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  • #76
    At first thought, I assumed something like 68%, 67%, 66%, 65%, 51% should be 3, 2, 2, 2, 1. That is how I treated the first few weeks of this when I was asked to go back and retroactively find what Ken would have scored. Basically, my thought process was that 51% gets an obvious 1, the rest are all nearly equal and all get 2, and then you have 1 left over and have to bump 68% up to a 3.

    After further thought, even a case like this one with four nearly unique prediction %'s still should be scored 4,3,1,1,1 if you truly want to best play the odds. The math is rather straightforward, and it shows an interesting distinction between math and "gut reaction". I'll fully admit my initial "gut reaction" was wrong. Glad that the scoring happened to come out the same to-date, and I'll use the proper method going forward.

    Comment


    • #77
      Congratulations to capnkirk for taking sole possession of First Place

      Week
      1
      2
      3
      4
      5
      6
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      8
      9
      10
      11
      12
      13
      14
      15
      16
      17
      18
      Total
      Top Scores


















      capnkirk
      5
      10
      7
      7
      10
      10
      10











      59
      valleyclimber
      9
      10
      7
      5
      9
      9
      9











      58
      JH4P/KenPom
      6
      10
      8
      5
      9
      7
      9











      54
      Play Angry
      8
      9
      7
      6
      10
      5
      9











      54
      shocks771
      6
      10
      7
      6
      8
      8
      9











      54
      im4wsu
      8
      9
      7
      5
      9
      6
      9











      53
      EliShocker
      5
      9
      7
      6
      10
      6
      9











      52
      Aargh
      7
      9
      6
      3
      10
      6
      10











      51
      ShockerFever
      5
      8
      7
      5
      8
      8
      10











      51
      shocks02
      5
      9
      6
      4
      9
      9
      9











      51
      ccrunner101
      5
      10
      8
      5
      8
      5
      9











      50
      Onegreatracer
      6
      7
      9
      7
      9
      4
      8











      50
      Triticum aestivum l
      5
      9
      7
      4
      8
      8
      9











      50
      WSU and Reds Fan
      5
      8
      6
      7
      9
      7
      8











      50




















      AndShock
      6
      9
      6
      5
      8
      3
      6











      43
      BAShocker
      4
      8
      8
      6
      10
      6
      7











      49
      bleednblackngold
      4
      8
      6
      7
      8
      5
      8











      46
      btp1029
      5
      8
      6
      5
      6
      7
      9











      46
      B1ShockFan
      5
      8
      6
      5
      8
      8
      9











      49
      Calshockfan
      5
      9
      6
      5
      8
      5
      7











      45
      COS Shocker
      5
      9
      5
      5
      7
      8
      8











      47
      dregn
      7
      8
      7
      5
      8
      6
      8











      49
      DUShock
      2
      8
      5
      4
      8
      4
      9











      40
      dwbarcl
      5
      9
      4
      7
      9
      3
      6











      43
      eeshocker
      4
      10
      5
      6
      9
      6












      40
      goob65
      5
      9
      6
      6
      7
      5
      8











      46
      Horn28Clem30
      4
      6
      6
      6
      9
      8
      8











      47
      molly jabali
      4

      7
      3
      9
      9
      9











      41
      moshock
      5
      10
      5
      6
      8
      5












      39
      MoValley John
      4
      9
      5
      6
      8
      5
      7











      44
      newshock1234
      5
      9
      7
      5
      8
      5
      8











      47
      pie n eye
      5
      9
      7

      8













      29
      proshox
      3
      9
      8
      8
      9
      3












      40
      Ricardo del Rio
      4
      8
      5
      4
      7
      4
      9











      41
      rrshock
      5
      9
      5
      5
      9
      7
      9











      49
      SB Shock
      6
      9
      5
      5
      9
      6
      9











      49
      Shockadelica
      6
      7
      6
      4
      8
      8
      9











      48
      ShockdaWorld
      5
      9
      5
      4
      9
      5
      8











      45
      ShockerDave
      4
      7
      6
      5
      7
      5
      9











      43
      ShockerDropOut
      5
      7
      8
      5
      10
      4
      7











      46
      shockerfanmas
      4
      9
      5
      5
      8













      31
      Shocker1976
      6
      10
      6
      4
      10
      5
      6











      47
      Shockerfan34
      6
      8

      4
      8
      7
      8











      41
      ShockerMas
      4
      8
      7
      2
      10

      8











      39
      shockerofandover0943
      4
      10
      8
      5
      9
      4
      8











      48
      ShockerPhi
      5
      7
      5
      4
      8
      4
      7











      40
      shocker22
      6
      8
      7
      7
      6
      5
      7











      46
      shock-it-to-me
      6
      7
      5
      5
      8
      7
      7











      45
      ShockTalk
      4
      7
      5
      5
      9
      8
      10











      48
      shocktheheart
      6
      9
      6
      3
      9
      6
      9











      48
      shox_engineer24
      3
      10
      6
      5
      10
      7
      7











