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First PDS Watch for the day is up.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 165
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1045 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS RAPIDLY INCREASING OVER
SOUTHWEST KS AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS CENTRAL KS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWEST OK IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. INITIAL STORMS MAY BE ELEVATED.
HOWEVER...SURFACE DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR AS LOW CLOUDS BURN
OFF...AIDING IN STORMS BECOMING SURFACE-BASED. VERY FAVORABLE
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STRONG TORNADOES
WILL BE AN INCREASING RISK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
The mountains are calling, and I must go.Comment
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Here is a capture of the HRW model predicted reflictivity for 11am versus what actual radar reflectity.
Capture.jpgComment
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Wichita now just barely out of the 45% Hatched Tornado area on the 1630 UTC Day 1 update.
The mountains are calling, and I must go.Comment
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Could be wrong but their appears to be towers going up SW of wichita.
NWS ICT should be putting out a noon Area Forecast Discussion update that they always do for major severe days within the next couple of minutes.Last edited by wsushox1; April 14, 2012, 12:51 PM.The mountains are calling, and I must go.Comment
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there is tower on radar, not very impressive yet.Originally posted by wsushox1 View Post
The tornadic dynmaics seem to be still in SW OK yet (per Mesoanalysis STP parameter.Comment
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The latest HRW model run just came available. Still doesn't look impressive (for a high risk day)Comment
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The mountains are calling, and I must go.Comment
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PDS Tornado Watch about to be issued Shortly for the Wichita AreaComment
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Nothing has blown up in Omaha yet, but in the 17+ years I've lived here, this is the strangest prelude to severe weather I can remember. I'm actually getting nervous. You guys should have kept this bad weather for yourselves.There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.Comment
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Those poor saps that were going to the spring game.... I don't care if I was the biggest Husker fan in the world, I wouldn't pay a nickel to watch a glorified practice. They are getting their moneys worth today.... Poor saps.Originally posted by SB Shock View PostThere are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.Comment
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The rain has started. A light rain, but you can hear the thunder in the distance. Not too long until all hell breaks loose. This is as heavy as I ever remember the air being without the temperature at least in the upper 80's. I usually love a good thunder storm, but I'm not so sure about this one.There are three rules that I live by: never get less than twelve hours sleep; never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city; and never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body. Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.Comment
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Chaser convergence. Interesting to watch this animated as they race to whether they are going....
Capture.jpgComment
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My buddy is streaming live at ictchaser.com.
He is near Pratt, working towards the recently Tornado warned storm in Clark County.Comment
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