2024 Presidential Election

[WuDrWu]

This is a very fair breakdown from Nate Silver (imho):

? Last update: 1:30 p.m., Thursday, October 10. We’ve been in a little bit of a Groundhog Day pattern lately. Polling data over the past week or so has been a mixed bag, but with more bright spots for Trump than for Harris if you squint. However, sentiment about the race has shifted in a GOP direction, sometimes to the point of outright panic by Democrats, in a way that isn’t really justified by the polling.

Versus a week ago, Trump has gained 0.3 points in our national average, 0.9 points in MI, 0.8 points in WI, 0.4 points in NV, 0.3 points in PA, 0.2 points in NC and 0.1 points in AZ. Harris has gained 0.3 points in GA. So a slight move in a Trump direction, and the race is on the verge of becoming truly 50/50 rather than virtually 50/50. But this is pretty minor movement and could also just reflect noise.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

There's probably some internal polling that is driving the VP team's response as well. But, the DEMs are absolutely flooding the airways with their hot button topics (admittedly skewed if not out and out lies) in an attempt to gin up their base.

Neither candidate is really trying to sway swing voters at this point. It's all about getting out their vote. And there, the GOP is in a much better place than either 2016 or 2020. Whether or not it matters, only time will tell.

[asiseeit]

My gut feel is that Trump trends higher as each day passes. As this trend continues I fear the Dems and ultra wealthy elitists will make a desperation move. My gut tells me that move will be unimaginable cheating far exceeding what they did in 2020 knowing they can control the MSM and silent the right. There are so many wealthy politicians, entertainment elites and big business types that risk exposure if the right wins I fear they won't allow it. I think something really big could very well happen that changes the outcome. They have already tried assassination but it could be something else. IMHO blaming the assassination attempt on Iram is a smoke screen to divert attention away from the world's elitists.

[WstateU]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DA9Fan4PIlX/?igsh=MThtM201d2Q3b21uMA==

[WuDrWu]

It’s the hope that kills you.


Walz calling for the elimination of the Electoral College was, questionable.

Harris calling DeSantis then complaining he didn’t answer was at best poorly timed, and at worst, oblivious to what’s happening in the country right now.

For crying out loud, SNL is making fun of both of them!

Russell Brand saying make MSNBC Great Again is also fantastic.

[pinstripers]

It appears Trump has some momentum. The more Harris feels this, the more she does. The more she does, the less popular she becomes. Or so it seems.

[JVShocker]

I know I am repeating myself, but the ingredients for a 1980-esque landslide are in the pot. Doesn't mean it will happen, of course.

I will not be surprised if Trump gets 14+% of the black vote, like Reagan did, for example. And the polls didn't project that to happen in 1980 either. But the ingredients are there, I'm tellin' ya.

[WuDrWu]

Polymarket (favored by the Ruthless Variety Progrum) is going crazy right now.

[Kung Wu]

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[WuDrWu]

This country needs that type of asskicking more than anything right now.

Hundo P.

[ShockerFever]

I know I am repeating myself, but the ingredients for a 1980-esque landslide are in the pot. Doesn't mean it will happen, of course.

I will not be surprised if Trump gets 14+% of the black vote, like Reagan did, for example. And the polls didn't project that to happen in 1980 either. But the ingredients are there, I'm tellin' ya.

This country needs that type of asskicking more than anything right now.

[Kung Wu]

I know I am repeating myself, but the ingredients for a 1980-esque landslide are in the pot. Doesn't mean it will happen, of course.

I will not be surprised if Trump gets 14+% of the black vote, like Reagan did, for example. And the polls didn't project that to happen in 1980 either. But the ingredients are there, I'm tellin' ya.

[Kung Wu]

We are in strange times if Trump has a chance in hell of winning Michigan, yet that's exactly what the latest Quinnipiac poll shows. He is leading in Michigan by 3 points.

Has to be a typo.

[Kung Wu]

As a libertarian you shouldn’t expect or want the government be there? Right? It about personal responsibility.

I do not expect my 80 year old mother to be able to navigate a natural disaster by herself if I can't get to her, and I do expect the taxes I paid for emergency services to be used for emergency services if God forbid my family can't help themselves in a disaster.

[SB Shock]

If your family's town gets hit by an F5 tornado, will FEMA -- as it is run today -- be there for them? The answer is no.

As a libertarian you shouldn’t expect or want the government be there? Right? It about personal responsibility.

[Kung Wu]

If your family's town gets hit by an F5 tornado, will FEMA -- as it is run today -- be there for them? The answer is no.