Originally posted by ShockerFever
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Wichita State vs Oral Roberts Game Thread - Dec 2, 2020
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Originally posted by Aargh View PostDepth chart is pretty straight forward
C: Udeze - Chandler
PF: Trey Wade - Jackson
SF: Dennis
SG: Etienne
PG: Gilbert - Trevin Wade
It's a good thing that Trevin Wade can play off ball.
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Originally posted by Aargh View PostDepth chart is pretty straight forward
C: Udeze - Chandler
PF: Trey Wade - Jackson
SF: Dennis
SG: Etienne
PG: Gilbert - Trevin Wade
It's a good thing that Trevin Wade can play off ball.
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Originally posted by wichshock65 View Post
Really looking forward to seeing Trevin's game. Quick on quick in someone who can light up the net could make for some fun.
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Originally posted by wichshock65 View Post
Why is there a question about rain/snow around ICT when the 540 line is so far south of us? Doesn't that typically mean it's cold enough for snow?
As we get closer to the event and the higher resolution models results are coming into focus they are seeing
1) Strong surface warm-air advection coming in from the south
2). The system is slowing down, which means - more time for the warm air advection.
thus they are thinking there is going to be a sharp temperature gradient running roughly along the turnpike corridor that will keep surface temperatures above freezing. East of the line it will be mainly a rain event, maybe turning to snow later on if there is sufficient cooling. If you are behind that gradient then snow, maybe heavy snow.
So if you are just using the critical thickness (e.g. 540 line) only, you risk overestimating the snowfall potential because you may be missing onset timing and may not account for how the warmer surface temperature will affect your snowfall potential.Last edited by SB Shock; December 1, 2020, 06:18 PM.
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Originally posted by SB Shock View Post
That true, and that why I think you saw this even flagged by the NWS as a potential winter storm event. The snow forecast models are using the critical thickness for their snowfall prediction and like Wichita was having some early predictions for 6-8 inches. But the 540 line is rule of thumb, but you have to consider the whole thermal profile. The problem with this setup is surface warm air advection.
As we get closer to the event and the higher resolution models results are coming into focus they are seeing
1) Strong surface warm-air advection coming in from the south
2). The system is slowing down, which means - more time for the warm air advection.
thus they are thinking there is going to be a sharp temperature gradient running roughly along the turnpike corridor that will keep surface temperatures above freezing. East of the line it will be mainly a rain event, maybe turning to snow later on if there is sufficient cooling. If you are behind that gradient then snow, maybe heavy snow.
So if you are just using the critical thickness (e.g. 540 line) only, you risk overestimating the snowfall potential because you may be missing onset timing and may not account for how the warmer surface temperature will affect your snowfall potential.
And I think that's pretty cool.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!
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Originally posted by SB Shock View Post
That true, and that why I think you saw this even flagged by the NWS as a potential winter storm event. The snow forecast models are using the critical thickness for their snowfall prediction and like Wichita was having some early predictions for 6-8 inches. But the 540 line is rule of thumb, but you have to consider the whole thermal profile. The problem with this setup is surface warm air advection.
As we get closer to the event and the higher resolution models results are coming into focus they are seeing
1) Strong surface warm-air advection coming in from the south
2). The system is slowing down, which means - more time for the warm air advection.
thus they are thinking there is going to be a sharp temperature gradient running roughly along the turnpike corridor that will keep surface temperatures above freezing. East of the line it will be mainly a rain event, maybe turning to snow later on if there is sufficient cooling. If you are behind that gradient then snow, maybe heavy snow.
So if you are just using the critical thickness (e.g. 540 line) only, you risk overestimating the snowfall potential because you may be missing onset timing and may not account for how the warmer surface temperature will affect your snowfall potential.
- Likes 2
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