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KenPom Data (Preseason vs Now)

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  • KenPom Data (Preseason vs Now)

    I used KenPom because it is likely to be close to the NCAA's NET ratings, but since NET is not available yet, KenPom is a great alternative.

    If you want the link to my data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

    Schedule Average KenPom:

    Total: Now - 125
    Conf: Now - 121
    NonCon: Pre - 131, Now - 131

    American Average KenPom:

    Preseason: 119
    Now: 115

  • #2
    Next refresh I will have the Preseason Schedule Averages for Conference and Total, just got annoyed with entering so much data at once.

    Comment


    • JVShocker
      JVShocker commented
      Editing a comment
      We all get annoyed with work. That's what you get paid for. You did get the check, right?

    • FadedCrown
      FadedCrown commented
      Editing a comment
      JVShocker Apparently my work is voluntary, should have known before I applied.

  • #3
    so you’re saying that this is a non-union shop. lol. no work no pay?

    Comment


    • JVShocker
      JVShocker commented
      Editing a comment
      I asked Royal about this for many years and I'm still waiting for my check to come in. LOL.

  • #4
    you got donald trumped... did the work and the subs didn't get paid. lol

    thanks for the data faded.. i really enjoy the technicals.

    Comment


    • #5
      Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

      Record: 20-10 (13-5)
      Tier I : 1-3 ---- Tier A: 1-3
      Tier II : 7-6 --- Tier B: 4-6
      Tier III: 5-1 --- Other Games: 15-1
      Tier IV: 7-0 ---

      Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)
      Last edited by FadedCrown; December 10, 2018, 07:50 AM.

      Comment


      • #6
        Here I compared what our resume I predicted above would look like compared to bubble teams who made it last year if I took KenPom's Tier A and B games.

        https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

        Weights:

        Tier A Win: 4
        Tier A Loss: 0.5
        Tier B Win: 2.5
        Tier B Loss: -0.5
        Other DI Win: 1* (Was 1.5)
        Other DI Loss: -2* (Was -1.5)

        Let me know if I should change these weights as this was just off the top of my head.

        As you see, my predicted Resume for WSU is a few points behind bubble teams that were in last year.
        Last edited by FadedCrown; November 20, 2018, 01:22 PM.

        Comment


        • #7
          Preseason Change 12/11/19
          37 SMU -67 104 SMU
          43 Cincinnati 14 29 Cincinnati
          44 Houston 8 36 Houston
          70 UCF 26 44 UCF
          71 Wichita State -36 107 Wichita State
          82 Temple 9 73 Temple
          100 UConn 21 79 UConn
          107 Memphis -13 120 Memphis
          114 Tulsa -9 123 Tulsa
          188 Tulane -22 210 Tulane
          279 ECU 25 254 ECU
          287 USF 70 217 USF
          119 116

          Comment


          • #8
            Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

            Record: 19-11 (12-6)
            Tier I : 1-3
            Tier II : 5-7
            Tier III: 8-1
            Tier IV: 5-0

            Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. UCF), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)

            Comment


            • #9
              Originally posted by FadedCrown View Post
              Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

              Record: 19-11 (12-6)
              Tier I : 1-3
              Tier II : 5-7
              Tier III: 8-1
              Tier IV: 5-0

              Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. UCF), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)
              For comparison, RealTime RPI has us 17-13, losing all upcoming away games and winning all home contests.
              "I not sure that I've ever been around a more competitive player or young man than Fred VanVleet. I like to win more than 99.9% of the people in this world, but he may top me." -- Gregg Marshall 12/23/13 :peaceful:
              ---------------------------------------
              Remember when Nancy Pelosi said about Obamacare:
              "We have to pass it, to find out what's in it".

              A physician called into a radio show and said:
              "That's the definition of a stool sample."

              Comment


              • 1972Shocker
                1972Shocker commented
                Editing a comment
                Realtime apparently really applies a heavy weighting to home court advantage in it's projections. Personally, I'm not to impressed with their stuff.

            • #10
              Originally posted by im4wsu View Post

              For comparison, RealTime RPI has us 17-13, losing all upcoming away games and winning all home contests.
              Nolan has us

              Overall
              14 - 16

              Home
              11 - 4

              Away
              1 - 10

              Neutral
              2 - 2

              Conference
              7 - 11

              Non-Conf.
              7 - 5

              Post Season
              0 - 0


              "I not sure that I've ever been around a more competitive player or young man than Fred VanVleet. I like to win more than 99.9% of the people in this world, but he may top me." -- Gregg Marshall 12/23/13 :peaceful:
              ---------------------------------------
              Remember when Nancy Pelosi said about Obamacare:
              "We have to pass it, to find out what's in it".

              A physician called into a radio show and said:
              "That's the definition of a stool sample."

              Comment


              • #11
                Resume Prediction

                Record: 17-13 (10-8)

                Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. Temple (OT), (A vs. Houston), (H vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa), (A vs. SMU)

                Comment


                • #12
                  So with 13 games left, we have to win 9 more games to make the Resume Prediction come true?

                  Possible - Anything is. Probable: Not likely.

                  Comment


                  • FadedCrown
                    FadedCrown commented
                    Editing a comment
                    Out of our next 13 games, KenPom has 5 of them as losses, I counted USF as a win for us.
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