2024 Presidential Election

[WuDrWu]

Interesting:

CO: Harris (31% to 28%) -- Interesting because Independents make up 41% of the vote there. And while they have went left recently, they did go for Bush in 2004.

There's been a lot of speculation that because of Trump's appeal to "low propensity" voters, that a big turnout, normally reserved as a celebration for the left, actually would benefit the right this time around.

I do NOT prescribe to that notion, at all. Those thoughts are aligned with folks that are convinced that A)the left has a huge advantage with the college educated AND B) Trump voters are stupid.


And that is an extremely narrow and imho skewed analysis of a few statistics.

Voting totals being down (across the board), especially from 2020, I believe, almost has to benefit Trump, bigly. I am FAR more excited (cautiously so) about registered Dems that have voted early being down say 10-20% than I am about Trump closing the voting gap on early voting by 2 or 3 times those numbers. FAR more.


Cannibalization being the most prominent of those concerns. If Rep early voting is up, it could possible eat at every single vote we're expecting to get next Tuesday. However, if Dem early voting is down, the chances they will make up those numbers next Tuesday are much more remote. Actually, they are almost impossible to calculate.

[WuDrWu]

I am no longer one who gambles much, even in the stock market, but a family member who leans on me asked me about Trump's stock in the spring when it was $50-60 and I told him to forget about it. Lighting money on fire. I quietly put in an order if the stock dropped below $15 (what I considered far enough below value to take a chance) before Nov 1. I wonder if I should tell him yet? The last few days have not been for the faint of heart, but it's been fun! I might go buy a couple of fancy, new park benches to place around the city.

[Kung Wu]

Interesting:

CO: Harris (31% to 28%) -- Interesting because Independents make up 41% of the vote there. And while they have went left recently, they did go for Bush in 2004.

[Kung Wu]

Michigan was a huge jump in only two days?

[Kung Wu]

Updated (10/29/2024)
--
PA: Harris (59% to 31%)
NC: Trump (34% to 33%)
GA: Trump (49% to 45%)
AZ: Trump (42% to 35%)
WI: Harris (36% to 23%)
MI: Harris (48% to 41%)
NV: Trump (40% to 35%)


Before (10/27/2024)
--
PA: Harris (60% to 30%)
NC: Trump (35% to 33%)
GA: Trump (49% to 45%)
AZ: Trump (42% to 36%)
WI: Harris (35% to 23%)
MI: Harris (52% to 38%)
NV: Trump (41% to 35%)

[Kung Wu]

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[Kung Wu]

I haven't read this anywhere, which means it's probably very wrong, but ... is Colorado in play? Looking at numbers past and present I get this vibe that CO will maybe be a lot closer than most expect.

[JJClamdip]

I really miss Don Imus.

He was the greatest, he loved the “erection” season!

[WuDrWu]

I really miss Don Imus.

[ABC]

destruction is my personal favorite

I haven't watched MSNBC or Morning Joe in quite some time. (I do have a selfie with Joe and Mica I took in 2016 when they were walking around Georgetown) Fox & Friends is way too sugary for me; kinda like a conservative Good Morning America.

I tend to watch CNN in the morning- at least they have Scott Jennings and other folks on their panels. And it gives me a less infuriating way to see the the lefties are saying than MSNBC.

I did watch Fox Business in the morning until Maria Bartiromo went way, way, way off the deep in on election conspiracies - the craziest ones, like servers in Vatican City changing vote totals. Bloomberg and CNBC are pretty good in the morning, with a smattering of politics but also pretty hard-core business stuff that can get a bit boring when they get into the weeds on SEC filings etc.

[ShockerFever]

One week out and the assault on democracy is definitely upon us.

[ShockerFever]

Is there one microscopic bit of proof in any of this? Are they blasting all the rhetoric Nazi racist stuff on MSNBC for people to hear?

Any FACT checking going on?

[pinstripers]

You all should have heard CNN and Morning Joe this morning.

CNN "Trump and his campaign are desperately trying to cover for the racists insults to Latinos at Trumps hate filled rally last night".

Morning Joe was off the hinges. It's not worth repeating and it's easy to find. Mika is BESIDE HERSELF that this many people support hate, Nazis, death and destruction. It's troubling to her and she's frightened.

destruction is my personal favorite

[WuDrWu]

You all should have heard CNN and Morning Joe this morning.

CNN "Trump and his campaign are desperately trying to cover for the racists insults to Latinos at Trumps hate filled rally last night".

Morning Joe was off the hinges. It's not worth repeating and it's easy to find. Mika is BESIDE HERSELF that this many people support hate, Nazis, death and destruction. It's troubling to her and she's frightened.

[ShockerPrez]

I really do have to wonder what is going on here. To be hyperbolic is one thing, but what in the actual eff is this?

And they think Trump is the liar.

But I wonder what threat they really feel to go off the deepend like this. Are they all on Epstein's list and getting desperate to keep that hidden with Dems in power?

I think that they really feel Trump might start getting the corrupt SOBs and everyone feels a little itchy about the **** they've done in the past.