      48
      ShoxFan7
      5
      9
      4
      4
      8
      5
      8











      43
      SHOXJOCK
      4
      9
      6
      5
      8
      6
      8











      46
      SHOXMVC
      4
      6
      6
      4
      4
      8
      4











      36
      shoxxfmr
      4
      10
      8
      4
      8
      7
      8











      49
      SumShocker
      5
      8
      7
      4
      8
      6
      8











      46
      vancedave56
      3
      7
      6
      6

      5
      9











      36
      WheatShock
      6
      8
      6
      5
      9
      5
      7











      46
      wufan
      7
      9
      6
      5
      7
      8
      7











      49
      WuShock16
      3
      9
      6
      4
      6
      7
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      43
      wushock27
      6
      8
      4
      8
      10
      4
      6











      46
      Zardoz
      5
      9
      6
      6
      7
      4












      37
      1972Shocker
      4
      6
      6
      7
      9
      4
      8











      44

      Comment


      • #78
        Well, no weekly comparisons again this time from Jamar.
        Deuces Valley.
        ... No really, deuces.
        ________________
        "Enjoy the ride."

        - a smart man

        Comment


        • #79
          Or....he's got something more important to do before he gets on kenpom and SN to post them. For someone that likes to talk about other people's obsessions, you sure do jump in quick to make sure if he's posting or not.
          "You Don't Have to Play a Perfect Game. Your Best is Good Enough."

          Comment


          • #80
            Originally posted by ShockdaWorld View Post
            Or....he's got something more important to do before he gets on kenpom and SN to post them. For someone that likes to talk about other people's obsessions, you sure do jump in quick to make sure if he's posting or not.
            Um, well every other time he's "beaten" me, it's usually plastered all over the place before 7AM. The last two games I've "beaten" him, he's nowhere to be found.

            He does it to me, I'm doing it to him. How come you aren't around when he does it? Yep, exactly.
            Deuces Valley.
            ... No really, deuces.
            ________________
            "Enjoy the ride."

            - a smart man

            Comment


            • #81
              Originally posted by ShockerFever View Post
              Um, well every other time he's "beaten" me, it's usually plastered all over the place before 7AM. The last two games I've "beaten" him, he's nowhere to be found.

              He does it to me, I'm doing it to him. How come you aren't around when he does it? Yep, exactly.
              By him you mean Ken? I didn't think he was posting. By the way, we both have beaten Ken the last 2 times.

              Comment


              • #82
                Originally posted by ShockerFever View Post
                Um, well every other time he's "beaten" me, it's usually plastered all over the place before 7AM. The last two games I've "beaten" him, he's nowhere to be found.

                He does it to me, I'm doing it to him. How come you aren't around when he does it? Yep, exactly.
                Yep, exactly. So you're saying you're both obsessed?
                "You Don't Have to Play a Perfect Game. Your Best is Good Enough."

                Comment


                • #83
                  Originally posted by ShockdaWorld View Post
                  Yep, exactly. So you're saying you're both obsessed?
                  You seem to be pretty obsessed with me.
                  Deuces Valley.
                  ... No really, deuces.
                  ________________
                  "Enjoy the ride."

                  - a smart man

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    Originally posted by ShockTalk View Post
                    By him you mean Ken? I didn't think he was posting. By the way, we both have beaten Ken the last 2 times.
                    Right, Ken.

                    That's shocking that analytics have taken a bit of a dip lately.
                    *crickets*
                    Deuces Valley.
                    ... No really, deuces.
                    ________________
                    "Enjoy the ride."

                    - a smart man

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Originally posted by ShockerFever View Post
                      You seem to be pretty obsessed with me.
                      Yes, that's it. I'm absolutely obsessed with your constant bickering with someone on damn near every thread. You sound like the crabby old ladies my grandma used to play bridge with when I was young.
                      "You Don't Have to Play a Perfect Game. Your Best is Good Enough."

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        The hacker is still messing with my picks.
                        "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future."

                        --Niels Bohr







                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Originally posted by Ricardo del Rio View Post
                          The hacker is still messing with my picks.
                          Mine too. Damn Russians.
                          "You Don't Have to Play a Perfect Game. Your Best is Good Enough."

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            Originally posted by ShockdaWorld View Post
                            Yes, that's it. I'm absolutely obsessed with your constant bickering with someone on damn near every thread. You sound like the crabby old ladies my grandma used to play bridge with when I was young.
                            You keep responding as if you want to justify my point.
                            Deuces Valley.
                            ... No really, deuces.
                            ________________
                            "Enjoy the ride."

                            - a smart man

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              Okay, three 10 point pick 'ems in a row, capnkirk is to be given props to the top....for now. Darn phantom travel call on SIU in the DU/SIU game...tipped the scales. Just kidding, congrats out the Bulldogs program for finally showing a pulse after almost a decade. Anyhoo, enjoying the Shocker Showdown pick 'em contest this season and looking forward to getting back to the top. It's on capn! :)
                              KEEP IT ROCKIN' VALLEY!!!!

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                Originally posted by ShockdaWorld View Post
                                Mine too. Damn Russians.
                                The Chinese got mine.
                                Its a good landing if you can walk away, its a great landing if the plane can be reused the next day.

                                Comment

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