#26 WSU vs. Furman, 3 Game Series

[Play Angry]

Sanburn mows them down for the save.

Ridiculous performance by our pitchers this week. Good job getting the sweep, Shocks.

[Play Angry]

Shockers pitching today:

9 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 1 R, 0 ER, 12 K

On a predetermined split. Incredibly good stuff.

[WuDrWu]

4 earned in 4 games. Strong.

[Cdizzle]

Very. Even against Tabor.

[Play Angry]

UTA up 2-0 in the 3rd in Game 3 at Little Rock.

Nebraska set to throw first pitch against Minnesota in a minute.

Both big games for trying to get OOC foes into the Top 50.

[shocks02]

Are we breaking into some more Top 25's tomorrow?

[Play Angry]

Yep.

[1972Shocker]

Maybe one more game on the "Let's Build Some Confidence and Momentum" part of the schedule against Central Arkansas on Tuesday, atlhough that one is looking iffy weatherwise and then the real measuring will begin next weekend when the Shocks open AAC play at ECU.. A month from now we will have a much clearer idea of how this Shocker team stacks up. Here's hoping for the best.

[Shox The Revenant]

Only gave up 10 hits in 27 innings against Furman, We'll need that kind of pitching when we start AAC play at ECU.

[ShockerFever]

Nice pitching, nice sweep. WSU's RPI is up to 5.

Next week is interesting to say the least. 1 of 3 at ECU is the most optimistic possibility, correct?

[Play Angry]

1 of 3 is pretty reasonable, but they aren't at a level where sniping 2 games is out of the question. Unlikely, but possible (guessing ~30-35% probability without running the numbers).

A 2-2 week wouldn't do any damage to our at-large profile. Anything worse would be a disappointment, anything better would be a tremendous boost.

[SB Shock]

WSU should be able to win 1 (90% chance). Winning 2 against ECU is probably a 50/50 affair. Sweeping the series is less 15%. That is as of the ISR today which doesn't factor in Sunday game (or midweek games).

[1972Shocker]

WSU should be able to win 1 (90% chance). Winning 2 against ECU is probably a 50/50 affair. Sweeping the series is less 15%. That is as of the ISR today which doesn't factor in Sunday game (or midweek games).

So optimistic would be a sweep. Going 2-1 or 1-2 a coin toss. Winning one probable. And being swept pessimistic.

Since the games are at ECU the coin toss is more likely to come up in ECU's favor.

[ShockerFever]

So optimistic would be a sweep. Going 2-1 or 1-2 a coin toss. Winning one probable. And being swept pessimistic.

Using analytics to try to predict baseball games is, well, a bit of a stretch.

[1972Shocker]

I would say that's also true for college basketball these days as well. Besides I didn't really make a prediction. Just attempted to define what would be optimistic.

I assume that since you consider 1 win at ECU to be on the optimistic side that you are predicting an ECU sweep. Certainly not out of the realm of possibility but I call that a bit pessimistic although not outlandishly so. But not everyone will view things through the same lense.

I think we can agree that optimism/pessimism aside that an ECU sweep would be disappointing.

[Shocker85]

oops ...

[Shocker85]

Using analytics to try to predict baseball games is, well, a bit of a stretch.

Quite the opposite ... analytics have been applied in college baseball for at least 40 years and the predictive element has been demonstrated to have some validity. Part of the reason it works is that the sample size is much larger and that there is a lot of play between teams at all levels due to regional matchups and cost of travel.

The difficult component is starting pitching; starting pitchers only pitch once per week. However, since this is true for almost all teams, the "weekend" matchups are still valid and can be analytically compared. Comparison during the post season get scrambled a little due to depth of pitching staff and specific matchups.

Also, home vs. away results in baseball is typically less extreme vs some other college sports which helps the analysis.

But you knew all that.

[ShockerFever]

Quite the opposite ... analytics have been applied in college baseball for at least 40 years and the predictive element has been demonstrated to have some validity. Part of the reason it works is that the sample size is much larger and that there is a lot of play between teams at all levels due to regional matchups and cost of travel.

The difficult component is starting pitching; starting pitchers only pitch once per week. However, since this is true for almost all teams, the "weekend" matchups are still valid and can be analytically compared. Comparison during the post season get scrambled a little due to depth of pitching staff and specific matchups.

Also, home vs. away results in baseball is typically less extreme vs some other college sports which helps the analysis.

But you knew all that.

Ok so the “predictor” has WSU 50/50 to win 2 out of 3. Not really going out on a huge limb but let’s see how close it gets.

WSU’s road record last year was pretty extreme.

But you knew that.

[Play Angry]

Looks like they've moved tomorrow's game time up to 1 PM to try to hit the window with the lowest chance of rain. 50/50 whether this gets played.