KenPom Data (Preseason vs Now)

[FadedCrown]

I used KenPom because it is likely to be close to the NCAA's NET ratings, but since NET is not available yet, KenPom is a great alternative.

If you want the link to my data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Schedule Average KenPom:

Total: Now - 125
Conf: Now - 121
NonCon: Pre - 131, Now - 131

American Average KenPom:

Preseason: 119
Now: 115

[FadedCrown]

Next refresh I will have the Preseason Schedule Averages for Conference and Total, just got annoyed with entering so much data at once.

[JVShocker]

We all get annoyed with work. That's what you get paid for. You did get the check, right?

[FadedCrown]

JVShocker Apparently my work is voluntary, should have known before I applied.

[abdullah_sharif]

so you’re saying that this is a non-union shop. lol. no work no pay?

[JVShocker]

I asked Royal about this for many years and I'm still waiting for my check to come in. LOL.

[abdullah_sharif]

you got donald trumped... did the work and the subs didn't get paid. lol

thanks for the data faded.. i really enjoy the technicals.

[FadedCrown]

Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

Record: 20-10 (13-5)
Tier I : 1-3 ---- Tier A: 1-3
Tier II : 7-6 --- Tier B: 4-6
Tier III: 5-1 --- Other Games: 15-1
Tier IV: 7-0 ---

Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)

[FadedCrown]

Here I compared what our resume I predicted above would look like compared to bubble teams who made it last year if I took KenPom's Tier A and B games.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Weights:

Tier A Win: 4
Tier A Loss: 0.5
Tier B Win: 2.5
Tier B Loss: -0.5
Other DI Win: 1* (Was 1.5)
Other DI Loss: -2* (Was -1.5)

Let me know if I should change these weights as this was just off the top of my head.

As you see, my predicted Resume for WSU is a few points behind bubble teams that were in last year.

[FadedCrown]

	Preseason	Change		12/11/19
37	SMU	-67	104	SMU
43	Cincinnati	14	29	Cincinnati
44	Houston	8	36	Houston
70	UCF	26	44	UCF
71	Wichita State	-36	107	Wichita State
82	Temple	9	73	Temple
100	UConn	21	79	UConn
107	Memphis	-13	120	Memphis
114	Tulsa	-9	123	Tulsa
188	Tulane	-22	210	Tulane
279	ECU	25	254	ECU
287	USF	70	217	USF
119			116

[FadedCrown]

Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

Record: 19-11 (12-6)
Tier I : 1-3
Tier II : 5-7
Tier III: 8-1
Tier IV: 5-0

Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. UCF), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)

[im4wsu]

Resume Prediction - Using KenPom and NCAA Quadrants

Record: 19-11 (12-6)
Tier I : 1-3
Tier II : 5-7
Tier III: 8-1
Tier IV: 5-0

Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. UCF), (A vs. Houston), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa)

For comparison, RealTime RPI has us 17-13, losing all upcoming away games and winning all home contests.

[1972Shocker]

Realtime apparently really applies a heavy weighting to home court advantage in it's projections. Personally, I'm not to impressed with their stuff.

[im4wsu]

For comparison, RealTime RPI has us 17-13, losing all upcoming away games and winning all home contests.

Nolan has us

Overall
14 - 16

Home
11 - 4

Away
1 - 10

Neutral
2 - 2

Conference
7 - 11

Non-Conf.
7 - 5

Post Season
0 - 0

[FadedCrown]

Resume Prediction

Record: 17-13 (10-8)

Losses: (H vs. Louisiana Tech), (N vs. Davidson), (N vs. Alabama), (A vs. Oklahoma), (A vs. VCU), (A vs. Memphis), (H vs. Temple (OT), (A vs. Houston), (H vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. UConn), (A vs. Cincinnati), (A vs. Tulsa), (A vs. SMU)

[60Shock]

So with 13 games left, we have to win 9 more games to make the Resume Prediction come true?

Possible - Anything is. Probable: Not likely.

[FadedCrown]

Out of our next 13 games, KenPom has 5 of them as losses, I counted USF as a win for us.