Originally posted by ShockerFever
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Shox vs. Aces Game 3
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Originally posted by SFLOriginally posted by ShockerFeverOriginally posted by JaminShockBoard is a lot quieter when we're winning big. Wish that wasn't the case...
Salvaged the series but this will likely be an aberration by Tuesday. Until something changes, that's what I will expect.
Wooohooo. We beat Evansville. We're saved! :yahoo:
I just didn't like the original author's nature of post, acting like today wasn't a holiday or something.Deuces Valley.
... No really, deuces.
________________
"Enjoy the ride."
- a smart man
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One thing I find interesting is many posters (me included) have beat up the coaches for putting so much emphasis on defense and not getting players that can hit the long ball. This year we have 31 HRs in 26 games as opposed to 33 HRs in 57 games last year. We have also already doubled the amount of triples from last season (10 in 26 games in 2010 to 5 in 57 games in 2009) and we are also scoring nearly 2.4 more runs per game this year. All of those numbers are HUGE offensive improvements!!!!
So now we are complaining about lack of defense and the number of errors we are committing??? Obviously our pitching staff has been a weakness this year which is unforntunate because it seems like this team is capable of scoring a lot of runs. As KC pointed out, our team batting average needs to still improve, but we also have done pretty well against the upper tier pitchers we have faced. We still struggle against guys with 7.57 ERAs that haven't gone more than 3 innings all year. This is one thing I just can't ever figure out about WSU teams.
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Originally posted by lostshockeractually perusing the previous 2 threads the win only has more pages due to all the whining about the poor play with the lead. this thread would barely be on page 2 if you remove my posts. so it isnt him acting as if today wasnt a holiday or something but a near accurate observation.
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Originally posted by SB ShockOriginally posted by lostshockeractually perusing the previous 2 threads the win only has more pages due to all the whining about the poor play with the lead. this thread would barely be on page 2 if you remove my posts. so it isnt him acting as if today wasnt a holiday or something but a near accurate observation.
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Originally posted by shockfan89_One thing I find interesting is many posters (me included) have beat up the coaches for putting so much emphasis on defense and not getting players that can hit the long ball. This year we have 31 HRs in 26 games as opposed to 33 HRs in 57 games last year. We have also already doubled the amount of triples from last season (10 in 26 games in 2010 to 5 in 57 games in 2009) and we are also scoring nearly 2.4 more runs per game this year. All of those numbers are HUGE offensive improvements!!!!
So now we are complaining about lack of defense and the number of errors we are committing??? Obviously our pitching staff has been a weakness this year which is unforntunate because it seems like this team is capable of scoring a lot of runs. As KC pointed out, our team batting average needs to still improve, but we also have done pretty well against the upper tier pitchers we have faced. We still struggle against guys with 7.57 ERAs that haven't gone more than 3 innings all year. This is one thing I just can't ever figure out about WSU teams.
WSU tracks 18 categories for Shocker hitting lows. The 2009 offense has the dubious honor of holding 10 of those records and, at the least, almost another 3. Next was 2005 with 3 records.
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I was reading our defense is the worst in the valley. When your infield is one of the worst in the valley the pitching can't take all the blame. I read where the starting infielders have made 40 plus errors in 25 games, maybe we should let up on the pitching!! They have a tough job.
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Originally posted by ShockTalkBefore you get to carried away with our HUGH improvement, please keep in mind that you're comparing this year's hitting to the Shocker's offensive abyss.
WSU tracks 18 categories for Shocker hitting lows. The 2009 offense has the dubious honor of holding 10 of those records and, at the least, almost another 3. Next was 2005 with 3 records.
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Originally posted by spinnerI was reading our defense is the worst in the valley. When your infield is one of the worst in the valley the pitching can't take all the blame. I read where the starting infielders have made 40 plus errors in 25 games, maybe we should let up on the pitching!! They have a tough job.
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Originally posted by shockfan89_Originally posted by ShockTalkBefore you get to carried away with our HUGH improvement, please keep in mind that you're comparing this year's hitting to the Shocker's offensive abyss.
WSU tracks 18 categories for Shocker hitting lows. The 2009 offense has the dubious honor of holding 10 of those records and, at the least, almost another 3. Next was 2005 with 3 records.
2) What sacrifice in defense? This is basically the same cast as last year. Check to see how many of the same players are fielding worse this year than last. This team has, I believe, 5 red-shirt Seniors, 5 Seniors, 1 red-shirt Junior, and 4 Juniors. New additions junior Springer and senior Bennett have been a good part of our offensive improvement and have not hurt our defense.
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Point is our offensive numbers have improved quite a bit over last year (whether 2009 was the best or the worst is really irrelevant because I am only comparing 2009 and 2010). We are committing more errors (same personnel or different is irrelevant). Has the end result improved?
Point being that it is a balance between pitching, fielding and offense. Just scoring more runs (which we are doing this year) has not fixed the problem because our defense and pitching is worse (or more inconsistent) than last year. Maybe all phases of the game just sucked for a 7 or 8 game stretch at once and we will be fine as long as two of them are going well at a time?
I think your #2 above is where I was trying to go with this. Pretty much the same cast, better offensive numbers (thus far), denfense not as good. Did the coaches/players focus on hitting during the off-season at the expense of defense?
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There is formula called baseball pythag theorem that predicts wins and losses based on runs scored and runs allowed. From this forumula the following can be hypothesised:
Actual wins: 17
Predicted Wins: 18 (WSU has underachieve by 1 game to this point)
Runs allowed are +0.42 per game ahead of last year (only +0.14 is due to defense)
Decrease in pitching/defense is costing WSU to this point almost 1 win.
WSU is better in the offensive category by +2.51 runs per game. This has improved WSU record from last by +3 games.
WSU is on pace to win 38 games (56 game schedule). The reality for this to improve will require the pitching staff to get better. Getting back to 2008 pitching levels would yield +4 game inctrease (38 to 42 wins) if offense and D stay the same.
conclusions
2010 team is being saved by it's hitting improvement over 2009
2010 team is being hurt by a struggling pitching staff that has got worse not better from last year performance
2010 team defense - is less of factor in this team losing as some might think.
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