MVC Seeding and Potential Sat Opponent

[COS Shocker]

If I'm looking at things correctly I don't expect to play UNI on Sat. Regardless of the result of the UNI/ISUR game Sat they will get a rematch next Sat. This assumes Loy beats SIU, which I think is more likely than not. If UNI wins Sat then they are the 3 seed and ISUR is 2. If ISUR wins Sat and Loyola wins Loyola will have the tie breaker and would be the 3 seed thus facing us. I think our most likely opponent on Sat will be Loyola. I predict our Fri opponent is Bradley as long as we are the 2 seed.

[Shock Top]

What sucks is that since the tiebreaker is RPI, and nothing to do with conference performance, WSU will be penalized for OU and MSU having almost historically down seasons. Compound that with the fact that we cant get a home game with another good team unless we agree to play 3 games on the moon, with their fans only, and WSU players can't wear oxygen tanks; then MAYBE they would agree to a game at IBA where they get 3/4 of the tickets.


Lets look at some numbers for two teams in MVC play:

- MOV; Wins Only: Team A - 21.9 | Team B - 11.4
- MOV; All Games: Team A - 19.8 | Team B - 8.3

- MOV; Home Games: Team A - 28.1 | Team B - 8.2
- MOV; Road Games: Team A 10.5 | Team B - 8.4

- MOV; last 3 games: Team A - 24.7 | Team B - 2.3

Both teams have the same conference record; 16-1.


Team B is rewarded the #1 seed and Team A, sadly, will be the #2 and thus will get less rest for the championship game on Sunday.

Because.... Valley.... Where is Rothstein with another "WSU to the AAC" article when you need him?!?!

[Shock Top]

#2 seed it is

[ShockerFever]

Illinois State's reward for this one is a game between Loyola or SIU on Saturday.

Have fun with that.

[SHOCKvalue]

Illinois State's reward for this one is a game between Loyola and SIU on Saturday.

Have fun with that.

Guessing they'd rather have another go at the team they're smoking right now, but they'll be up against a couple of opponents that most recently took them to the ropes.

[ShockerFever]

WSU is already screwing up brackets and teams by being underseeded in their own conference tournament.

[shocks771]

Illinois State's reward for this one is a game between Loyola or SIU on Saturday.

Have fun with that.

This is going to be pretty close isn't it? Anyone know what the projected RPI's of UNI and Loyola will be if Loyola beats SIU tonight?

Loyola could end up as a 3-seed couldn't they?

[WuDrWu]

If I ran it correctly, Loyola would finish ahead 141 to 148. I could have missed something. (RPIforecast.com)

[shocks771]

If I ran it correctly, Loyola would finish ahead 141 to 148. I could have missed something. (RPIforecast.com)

I'm not worried about any team if we play to our capabilities, but would prefer if Illinois State had to play Loyola in the semis and I'll take the winner of UNI/SIU in the semis. Go Salukis tonight.

[WSUwatcher]

Based on recent performance, the Jailbirds shouldn't be all that confident about either Loyola or SIU as a semifinal opponent, but they certainly stepped up today. Gotta give them kudos for that -- I said several times I expected them to lose today, but instead they totally stifled the UNIs, who seem to be in complete collapse now that WSU ended their hot streak.

UNI cannot be looking forward to a possible Saturday rematch with WSU -- they'll probably be Loyola's biggest fans tonight, other than Sister Jean.

[shocks771]

Based on recent performance, the Jailbirds shouldn't be all that confident about either Loyola or SIU as a semifinal opponent, but they certainly stepped up today. Gotta give them kudos for that -- I said several times I expected them to lose today, but instead they totally stifled the UNIs, who seem to be in complete collapse now that WSU ended their hot streak.

UNI cannot be looking forward to a possible Saturday rematch with WSU -- they'll probably be Loyola's biggest fans tonight, other than Sister Jean.

I don't think UNI even makes it to Saturday. They will lose to either SIU or MSU on Friday.

[shocks771]

One game left, Loyola @ SIU

MVC Tournament Seeds if Loyola wins: 1. ILS 2. WSU 3. LOY 4. UNI 5. SIU 6. MSU 7. BU 8. UE 9. INS 10. DU

MVC Tournament Seeds if SIU wins: 1. ILS 2. WSU 3. UNI 4. SIU 5. LOY 6. MSU 7. BU 8. UE 9. INS 10. DU

WSU will play the winner of Bradley/Drake on Friday at 6:00

[WSUwatcher]

I don't think UNI even makes it to Saturday. They will lose to either SIU or MSU on Friday.

Very possible, 771. The way things are going right now, UNI has reverted to the team that started conference play 0-5.

I never bother with other boards -- have their fans given up on the NIT yet?

[Shock Top]

Go SIU

[Shock Top]

One game left, Loyola @ SIU

MVC Tournament Seeds if Loyola wins: 1. ILS 2. WSU 3. LOY 4. UNI 5. SIU 6. MSU 7. BU 8. UE 9. INS 10. DU

MVC Tournament Seeds if SIU wins: 1. ILS 2. WSU 3. UNI 4. SIU 5. LOY 6. MSU 7. BU 8. UE 9. INS 10. DU

WSU will play the winner of Bradley/Drake on Friday at 6:00

Looks like Live-RPI predicts UNI to finish ahead of Loyola, even with a win.

Since the split head-to-head (as did UNI and SIU), UNI still should finish third.