Originally posted by Kel Varnsen
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2021-22 Expectations for Shocker Basketball – “Summertime Edition”
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Originally posted by Kel Varnsen View Post
Not to mention losing to a Drake team who you could tell was far inferior talent-wise.
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Originally posted by Stickboy46 View Post
Not saying we were good at defense throughout the year .. but defense wasn't the reason we lost to Drake (or Cincy). Holding your opponents to 53 or 60 should net you a win the vast majority of the time.
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Originally posted by Shockm View Post
We were 84 on defense, and 250 rebounding, and only 61 on offense last year. Not good at much but offense wasn’t our worse, and we didn’t win by much against teams much lower, and lost to a bad Cincy team in the AAC tournament. Drake wasn’t nearly as good as us either, and Joseph Yesefu scored 21 (averaged 12). That shouldn’t have happened but maybe you’re right and the statistics don’t represent our failures.
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Originally posted by Stickboy46 View Post
We held Drake to 53 points ? That's a stat too. My point is you should nearly always win when you hold your opponent to 53 points. So yes we werent great at defense all year but defense was NOT the reason we lost to drake. If you need your defense to hold a team to under 50 to win that means your offense is the problem.
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Originally posted by Stickboy46 View Post
We held Drake to 53 points ? That's a stat too. My point is you should nearly always win when you hold your opponent to 53 points. So yes we werent great at defense all year but defense was NOT the reason we lost to drake. If you need your defense to hold a team to under 50 to win that means your offense is the problem.
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Originally posted by Stickboy46 View Post
Not saying we were good at defense throughout the year .. but defense wasn't the reason we lost to Drake (or Cincy). Holding your opponents to 53 or 60 should net you a win the vast majority of the time."In God we trust, all others must bring data." - W. Edwards Deming
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Originally posted by Shockm View Post
How do you suppose that last years analytics were low, while having a decent record, including an AAC Championship? Getting completely blown out by Memphis was an obvious symptom of the illness. Not so obvious, were very close games to teams like Temple, and Tulane that we should have beaten by at least 12-15 points.
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Originally posted by pogo View Post
Graphs are nice visuals to show trends and tendencies but don't impart information as to why something is happening. In this case the first nine years or so we were in the mvc and the last five we were in the AAC so you can see we were a much better defensive team playing in the mvc but the better competition, covid, people leaving the program and a coaching change has affected our defensive numbers while in the AAC.
But I can't entirely agree with your argument that the move to the AAC was the root cause. Ken Pom numbers are formulated such they are supposed to account for the strength of competition in and out of conference. WSU Offensive numbers didn't suffer their first year in the AAC - they went from the 13th ranked offense in their last year in the MVC to the 4th ranked offense in their first year in the AAC.
I will argue WSU was just a much better program (with better talent) in the MVC than they have been in the AAC - reference their Final 4 (20th ranked Defense) and Sweet 16 (15th ranked D) performances while in the MVC and the AAC with non-elite D were upset in the first round.
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Originally posted by Stickboy46 View Post
We held Drake to 53 points ? That's a stat too. My point is you should nearly always win when you hold your opponent to 53 points. So yes we werent great at defense all year but defense was NOT the reason we lost to drake. If you need your defense to hold a team to under 50 to win that means your offense is the problem.
I think our rim protecting defense wasn't good ever during last year.
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Originally posted by ShockingButTrue View Post
Not to be too knee-jerk, but, Drake was a hell of a lot better shooting team.
37.7 FIELD GOAL PCT 33.9 36.8 THREE POINT PCT 16.7 11 TURNOVERS 8 38 REBOUNDS 35
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