2024 Presidential Election

[Shockm]

Here’s a blast from the past. A Former Dallas Salon Owner jailed, and fined $1000.00 per day, during COVID wins Election to Texas Statehouse. Luther defied orders in 2020 to close her salon, wins the 2024 election to the Texas Statehouse.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/shelley-luther-former-dallas-salon-owner-jailed-during-covid-19-wins-in-tx-house-dist-62/ar-AA1tAz5y

[shock]

UPDATES:

AK1 REP Nick Begich leads by about 10K with 76% counted.

AZ6 REP Juan Ciscomani has surged into the lead by about 1800 votes with 76% counted.

CA6 was in fact called for the DEM Ami Bera.

CA9 DEM Harder has opened a little lead by 4K with 64% of the vote in.

CA13 REP Duarte maintains a 3K lead with 62% of the vote in.

CA21 DEM Jim Costa lead is down to 1300 with 62% of the vote in. Probably the strangest result left. This was not expected to be close.

CA27 REP Mike Garcia has seen his lead dwindle to less than 1000 with 77% of the vote counted. He's in deep water here.

CA39 DEM Mark Takano still leads by 12K+ and I don't know why it's not been called yet. There are still 41% of the votes out.

CA41 REP Ken Calvert leads by 7K votes with 57% of the vote in.

CA45 REP Michelle Steele leads by 7K+ with 76% counted. Could be called soon.

CA47 DEM Dave Lin has crept into the lead by less than 1K with about 20% remaining to count.

CA49 DEM Mike Levine leads by 10K with 20% left to count. Not sure why this hasn't been called but expecting it to be today.

CO8 REP Gabe Evans has taken a 2400 vote lead with 15% remaining. This is awesome.

OR5 DEM Janelle Bynum is about to win up 9500 with just over 10% left to count.

WA3 DEM Marie Gluesenkamp Perez will be declared the winner soon as she leads by 15K+ with just 8% remaining.


GOP still needs 2 seats and while it's looking good, it's certainly not a lock and there's quite a bit more teeth gnashing going on than yesterday for me.

IMG_1358.jpg

[pinstripers]

The Results Are in: Trump Won Tampon Tim Walz's Home County in the 2024 Election

[WuDrWu]

Updated House count appears to be 216-204.

15 seats yet to be called:



AK1 GOP leads with 74% ranked voting would be a pickup. GOP should pick up this seat but the ranked voting makes it dicey.

AZ6 R-Juan Ciscomani is trailing by just 76 votes with about 25% outstanding. AZ6 is as purple as purple gets. Would be a DEM pickup.

CA6 Should be called for the DEM today. Big lead for the incumbent D-Ami Bera

CA9 Incumbent Josh Harder D leads Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln R by about 1% with 55% to count. This will likely be razor close until the end.

CA13 Rematch from 2020 where Duarte R beat Gray D by 564 votes. Duarte leads by about 3K with half the votes counted.

CA21 Incumbent Jim Costa D leads Michael Maher by 1500 votes with about 38% of the vote left to count. Shouldn't be this close. Costa beat him by close to 10% in 22. Odd.

CA27 Incumbent Mike Garcia R leads by 3200 votes with 24% to count. Dems targeted this seat due to Biden carrying in '20 by 21%.

CA39 Democrat incumbent Mark Takano leads by 10%+ with 40% to count. Should be called today.

CA41 Incumbent Ken Calvert R leads Will Rollins D by 3 points with 24% left. Calvert has been in DC since '93 so if he loses, as long as it's not the 218 seat I'm ok with that. Get out.

CA45 Republican Michelle Steele leads by 4% with 25% to go. Dems targeted this seat because Biden won in '20 by 6%

CA47 Open seat held by Dems in a '20 +11D district. Scott Baugh R leads by 616 with about 25% left. DEMs have held CA47 for 20 years. Would be a nice pick up for the GOP.

CA49 Incumbent D Mike Levine should be declared the winner today. Another +11D but Levine leads by 2.2% with 22% to count. Would be a stunning loss if the Dems lose here. If they do, the GOP probably take 8 or 9 of these CA seats. I don't think that happens though.

