What are the Odds?

[Snapshot9]

That we will be 9-0 going into the tournament in December? Can our bigs stand up to the pressure? Certainly, the leadership of VanVleet, Baker, and Cotton will be important, and they may need to step up there game a bit for these next 5 games.

[SB Shock]

1 in 7

2 out 5 if they beat Utah

[im4wsu]

KenPom projected odds:

Utah	54%
Saint Louis	95%
Seton Hall	88%
Detroit	82%
Alabama	88%
All Five	33%

[im4wsu]

Now that the odds of being undefeated are ZERO, KenPom's percentage to win out and finish with one loss are 4.9%.

The game at UNI at 56% is the only game listed with a percentage lower than 75%. The odds of winning every game other than UNI are 8.7%.

The only other games below 80% are at Evansville (77%) and at Illinois St (75%). The odds of winning all the other games (excluding UNI, Evansville and Illinois State) are 15.1%. That would make the record 23-5 if we lost all of the excluded games, the percentage of losing all four of those is only 2.5%.

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

After last night's game, Kenpom has:

WSU - 8
KU - 9

Good to see one of the computers still has WSU in the top 10. It will be interesting to see what the Shox fall in the human polls come Monday.

[RoyalShock]

Obviously, it will depend on what happens between now and Monday, but for WSU's part, they need to obliterate SLU on Saturday. 25+.

But if I had to guess today, and without looking to see what other ranked teams have done this week (besides #14 UNC losing), I'd say we fall to around 14.

[mjbaker84]

After last night's game, Kenpom has:

WSU - 8
KU - 9

Good to see one of the computers still has WSU in the top 10. It will be interesting to see what the Shox fall in the human polls come Monday.

i am guessing in the 13-15 range

[SB Shock]

I am thinking around 18 (as long as WSU doesn't lose to SLU)

[Royals85]

Now that the odds of being undefeated are ZERO, KenPom's percentage to win out and finish with one loss are 4.9%.

The game at UNI at 56% is the only game listed with a percentage lower than 75%. The odds of winning every game other than UNI are 8.7%.

The only other games below 80% are at Evansville (77%) and at Illinois St (75%). The odds of winning all the other games (excluding UNI, Evansville and Illinois State) are 15.1%. That would make the record 23-5 if we lost all of the excluded games, the percentage of losing all four of those is only 2.5%.

I believe the odds of finishing with one loss are much lower, the second and third round games of the Diamond Head Classic aren't listed at KenPom yet since the opponent is unknown. We should get 2 tough games out of NU and then either CU or GWU. All 3 are ranked in the 41-65 range at KenPom.

[im4wsu]

I believe the odds of finishing with one loss are much lower, the second and third round games of the Diamond Head Classic aren't listed at KenPom yet since the opponent is unknown. We should get 2 tough games out of NU and then either CU or GWU. All 3 are ranked in the 41-65 range at KenPom.

Good point.

[Dan]

Wisconsin also lost to Duke. I'd say we fall to around 12-15

[jdshock]

If SLU comes in and doesn't score a single point. And WSU wins 105-0.

Would that be enough to have WSU jump a few spots or would we still fall?

[Jamar Howard 4 President]

If SLU comes in and doesn't score a single point. And WSU wins 105-0.

Would that be enough to have WSU jump a few spots or would we still fall?

105-0 and WSU moves up.
104-1 and WSU stays steady.
Anything closer than that and WSU falls.

[jdshock]

105-0 and WSU moves up.
104-1 and WSU stays steady.
Anything closer than that and WSU falls.

[AZ Shocker]

Wichita probably falls to #12 or #13. Utah explodes up the polls to one spot higher than the Shocks at #11 or #12. This was a GREAT loss.