Tracking RealTime RPI,Team Power and Projected Rankings

[WSUwatcher]

Turns out getting RPI-bombed by LUC isn't as bad as losing. Yay!

If there's one thing to avoid so as not to mess up your RPI, it's lose at home.

[im4wsu]

Interesting,KenPom said there were no games yesterday that would affect the Shockers values, yet all the numbers in the RealTime changed:

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
2-Jan	12	0.6459	102	0.5279	8	81.63	142	49.85	15	0.6137	142	0.4850
3-Jan	16	0.6365	135	0.5154	9	81.23	221	48.79	13	0.6150	141	0.4867
4-Jan	15	0.6364	138	0.5152	9	81.26	222	48.77	15	0.6364	138	0.5152
5-Jan	14	0.6434	116	0.5245	7	83.00	193	49.73	14	0.6147	145	0.4863
6-Jan	13	0.6437	112	0.5249	6	83.16	190	49.78	13	0.6157	143	0.4876
7-Jan	13	0.6434	112	0.5246	6	83.14	194	49.75	13	0.6150	143	0.4867
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
9-Jan	12	0.6512	96	0.5349	6	83.82	151	50.81	13	0.6190	142	0.4920
10-Jan	11	0.6543	91	0.5390	6	83.44	144	51.24	10	0.6212	136	0.4949
11-Jan	11	0.6543	91	0.5391	6	83.45	145	51.24	11	0.6211	136	0.4948
12-Jan	12	0.6599	76	0.5466	6	85.11	120	52.05	10	0.6234	133	0.4978
13-Jan	10	0.6609	76	0.5479	5	85.01	116	52.18	8	0.6239	131	0.4985
14-Jan	10	0.6610	74	0.5480	5	84.86	110	52.19	7	0.6246	128	0.4994
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
16-Jan	9	0.6559	89	0.5412	5	84.71	125	51.69	7	0.6252	128	0.5002
17-Jan	10	0.6555	91	0.5406	5	84.34	123	51.70	7	0.6255	126	0.5006
18-Jan	10	0.6557	91	0.5409	5	84.37	124	51.73	8	0.6247	131	0.4996
19-Jan	9	0.6646	70	0.5528	5	85.67	93	52.92	7	0.6286	119	0.5047
20-Jan	9	0.6647	68	0.5530	5	85.71	92	52.94	8	0.6285	120	0.5047
21-Jan	9	0.6640	68	0.5520	5	85.72	91	52.86	8	0.6280	124	0.5040
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
23-Jan	7	0.6658	65	0.5545	4	85.78	92	52.93	9	0.6298	119	0.5063
24-Jan	7	0.6676	61	0.5568	4	85.40	88	53.18	8	0.6319	115	0.5092
25-Jan	7	0.6666	62	0.5555	4	85.36	91	53.06	7	0.6318	117	0.5091
26-Jan	8	0.6627	73	0.5502	3	85.40	99	52.71	8	0.6333	114	0.5110
27-Jan	7	0.6621	73	0.5495	3	85.36	96	52.65	9	0.6326	113	0.5101
28-Jan	6	0.6631	71	0.5508	3	85.36	95	52.78	8	0.6325	114	0.5101
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[im4wsu]

Sunday morning at 9:30. 23-0 and a dry-road trip to Koch yesterday! I've put weekly values for January, but if anybody wants to see a complete daily and not look back to prior postings, just let me know and I'll post the complete daily.

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[MadaboutWu]

I like the new format. Thanks for your work on this.

[im4wsu]

Monday morning at 8:00. Waiting to see Shocks #2 today.

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
3-Feb	7	0.6562	87	0.5415	3	86.58	114	52.14	7	0.6375	109	0.5167
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[im4wsu]

Tuesday at 8:00 am

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
3-Feb	7	0.6562	87	0.5415	3	86.58	114	52.14	7	0.6375	109	0.5167
4-Feb	7	0.6559	88	0.5411	3	86.55	113	52.12	8	0.6364	110	0.5152
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[im4wsu]

Gameday, Wednesday at 8:05 am.

Although there were no games yesterday supposedly affecting the Shockers, the numbers are slightly different

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
3-Feb	7	0.6562	87	0.5415	3	86.58	114	52.14	7	0.6375	109	0.5167
4-Feb	7	0.6559	88	0.5411	3	86.55	113	52.12	8	0.6364	110	0.5152
5-Feb	8	0.6557	88	0.5410	3	86.56	113	52.11	8	0.6363	110	0.5151
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[1972Shocker]

For the Valley to move up from its current RPI ranking of 11 to 9 we would have to pass the West Coast Conference.

