2014-15 RealTime Projections

[im4wsu]

While the RealTime RPI's are a JOKE this early, KjSU #14, KU #144 and WSU #169, here are the projected records for the season:

Rank		School	W-L	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Conf.	Conf. W-L
	1	Arizona	26-3	0.6443	22	0.5510	Pac12	15-3
	2	Kentucky	26-5	0.6414	5	0.5647	Sec	14-4
	3	VCU	27-3	0.6410	36	0.5452	Atl10	16-2
	4	Wisconsin	23-5	0.6375	7	0.5630	Big10	13-4
	5	Louisville	27-4	0.6366	26	0.5486	Acc	14-4
	6	Virginia	23-6	0.6318	6	0.5632	Acc	14-4
	7	Villanova	27-3	0.6205	83	0.5179	Bige	16-2
	8	Wichita St.	27-0	0.6183	119	0.4911	Mvc	18-0
	9	Iowa	24-6	0.6178	29	0.5471	Big10	13-5
	10	Kansas	22-7	0.6175	10	0.5624	Big12	12-6
	11	Florida	24-5	0.6172	41	0.5411	Sec	16-2
	12	N. Carolina	19-8	0.6166	2	0.5748	Acc	11-7
	13	Creighton	27-3	0.6133	97	0.5074	Bige	16-2
	14	Connecticut	22-6	0.6113	46	0.5395	Aac	14-4
	15	Duke	22-8	0.6112	18	0.5570	Acc	12-6
	16	Pittsburgh	20-8	0.6095	9	0.5627	Acc	11-7
	17	Michigan	20-8	0.6090	14	0.5587	Big10	12-6
	18	Memphis	24-5	0.6084	74	0.5247	Aac	14-4
	19	Cincinnati	23-6	0.6083	52	0.5338	Aac	14-4
	20	Syracuse	22-8	0.6041	28	0.5476	Acc	13-5

[WuShock16]

So, you're saying that their projected records are a joke too? Interesting pick at 13.

[ShockerFever]

I'm sorry, but it does lose a lot of credibility with it spitting out that garbage from #13. I mean seriously?

[ShockerEngineer]

I'm sorry, but it does lose a lot of credibility with it spitting out that garbage from #13. I mean seriously?

Wow.. I wouldn't even bet on them doing that well if they still had Dougie.

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

It is November 19th. The computer formulas are mostly worthless right now. Just ignore them for a few more weeks and things will start to shape up better.

[CBB_Fan]

Wow.. I wouldn't even bet on them doing that well if they still had Dougie.

Have they dug up the zombified corpse of Grant Gibbs or something?

[Cdizzle]

I won't give a flying flip what anyone else does if we go undefeated again.

[Dave Stalwart]

Just seeing CU with a 27-3 overall record and a 16-2 mid major east record is as funny as hearing your favorite comedian live. You almost can't pay for jokes that good, so thank you for posting this list.

I guess the RealTime projection computer didn't catch the part where the mid major east coaches voted CU almost last place this year. Does that mean every other team in the mid major east will go 17-1? DePaul was 10th, so I guess they will be 15-3 for last place.

[SHOXAAC]

I'm sorry, but it does lose a lot of credibility with it spitting out that garbage from #13. I mean seriously?

Come on Fev, it's easy to figure out. They think Dougie is on the Grant Gibbs mortgage plan and is still playing.

[Downtown Shocker Brown]

Who exactly do you see beating CU?

DePaul? Butler? Providence? St. Johns? Seton Hall? Marquette?

They could split with Georgetown, Villanova, and Xavier and win the rest. Not because they are good, but because the league is that bad?

[Dave Stalwart]

Who exactly do you see beating CU?

DePaul? Butler? Providence? St. Johns? Seton Hall? Marquette?

They could split with Georgetown, Villanova, and Xavier and win the rest. Not because they are good, but because the league is that bad?

I'll give you this... If I were being honest, I would say that I don't actually think CU will be 9th like the coaches picked. The coaches probably know more than we do, but at the same time, I've followed CU an awful lot as a Shocker fan over the years. If you had asked me to make the list, I would have had them closer to 5th or 6th place in the mid major east. Like you said, not because they are good, but because the bottom of the league isn't that good and anything could happen. I think Creighton will be better than Butler, Seton Hall, DePaul and maybe Marquette. That still doesn't mean they will be any good, though, and they sure as heck won't be 27-3/16-2. McD might be National COY if that happens.

[ripemupshocks]

On the other hand, Team Rankings has WSU #1 in their Power Ranking:

www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/ranking/overall-power-ranking-by-team

1	Wichita St (2-0)	121.8	0-0	1-0	0-0	1	3	2
2	Louisville (2-0)	119.6	0-0	1-0	0-0	1	4	1
3	Arizona (2-0)	118.7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	4	3
4	Virginia (3-0)	117.5	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	6	4
5	Kentucky (3-0)	117.4	1-0	0-0	1-0	5	14	14
6	Duke (3-0)	117.0	1-0	0-0	0-0	6	18	15
7	Connecticut (1-0)	116.8	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	7	5
8	Wisconsin (2-0)	116.8	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	8	6
9	Villanova (2-0)	116.5	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	9	7
10	Michigan (1-0)	116.3	0-0	0-0	0-0	8	10	8
11	Florida (1-1)	116.1	0-0	0-1	0-0	1	11	10
12	Syracuse (2-0)	115.8	0-0	0-0	0-0	11	14	11
13	Iowa State (2-0)	115.7	0-0	0-0	0-0	9	13	9
14	San Diego St (2-0)	115.1	0-0	0-0	1-0	14	18	16
15	VCU (2-0)	115.0	0-0	1-0	1-0	15	23	19
16	Gonzaga (2-0)	114.9	0-0	1-0	0-0	16	26	17
17	N Carolina (2-0)	114.6	0-0	0-0	0-0	17	22	18
18	Cincinnati (1-0)	114.5	0-0	0-0	0-0	15	20	20
19	Creighton (2-0)	114.2	0-0	0-0	0-0	19	23	23
20	UCLA (2-0)	114.1	0-0	0-0	0-0	15	21	21

:cowbell:

[im4wsu]

At 11:15 on November 21

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime					Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Record	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
21-Nov	176	0.4583	249	0.2778	9	81.00	297	42.06	27 - 0	12	0.6113	133	0.4817

[im4wsu]

Saturday 11/22 at 1:00 p.m.

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime					Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Record	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
21-Nov	176	0.4583	249	0.2778	9	81.00	297	42.06	27 - 0	12	0.6113	133	0.4817
22-Nov	188	0.4583	269	0.2778	9	80.49	303	42.06	27 - 0	7	0.6212	115	0.4949

[WSUwatcher]

The last time I looked at Warren Nolan's site, I believe Evansville was #1 in his Nolan Power Index (NPI) rankings.

Either numbers don't mean much at this time of year, or the Valley is about to burst on the national scene in a way none of us could imagine.