on Twitter. It was like he was reading this board
                              Keep in mind that these media guys in this day and age could care less about being right. It is all about creating clicks and the easiest way to do that is to piss people off.

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                              • A comparative discussion of the resumes of WSU, Monmouth and Valpo by SB Nation.

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