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Shocks vs Western Kentucky (11-9-23)

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  • #31


    December 5th, 2021?
    Infinity Art Glass - Fantastic local artist and Shocker fan
    RIP Guy Always A Shocker
    Carpenter Place - A blessing to many young girls/women
    ICT S.O.S - Great local cause fighting against human trafficking
    Wartick Insurance Agency - Saved me money with more coverage.
    Save Shocker Sports - A rallying cry

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    • #32
      Originally posted by Shocktoberfest View Post
      How long has it been since we had a "It's gameday b******!"

      I miss those days.
      I'm sorry, I'm older and not as excitable. I'll try to do better.

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      • #33
        Shockers open as 7.5 point favorites, o/u 143.5

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        • #34
          Opened at -6.5 on DK. Now at -8 with 94% of the money on WKU side. Interesting

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          • #35
            Originally posted by SkoShox View Post
            Opened at -6.5 on DK. Now at -8 with 94% of the money on WKU side. Interesting
            WSU -8 is a BIG spread for our team. I would probably hammer the WKU side as well.
            "In God we trust, all others must bring data." - W. Edwards Deming

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            • #36
              Shockers - 74
              WKU - 60

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              • #37
                Rockstar Grandmas - 79
                WKU Red Blobs - 74
                B33.gif

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                • #38
                  If they play 10 or 11 guys, and if they press (surely they will) they should wear us down and win the second half. Need to get out to a good start.

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                  • #39
                    If any team goes 9 or 10 deep they are crazy if they don't press us.

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                    • #40
                      Originally posted by SkoShox View Post
                      Opened at -6.5 on DK. Now at -8 with 94% of the money on WKU side. Interesting
                      It's interesting IF it's right. That's not how lines move. If 94% of the money was taking WKU then the book would move the line the other way to encourage money on WSU. This doesn't make any sense. The line should be moving to -5 or -4 not higher.

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                      • #41
                        -8 does seem high but I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised.

                        Things I'd like to see:
                        Germany to start to get his footing on the team and show he can contribute in times other than Junk time. I think he's going to be key to this year not going off the rails as I'm not confident that Ballard can stay healthy.
                        Limited TO from our guards
                        >30% from 3.

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                        • #42
                          Originally posted by Shocktoberfest View Post
                          How long has it been since we had a "It's gameday b******!"

                          I miss those days.
                          you mean "that day"

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                          • #43
                            Originally posted by pinstripers View Post

                            I'm sorry, I'm older and not as excitable. I'll try to do better.
                            Younger readers may not get the reference, but....



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                            • #44
                              Originally posted by WuDrWu View Post

                              It's interesting IF it's right. That's not how lines move. If 94% of the money was taking WKU then the book would move the line the other way to encourage money on WSU. This doesn't make any sense. The line should be moving to -5 or -4 not higher.
                              I just looked. He got it backwards. 94% of the bets are on WSU, which is definitely interesting in and of itself. Our name still carries weight with the casual bettors. I’m guessing when the smart money comes in later, the line will likely swing back towards WKU, probably finishing up around WSU -5.5. Currently at -7.5 though.
                              Deuces Valley.
                              ... No really, deuces.
                              ________________
                              "Enjoy the ride."

                              - a smart man

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                              • #45
                                My trusted source scoresandodds.com has -7.5 with 77% of the "bets" on WSU and 59% of the money on WSU..........still like my prediction of 78-73 WSU

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