2024 - Severe Storms (T-Storms and Blizzards)

[Kung Wu]

You have to be a bit of an expert in weather to get it. Just hang out in this forum and you'll become an expert like I did.

[ShockBand]

prolly east of the turnpike

image.png

[pinstripers]

prolly east of the turnpike

[SubGod22]

Linear! *whew*! Looking at the topomaps I had real concern the deltasphere was going to reflectoid and produce a bang bang triangular system. I'll rest luke warmly tonight.

[Kung Wu]

Linear! *whew*! Looking at the topomaps I had real concern the deltasphere was going to reflectoid and produce a bang bang triangular system. I'll rest luke warmly tonight.

[ShockerFever]

GFS model has been bumping this storm east little by little. The moisture return looks like it going to be more difficult and the dry line is setting up close to Wichita.

Definitely not gonna be east of us. If anything, it’ll set up west of the area. Models trending slower as a big deepening system always pumps the breaks and slows its ass down. It may just be a Monday light linear event by the time it reaches Wichita.

[SB Shock]

IIRC, it is the line between the moist and dry air masses. Storms tend to fire up on the dry line.

So the NWS post speaks of "showing signs of ingredients" for severe weather Monday. So it's a:

image.png

To bad there is no more "Torchy's"

[ShockBand]

Is a "dry line" exactly that? A line where no rain is expected on one side of it, but rain on the other?

IIRC, it is the line between the moist and dry air masses. Storms tend to fire up on the dry line.

So the NWS post speaks of "showing signs of ingredients" for severe weather Monday. So it's a:

image.png

[Kung Wu]

GFS model has been bumping this storm east little by little. The moisture return looks like it going to be more difficult and the dry line is setting up close to Wichita.

Is a "dry line" exactly that? A line where no rain is expected on one side of it, but rain on the other?

[SB Shock]

GFS model has been bumping this storm east little by little. The moisture return looks like it going to be more difficult and the dry line is setting up close to Wichita.

[SB Shock]

Risk now at Day 6 out

Day 7.jpg

from the Wichita NWS

Our attention continues to be drawn toward another potent midlevel
trough poised to eject into the Plains early next week. Latest
deterministic and ensemble guidance continue to suggest this trough
axis will eject across the forecast area Monday afternoon/night.
Ahead of its passage, an environment capable of severe storms,
possibly significant, may emerge Monday evening into Monday
night. Stay tuned for forecast updates over the coming days.

[SB Shock]

It's something to watch and see how it evolves. It's a pretty strong signal to be highlighted this far out (Day 7). Hopefully, we will at least get some measurable rain out of it - or we may be talking about the Severe Drought this summer instead of Severe Weather.

Day 7.jpg

[Kung Wu]

It's over.

[Kung Wu]

Grape sized. But dense.

[Kung Wu]

Its REALLY hailin!!