2026 Senate (one time, just for fun)
Should be locked tight for the GOP no matter what:
Idaho
Wyoming
South Dakota
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Mississippi
Alabama
West Virginia
Tennessee
Hard lean GOP depending on who is running....work to do but certainly more likely to stay GOP:
South Carolina
Nebraska
Louisiana
Montana
Ohio (not sure where this is going to fall as they will replace Vance in 2025)
Will be marked to flip by Dems and a tough fight:
Texas
Kentucky
Kansas
Alaska
Iowa
North Carolina
Maine
Races without a ton of concern for the Dems:
Oregon
Illinois
Delaware
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Races where the wrong candidate could be vulnerable but still unlikely to flip:
Colorado
New Mexico
Michigan
Virginia
New Hampshire (should be competitive for the GOP but won't be)
Seats the Dems will have to defend vigorously:
Georgia
So it's really going to be 7 GOP seats up for grabs and just 1 DEM seat in doubt. Hopefully the GOP can hold on.
Should be locked tight for the GOP no matter what:
Idaho
Wyoming
South Dakota
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Mississippi
Alabama
West Virginia
Tennessee
Hard lean GOP depending on who is running....work to do but certainly more likely to stay GOP:
South Carolina
Nebraska
Louisiana
Montana
Ohio (not sure where this is going to fall as they will replace Vance in 2025)
Will be marked to flip by Dems and a tough fight:
Texas
Kentucky
Kansas
Alaska
Iowa
North Carolina
Maine
Races without a ton of concern for the Dems:
Oregon
Illinois
Delaware
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Races where the wrong candidate could be vulnerable but still unlikely to flip:
Colorado
New Mexico
Michigan
Virginia
New Hampshire (should be competitive for the GOP but won't be)
Seats the Dems will have to defend vigorously:
Georgia
So it's really going to be 7 GOP seats up for grabs and just 1 DEM seat in doubt. Hopefully the GOP can hold on.
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