Originally posted by KraRam
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NCAA Tourney Games In Empty Arenas?
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I believe if you use Dr. Fauci's numbers, the death rate is around 1%. The Spanish Flu in 1918 killed 3-4%. Having said that, there will be a lot of people who will get really sick and probably at least the same number of people who may have some sort of lifetime impairment as a result of their illness or subsequent complications.
And for those who think our government is taking extreme measures, please keep in mind that the Brittish government closed all their schools during that outbreak in 1918
"The rigidity of these regulations varied immensely with the power of the local health departments and severity of the influenza outbreak. In the United States, the Committee of the American Public Health Association ( APHA) issued measures in a report to limit large gatherings. The committee held that any type of gathering of people, with the mixing of bodies and sharing of breath in crowded rooms, was dangerous. Nonessential meetings were to be prohibited. They determined that saloons, dance halls, and cinemas should be closed and public funerals should be prohibited since they were unnecessary assemblies. Churches were allowed to remain open, but the committee believed that only the minimum services should be conducted and the intimacy reduced. Street cars were thought to be a special menace to society with poor ventilation, crowding and uncleanliness. The committee encouraged the staggering of opening and closing hours in stores and factories to prevent overcrowding and for people to walk to work when possible (JAMA, 12/21/1918). Some of the regulations in Britain were milder, such as limiting music hall performances to less than three consecutive hours and allowing a half-hour for ventilation between shows (BMJ, 11/30/1918). In Switzerland, theaters, cinemas, concerts and shooting matches were all suspended when the epidemic struck, which led to a state of panic (BMJ, 10/19/1918). This variation in response was most likely due to differences in authority of the public health agencies and societal acceptance of their measures as necessary. This necessitated a shared belief in the concept of contagion and some faith in the actions of science to allow them to overcome this plague."
My take is that we are doing very similar things as what was done in 1918. I guess that generation was 'soft', too.
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Originally posted by OregonShocker View PostI'm not a pilot, but if every pilot said it was unsafe to fly, I wouldn't listen to other non-pilots before deciding on whether to fly or not. However, I AM a doctor. The worst doctor is one who doesn't know what he doesn't know. ANYONE on here, including myself, who has not spent their lifetime studying epidemiology, is NOT qualified to make much of a pronouncement. Bottom line: this is DEALDLY serious, sports events be damned. Listen to the experts: they are NOT propaganda machines. Everyone else is just PMSU.
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Originally posted by Shocktoberfest View PostHey SHOCKvalue, It just struck me. You've been geared up for this for a while. Way ahead of your time to have the proper gear for an outbreak. Nice work!
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For those really interested in learning what we know and what we don't, which may explain some of the government responses, here's a pretty good article. https://emcrit.org/ibcc/covid19/
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