The Shocks (8-8) are currently in 6th place, one game up on Indiana State (7-9). Drake (6-10) has fallen to 8th place 2 games behind the Shocks.
Indiana State is playing much better since they removed Jim Wiedie as Coach. They defeated both Northern Iowa (70-62) and Bradley (70-57) at home this weekend. Northern Iowa turned around and played Illinois State to a 3-point game in Normal.
Drake on the other hand is struggling. They have lost 8 of their last 10 with their only wins agaisnt bottom-feeders Evansville and SIU at home. They lost Friday at home to Creighton by 20.
Drake hosts Indiana State on Thursday and Illinois State on Saturday.
Indiana State plays at Creighton on Saturday.
The Shocks travel to Bradley on Thursday and to UNI on Saturday. Both teams playing much better than earleir in the year when the Shocks defeated them at home.
If Drake goes 1-1 and Indiana State 0-2 then it does not matter what the Shocks do. Best chance of that happening is Drake beating Indiana State on Thursday. This is possible since Drake is at home, but they sure have not been playing very well lately. Definitely not a slam dunk. I am counting on Illinois State knocking off Drake and Creighton over Indiana State on Saturday.
The Shocks can make this all mute if they win both games. They will secure 6th place or better.
If the Shocks go 1-1, Drake is in the Play-In round but Indiana State can still tie them for 6th if they go 2-0. Tiebreaker will depend on where Creighton and MSU finish. The Shocks have the advantage of a sweep over MSU, but INS would have the advantage with a split with CU.
If the Shocks go 0-2, Drake goes 2-0 and Indiana State goes 1-1 then we would have a 3-way tie for 6th with Drake winning the tiebreaker by beating 1st place Illinois State.
If the Shocks go 0-2, Drake goes 0-2 and Indiana State goes 1-1 then we have a 2-way tie for sixth. In this case, the Shocks own the tiebreaker by virtue of their sweep of MSU as both the Shocks and INS will be 0-2 vs Creighton in this scenario.
If the Shocks go 0-2 and Indiana State goes 2-0 then the Shocks will drop to 7th and be in the Play-In Round. Drake would finish 8th in this scenario.
I think the most likely sceanario is a two-way tie for 6th between the Shocks and Indiana State at 8-10 with the tiebreaker going to the Shocks by virtue of their sweep of MSU.
2nd most likely is Drake goes 1-1 and Inidana State goes 0-2 and Shocks back in to 6th even if they go 0-2 this week.
Still a lot of possiblities and moving parts. I think I have most of the possbilities and outcomes, but I wouldn't bet much on it.
Hopefully, the Shocks will not look back on the road losses to Evansville and SIU with some regret.
Indiana State is playing much better since they removed Jim Wiedie as Coach. They defeated both Northern Iowa (70-62) and Bradley (70-57) at home this weekend. Northern Iowa turned around and played Illinois State to a 3-point game in Normal.
Drake on the other hand is struggling. They have lost 8 of their last 10 with their only wins agaisnt bottom-feeders Evansville and SIU at home. They lost Friday at home to Creighton by 20.
Drake hosts Indiana State on Thursday and Illinois State on Saturday.
Indiana State plays at Creighton on Saturday.
The Shocks travel to Bradley on Thursday and to UNI on Saturday. Both teams playing much better than earleir in the year when the Shocks defeated them at home.
If Drake goes 1-1 and Indiana State 0-2 then it does not matter what the Shocks do. Best chance of that happening is Drake beating Indiana State on Thursday. This is possible since Drake is at home, but they sure have not been playing very well lately. Definitely not a slam dunk. I am counting on Illinois State knocking off Drake and Creighton over Indiana State on Saturday.
The Shocks can make this all mute if they win both games. They will secure 6th place or better.
If the Shocks go 1-1, Drake is in the Play-In round but Indiana State can still tie them for 6th if they go 2-0. Tiebreaker will depend on where Creighton and MSU finish. The Shocks have the advantage of a sweep over MSU, but INS would have the advantage with a split with CU.
If the Shocks go 0-2, Drake goes 2-0 and Indiana State goes 1-1 then we would have a 3-way tie for 6th with Drake winning the tiebreaker by beating 1st place Illinois State.
If the Shocks go 0-2, Drake goes 0-2 and Indiana State goes 1-1 then we have a 2-way tie for sixth. In this case, the Shocks own the tiebreaker by virtue of their sweep of MSU as both the Shocks and INS will be 0-2 vs Creighton in this scenario.
If the Shocks go 0-2 and Indiana State goes 2-0 then the Shocks will drop to 7th and be in the Play-In Round. Drake would finish 8th in this scenario.
I think the most likely sceanario is a two-way tie for 6th between the Shocks and Indiana State at 8-10 with the tiebreaker going to the Shocks by virtue of their sweep of MSU.
2nd most likely is Drake goes 1-1 and Inidana State goes 0-2 and Shocks back in to 6th even if they go 0-2 this week.
Still a lot of possiblities and moving parts. I think I have most of the possbilities and outcomes, but I wouldn't bet much on it.
Hopefully, the Shocks will not look back on the road losses to Evansville and SIU with some regret.
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