2024 Presidential Election

[SB Shock]

More than anything else, President-elect Donald Trump appears to have won the 2024 presidential election because of a uniform swing against the Democratic Party. According to our analysis of final vote totals in almost every county, about 53 percent of the variation in the change in Democratic support from 2020 to 2024 can be explained by the country's overall rightward swing.

I guess that happens when you go "woke" with your governing. An interesting plot shows what happened to the most-hispanic counties. The hispanic population can transform the Republican party. This people group are hard-working, religious, and want to keep their money.

2024 hispanic.jpg

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-swings/

[asiseeit]

Arizona is another problem area

[WuDrWu]

I'm going to leave this here so if anyone wants to dig, they can have a head start. I may end up being that someone, but either way.....


A good friend asked me yesterday when was the last time I didn't attend consecutive home games. I couldn't answer (other than the most recent 2). There was a 20+ year period where I probably didn't miss 4 games (I know I missed a game vs Eastern Washington because I was out of town...but I don't remember the year 200X something). Anyway, life gets hard, and I've already spent time lecturing my parents on being too invested in the elections.


Nevertheless, since I was the one to point out, prior to it happening, that the fix was in on a couple of House races in California, I offer this update:


(Full disclosure: No idea who Joe Hoft is. His article has more than one "reach" (like Orange County is conservative. It's purple, at best) so that makes me skeptical right off the bat. I don't know how many of his claims are factual, if any, and more research needs to be done. I BRIEFLY looked at the Times to see if there's anything about it. Not surprisingly, there isn't. I posted a single link from a week or so ago that touches on the county, but nothing to do with these claims. And in fairness, even if this was front page news, it's new and I would expect some digging to be done before the Times printed a thing. But if you're interested in things like this, it's worth looking into.

I have little doubt "Joe" is playing fast and loose with his numbers. Sort of an opinion line 3 card Monty if you will. BUT, there are things that just don't make a lot of sense, and I pointed these out a month ago when I suggested these 2 House Districts would end up flipping, and when AT THE TIME BOTH RACES WERE BEING LED BY THE INCUMBENT GOP CANDIDATE....in an election that saw massive swings to the GOP nationwide. That doesn't mean those national swings carried over to Orange County, but "Joe" does ask some questions that need to be answered. To say nothing of why California needs a month to count their votes.

It cannot be refuted that the more variables you interject into an equation (or in this case, an election) the more possible that mistakes, or cheating, will happen. I can't imagine how many different hands were in that count over the course of a month.

https://joehoft.com/breaking-exclusive-huge-ballot-discrepancies-uncovered-in-orange-county-ca-that-could-flip-multiple-us-house-seats/#google_vignette

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-11-28/trump-lost-orange-county-for-a-third-straight-time-but-the-gop-still-sees-good-signs

[pinstripers]

image.png

[WuDrWu]

Trump 77,036,000

Harris 74,567,000



CA13 While the % counted has been at 99% for a few days, to the surprise of absolutely NO ONE with a functioning brain, DEM Adam Grey has finally surged into the lead by 182 votes, 3 weeks after election day. Absolutely NO proof of any election fraud or abnormalities to see or discuss here. Election deniers beware.

CA45 Democrat Derek Tran has managed to hold off Republican incumbent Michelle Steele and continues to lead by 617 votes. Both of these last seats are upset winners, unseating incumbent Republicans in an election where the top of the ticket, in California, went from a 29% DEM difference in 2020 to a little over 20% in 2024.


220-215 looks to be the number. Razor thin for the GOP. Trump has maybe 12-18 months to get anything done before the lies and the machine pick off 3 seats in the midterm to turn the House over to complete moron Hakeem Jeffries. The Senate looks more difficult to flip than it did a few months ago, but it's still going to be an uphill battle for the GOP.

Trump will be lucky to keep 1 of the 2 for the remaining 2 years of his Presidency, and probably most likely to be fighting opposition in both Houses.

UNLESS he can be successful, very, very quickly.

Trump 77,100,000

Harris 74,666,000

CA13 Grey still leads by 190. Will be called soon. And by soon I mean a month after the election to give them time to get some votes in late.

CA45 With a 596 vote lead, it's been called for Tran. Two flips for the DEMs in red or purple districts, in a state that voted 9% more for the top GOP seat compared to 2020.




NOTHING to see here.


Trump's advantage over Harris outside of California and New York is going to be north of 6.5 million and even that's mostly California.

[WuDrWu]

Trump 76,862,000

Harris 74,327,000


CA13 Duarte leads by 351 votes with 2% left to count, maybe 5K.

CA45 Derek Tran leads Michelle Steele by 397 votes with 8% still left to count. 16 days after election day.

Trump 77,036,000

Harris 74,567,000



CA13 While the % counted has been at 99% for a few days, to the surprise of absolutely NO ONE with a functioning brain, DEM Adam Grey has finally surged into the lead by 182 votes, 3 weeks after election day. Absolutely NO proof of any election fraud or abnormalities to see or discuss here. Election deniers beware.

CA45 Democrat Derek Tran has managed to hold off Republican incumbent Michelle Steele and continues to lead by 617 votes. Both of these last seats are upset winners, unseating incumbent Republicans in an election where the top of the ticket, in California, went from a 29% DEM difference in 2020 to a little over 20% in 2024.


220-215 looks to be the number. Razor thin for the GOP. Trump has maybe 12-18 months to get anything done before the lies and the machine pick off 3 seats in the midterm to turn the House over to complete moron Hakeem Jeffries. The Senate looks more difficult to flip than it did a few months ago, but it's still going to be an uphill battle for the GOP.

Trump will be lucky to keep 1 of the 2 for the remaining 2 years of his Presidency, and probably most likely to be fighting opposition in both Houses.

UNLESS he can be successful, very, very quickly.

[ShockerDropOut]

If the tariff threat had come from Biden, it would have been laughed at by the Mexican president. Threat from Trump is looked at as a promise.

The Biden press conference taking credit for this coming in 3..2..1..

[asiseeit]

Election is already paying dividends in several areas

[Atxshoxfan]

This has to be false. It cannot be that easy.

If the tariff threat had come from Biden, it would have been laughed at by the Mexican president. Threat from Trump is looked at as a promise.

[pinstripers]

Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh



It was live streamed by the Mexican government

[C0|dB|00ded]

The sad thing about this is, we would need the Mexican president to do anything about illegals crossing our border. America should have the most impenetrable border in the world. It should be the butt of Mexican jokes. "Yeah buddy, I'd have better luck trying to cross the U.S. border than get a date with her."

[ShockTalk]

This has to be false. It cannot be that easy.

Tend to agree with you here.

[Kung Wu]

Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh

#BREAKING: Mexican president announces she is stopping the migrant caravans from arriving at the U.S. southern border after Trump's tariff threat. The announcement came only 12 hours later.

This has to be false. It cannot be that easy.

[pinstripers]

Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh

#BREAKING: Mexican president announces she is stopping the migrant caravans from arriving at the U.S. southern border after Trump's tariff threat. The announcement came only 12 hours later.

[Ta Town Shocker]

Dude relaaaaaaax. Unplug. Don't let politicians control your emotions. Take advantage of the easy money on the market because of Trump's victory, regardless of how bubbly it is. Life is good.

This *1000!

Trump's pro business policies will be a welcome change. I lost a boatload of money when Biden's DOJ blocked the JetBlue purchase of Spirit. Now Spirit is bankrupt as a result. They really did America justice on that one by protecting Americans right to purchase a budget flight. More than likely they were corrupt and pandering to the big 4.