2024 Presidential Election

[C0|dB|00ded]

Trump continues to close on his 2020 vote total. He's within 700,000 votes now.

Harris is 12 million from the 81.2 Million she and Biden got in 2020. Stunning.

It will be interesting to compare state to state when it's done. At first glance, Georgia and Pennsylvania were not far off in total votes when comparing 20 to 24. Where did the 12 million votes disappear?

Disappear maybe not the best choice of words...

This would be an excellent weekend project for you Doc! Show us (me) your capacity for disciplined, quantitative study. It will do you good!


I have listed below some 2020 data sources that should assist you in your research report:

https://www.cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker/2020/electoral-college

https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf

https://electionlab.mit.edu/data

https://catalist.us/wh-national/

Bring us the truth!

[1972Shocker]

I think the GOP gets at least 4 of these seats which would keep the House red. I think the number will be 5, but hoping against hope for 8. 220-224 for the GOP barring a disaster.

Thanks for that update on the current state of the house races. Very helpful.

[WuDrWu]

Kari Lake inches closer in her Senate race. As most people will say, how is this close? Imagine if AZ ran a decent candidate vs Ruben Gallego?

She's been between 44K and 37K down over the last 24 hours, stands around 41K down now.

[Kung Wu]

Trump continues to close on his 2020 vote total. He's within 700,000 votes now.

Harris is 12 million from the 81.2 Million she and Biden got in 2020. Stunning.

It will be interesting to compare state to state when it's done. At first glance, Georgia and Pennsylvania were not far off in total votes when comparing 20 to 24. Where did the 12 million votes disappear?

[WuDrWu]

Trump continues to close on his 2020 vote total. He's within 700,000 votes now.

Harris is 12 million from the 81.2 Million she and Biden got in 2020. Stunning.

It will be interesting to compare state to state when it's done. At first glance, Georgia and Pennsylvania were not far off in total votes when comparing 20 to 24. Where did the 12 million votes disappear?

[shock]

Wait, so ranked voting is NOT going on this election?

We repealed it via ballot measure in this election

[WuDrWu]

Thank GOD we repealed that BS voting system. There’s no path to victory for Peltola. Begich has it signed, sealed, and delivered but the election won’t be certified until after the 20th.
Begich is a Florida Republican. He’s a tremendous guy that I was able to chit chat with for about an hour or so during Don Young’s last campaign. He was partially responsible for the Ford Flex design while he worked there. Said letting it through was his biggest mistake since it’s so hideous. According to mutual friends he is already plugged in with the right people in DC to hit the ground running.

Wait, so ranked voting is NOT going on this election?

[shock]

Updated House count appears to be 216-204.

15 seats yet to be called:



AK1 GOP leads with 74% ranked voting would be a pickup. GOP should pick up this seat but the ranked voting makes it dicey.

Thank GOD we repealed that BS voting system. There’s no path to victory for Peltola. Begich has it signed, sealed, and delivered but the election won’t be certified until after the 20th.
Begich is a Florida Republican. He’s a tremendous guy that I was able to chit chat with for about an hour or so during Don Young’s last campaign. He was partially responsible for the Ford Flex design while he worked there. Said letting it through was his biggest mistake since it’s so hideous. According to mutual friends he is already plugged in with the right people in DC to hit the ground running.

[C0|dB|00ded]

Would you help me draft legislation to establish low budget nuclear waste sites at various locations throughout Douglas County, for the purpose of storing Wolf Creek's spent nuclear fuel? Make sure this is all at Douglas County tax payers expense, of course. Thanks, have a great day!

Beautiful idea. Total Lib Drone City.

The margin in Colorado made me ill as well. That state is lost. These California nuts **** the bed in their beautiful home state, then they move to the next town and proceed to **** the bed in Colo too. Sickening. Denver replaced auto fumes with Mary Jane's ass. Sad.