The Valley's average RPI ranking is currently 152.7. The WCC's current RPI ranking is 107.5. We have a ways to go.

The average RPI of the Valley's top 5 is 75.4 vs 62.4 for the WCC.

The average RPI of the Valley's bottom 5 is 230 vs 160.4 for the WCC.

The Valley needs improvement across the board but it particularly needs improvement from the bottom half of the conference.

[im4wsu]

Thursday at 8:00 am - Win on road at #2 team in conference and there is some improvement

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
3-Feb	7	0.6562	87	0.5415	3	86.58	114	52.14	7	0.6375	109	0.5167
4-Feb	7	0.6559	88	0.5411	3	86.55	113	52.12	8	0.6364	110	0.5152
5-Feb	8	0.6557	88	0.5410	3	86.56	113	52.11	8	0.6363	110	0.5151
6-Feb	6	0.6603	81	0.5470	3	86.84	102	52.51	7	0.6380	108	0.5173
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[Anthroshock]

Any idea what our RPI and SoS would be without Tenn St on the schedule? Can we sue the CBE for damages?

[WSUwatcher]

Not RealTime's numbers, but for what it's worth, the Shocks are actually #1 by a comfortable margin in Warren Nolan's power index (NPI), with Arizona second followed by Villanova, Syracuse, San Diego St, and then #6 St Louis (!), one of the nobodies WSU beat at their place.

[im4wsu]

Friday at 8:10 am

	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS
1-Jan	12	0.6507	94	0.5276	7	82.44	171		14	0.6131	147
8-Jan	13	0.6466	101	0.5288	6	83.47	174	50.22	13	0.6169	143	0.4893
15-Jan	11	0.6557	87	0.5410	5	84.61	128	51.60	8	0.6251	127	0.5001
22-Jan	9	0.6642	72	0.5523	5	85.76	89	52.89	10	0.6275	125	0.5033
29-Jan	9	0.6578	82	0.5438	4	85.10	109	52.15	9	0.6339	110	0.5118
30-Jan	7	0.6565	81	0.5420	4	84.88	109	52.07	9	0.6338	113	0.5117
31-Jan	7	0.6584	80	0.5446	4	85.03	105	52.32	9	0.6347	112	0.5129
1-Feb	7	0.6590	80	0.5453	4	84.63	104	52.40	8	0.6351	112	0.5135
2-Feb	7	0.6556	87	0.5408	3	86.40	114	52.08	8	0.6361	110	0.5148
3-Feb	7	0.6562	87	0.5415	3	86.58	114	52.14	7	0.6375	109	0.5167
4-Feb	7	0.6559	88	0.5411	3	86.55	113	52.12	8	0.6364	110	0.5152
5-Feb	8	0.6557	88	0.5410	3	86.56	113	52.11	8	0.6363	110	0.5151
6-Feb	6	0.6603	81	0.5470	3	86.84	102	52.51	7	0.6380	108	0.5173
7-Feb	6	0.6612	78	0.5482	3	86.83	101	52.64	5	0.6384	108	0.5179
	RealTime- RPI rankings				Team Power Rating from Realtime				Projecions from Realtime
Date	RPI Rank	RPI	SOS Rank	SOS	Rank	Power	Rank	SOS	Rank	Proj	Rank	SOS

[Shocker85]

Any idea what our RPI and SoS would be without Tenn St on the schedule? Can we sue the CBE for damages?

I would say the effect is negligible at this point. Much greater effect having several sub-200 games with bottom feeder MVC programs.

Notice our SoS Rank fluctuates in the 80-90 range yet our RPI Rank continues to trend better. I think this tells us that the 24-0 record is having more effect on the RPI than our opponents W/L.

This lends creedence to "Just win, baby!"

[Anthroshock]

I would say the effect is negligible at this point. Much greater effect having several sub-200 games with bottom feeder MVC programs.

RPI forecast has a new tool on their website called RPIWizard. You can play with the schedule and add and remove losses to see what it does to RPI. Removing Tenn St dropped RPI one spot and SOS 3 spots. So, negligible.

http://www.rpiforecast.com/wizard/index.html

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

How did you remove Tenn St? I see how to change it from a win to a loss, but not how to remove it and pretend it never was played.