CO8 is interesting. Incumbent Yadira Caraveo D leads Gabe Evans R by 2200 votes with most of the votes counted. Another weed filled lib district that shouldn't be this close. The Dems tried to redistrict Boebert out of her district and (I think) made CO8 more competitive. Probably called for the Dems today.

OR5 Republican incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer is in deep water and will likely be defeated today by D State Rep Janelle Bynum. Bynum leads by 2.5% with only 15% to count. Dem pickup. OR5 is about the last GOP holdout in Oregon. Their whiter than white population smokes a ton of weed up there while voting by mail and telling the rest of us how racist we are. Go figure.

WA3 This one is strange as it's been trending red and Trump won in 20 and the Dems barely held on in '22. But it does looks to be staying blue this go around. The Dem leads by 3% LATE. Should be called today barring something odd.

UPDATES:

AK1 REP Nick Begich leads by about 10K with 76% counted.

AZ6 REP Juan Ciscomani has surged into the lead by about 1800 votes with 76% counted.

CA6 was in fact called for the DEM Ami Bera.

CA9 DEM Harder has opened a little lead by 4K with 64% of the vote in.

CA13 REP Duarte maintains a 3K lead with 62% of the vote in.

CA21 DEM Jim Costa lead is down to 1300 with 62% of the vote in. Probably the strangest result left. This was not expected to be close.

CA27 REP Mike Garcia has seen his lead dwindle to less than 1000 with 77% of the vote counted. He's in deep water here.

CA39 DEM Mark Takano still leads by 12K+ and I don't know why it's not been called yet. There are still 41% of the votes out.

CA41 REP Ken Calvert leads by 7K votes with 57% of the vote in.

CA45 REP Michelle Steele leads by 7K+ with 76% counted. Could be called soon.

CA47 DEM Dave Lin has crept into the lead by less than 1K with about 20% remaining to count.

CA49 DEM Mike Levine leads by 10K with 20% left to count. Not sure why this hasn't been called but expecting it to be today.

CO8 REP Gabe Evans has taken a 2400 vote lead with 15% remaining. This is awesome.

OR5 DEM Janelle Bynum is about to win up 9500 with just over 10% left to count.

WA3 DEM Marie Gluesenkamp Perez will be declared the winner soon as she leads by 15K+ with just 8% remaining.


GOP still needs 2 seats and while it's looking good, it's certainly not a lock and there's quite a bit more teeth gnashing going on than yesterday for me.

[Kung Wu]

What legislation failed to pass due to the census bureau "accident"? That should be analyzed.

[WuDrWu]

Florida:

1) 2-page ballot. 2) 3,025,757 voted by mail, 5,363,013 voted early, and 2,579,590 voted on Election Day. 3) Voters can drop off ballots on Election Day as long as it’s by 7pm local. 99% of ballots were counted before midnight.

California and Arizona don't have time for this misinformation as they are too busy counting.


Maybe it's new that on X if you're blocked you can still read posts? Maybe not. As I'm also blocked by Bob, I did see many tweets about guests on his show that I would have loved to tune into and listen, but alas, he chose violence instead of reasonable engagement. I don't know which river flows more freely, the dripping irony of someone like him who claims the other side is filled with hate and intolerance or the liberal tears from the nationwide beating. Too close to call I suppose.

[pinstripers]

Florida:

1) 2-page ballot. 2) 3,025,757 voted by mail, 5,363,013 voted early, and 2,579,590 voted on Election Day. 3) Voters can drop off ballots on Election Day as long as it’s by 7pm local. 99% of ballots were counted before midnight.

[Shockm]

This could be a form of “Cleansing” for many folks, who were despondent after Harris’ election loss. Maybe “The View” ladies would be in this category. Searches on “Moving Abroad” increased 1270% following Harris’ loss.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/after-trumps-win-many-despondent-americans-research-moving-abroad-2024-11-08/

[shock]

Cleansed?

I think that the term for what you do before you get a colonoscopy.

[WstateU]

nm

[pinstripers]

I was talking about his Facebook

Found it. Hadn't looked for it since he blocked me

[shoxlax]

https://x.com/boblutz

I was talking about his Facebook

[pinstripers]

https://x.com/boblutz

[shoxlax]

I found it. zero political stuff

Facebook or Twitter?

[Kung Wu]

Cleansed?