[Atxshoxfan]

Maybe I missed it as I haven't followed this thread all that closely, but I did see that Trump won the home county of Tim Walz and found that to be rather funny.

Speaks volumes.

[Atxshoxfan]

Should have mentioned this earlier. Watch Hillbilly Elegy on Netflix and/or read the book. Truly an incredible story.

More incredible is how the daughter of two college professors grew up in a middle class neighborhood (ahem), sucked and f**ked her way into a position of AG, only to destroy the state, but somehow was elected to the Senate (which was a good way for California to get rid of her). Then to become a VP because they knew she was unpopular and wouldn't overstep old Joe. But then become the Dem candidate for POTUS without a single vote.

Now that's impressive!

[SubGod22]

Maybe I missed it as I haven't followed this thread all that closely, but I did see that Trump won the home county of Tim Walz and found that to be rather funny.

[WuDrWu]

I think the GOP gets at least 4 of these seats which would keep the House red. I think the number will be 5, but hoping against hope for 8. 220-224 for the GOP barring a disaster.

[WuDrWu]

Updated House count appears to be 216-204.

15 seats yet to be called:



AK1 GOP leads with 74% ranked voting would be a pickup. GOP should pick up this seat but the ranked voting makes it dicey.

AZ6 R-Juan Ciscomani is trailing by just 76 votes with about 25% outstanding. AZ6 is as purple as purple gets. Would be a DEM pickup.

CA6 Should be called for the DEM today. Big lead for the incumbent D-Ami Bera

CA9 Incumbent Josh Harder D leads Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln R by about 1% with 55% to count. This will likely be razor close until the end.

CA13 Rematch from 2020 where Duarte R beat Gray D by 564 votes. Duarte leads by about 3K with half the votes counted.

CA21 Incumbent Jim Costa D leads Michael Maher by 1500 votes with about 38% of the vote left to count. Shouldn't be this close. Costa beat him by close to 10% in 22. Odd.

CA27 Incumbent Mike Garcia R leads by 3200 votes with 24% to count. Dems targeted this seat due to Biden carrying in '20 by 21%.

CA39 Democrat incumbent Mark Takano leads by 10%+ with 40% to count. Should be called today.

CA41 Incumbent Ken Calvert R leads Will Rollins D by 3 points with 24% left. Calvert has been in DC since '93 so if he loses, as long as it's not the 218 seat I'm ok with that. Get out.

CA45 Republican Michelle Steele leads by 4% with 25% to go. Dems targeted this seat because Biden won in '20 by 6%

CA47 Open seat held by Dems in a '20 +11D district. Scott Baugh R leads by 616 with about 25% left. DEMs have held CA47 for 20 years. Would be a nice pick up for the GOP.

CA49 Incumbent D Mike Levine should be declared the winner today. Another +11D but Levine leads by 2.2% with 22% to count. Would be a stunning loss if the Dems lose here. If they do, the GOP probably take 8 or 9 of these CA seats. I don't think that happens though.

CO8 is interesting. Incumbent Yadira Caraveo D leads Gabe Evans R by 2200 votes with most of the votes counted. Another weed filled lib district that shouldn't be this close. The Dems tried to redistrict Boebert out of her district and (I think) made CO8 more competitive. Probably called for the Dems today.

OR5 Republican incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer is in deep water and will likely be defeated today by D State Rep Janelle Bynum. Bynum leads by 2.5% with only 15% to count. Dem pickup. OR5 is about the last GOP holdout in Oregon. Their whiter than white population smokes a ton of weed up there while voting by mail and telling the rest of us how racist we are. Go figure.

WA3 This one is strange as it's been trending red and Trump won in 20 and the Dems barely held on in '22. But it does looks to be staying blue this go around. The Dem leads by 3% LATE. Should be called today barring something odd.

[Kung Wu]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DCDpc2NOFBk/?igsh=MWtqOTBubHlpZTE0aQ%3D%3D