Super Tuesday - March Madness

[SB Shock]

Here we go..... Will Rubio actually win something?

[SB Shock]

Exit polls showing ~

Vermont: Trump 32, Kasich 31, Rubio 19
Virginia: Trump 34, Rubio 31, Cruz 16
Georgia: Trump 40, Rubio 23, Cruz 22

Georgia race called for Trump.

If Rubio could pull out VA that would be huge. I guess Kasich winning Vermont would be good, but it will just give him reason to stay in it further.

[Play Angry]

Not that it matters much from a delegates standpoint, but does anyone have a clue how Alaska might go tonight? Rubio/Cruz needs any win they can get and even something that small could be big for headlines.

[SB Shock]

Virgina exit polls show Trump just edging out Rubio by 1-3%

Rubio won the 17-29, 30-44 age groups
Trump won 45-64, 65 and over age groups

Trump won White 36% to 31%
Rubio won non-white 30% to 27%

Trump won High School or less 47% to 18%
Trump won some college 41% to 27%
Rubio won college graduate 36% to 30%
Rubio won postgraduate study 38% to 23%

Trump won Republicans 36-31%
Independents were split at 30%-30%

Very Conservative - Trump 36%, Rubio 30%
Somewhat Conservative - Trump 38%, Rubio 35%
Moderate - Rubio 37%, Trump 24%

Rubio wins the "Can win in November" at 57% (16% of electorate)
Rubio wins the "Shares my values" at 34% (Cruz at 26%) (32% of electorate)
Trump wins the "You suck [tell it like it is]" - 71% (15% of electorate)
Trump wins the "We love change" - 41% (35% of electorate)


Warrior - 41% Trump, 27% Rubio
REMFS - Trump 33%, Rubio 32%

Godless - Rubio 36%, Trump 29%
God Children - Trump 37%, Rubio 29%

[SB Shock]

Tennessee is being called for Trump
Alabama is being called for Trump
Mass. called for Trump

There is a pattern - states with more educated voters are going Rubio, less educated Trump

[SB Shock]

Not that it matters much from a delegates standpoint, but does anyone have a clue how Alaska might go tonight? Rubio/Cruz needs any win they can get and even something that small could be big for headlines.

last poll was done in middle january and had Trump at 28%, Cruz at 24%

[DUShock]

How is Texas looking? If Rafael Edward Cruz cannot significantly carry his home bench, he is cooked. This assumes an unbrokered convention. But brokered conventions are crazy fun to dissect when the dust settles.

[SB Shock]

How is Texas looking? If Rafael Edward Cruz cannot significantly carry his home bench, he is cooked. This assumes an unbrokered convention. But brokered conventions are crazy fun to dissect when the dust settles.

Cruz is winning so far 39% to 30%. Polls don't close till 8pm central, so the exit polls are not available.

[DUShock]

That is what I saw, about a 10 pt lead over Trump.

[Play Angry]

Looks like early returns have Rubio right on the 20% line here, which is what he needs to get in order to receive his pro rata share of delegates. Will be interesting to see if he meets the threshold.

Georgia has a similarly weird structure and Trump is at 45.6%, Cruz 22.1%, and Rubio 20.6% with 12% reporting. They both desperately need to keep Donald under 50% there while each receiving 20%+ to get their split of the delegates.

[SB Shock]

Virginia is called for Trump.

[SB Shock]

From some of the results - it looks like Rubio is winning what I would characterize as dedicated Christians. Trump seems to be winning with the Chreasters. Unfortunately the Chreasters outnumber the Christians.

[Play Angry]

Looks like Cruz might grab Oklahoma.

[Play Angry]

Texas called for Cruz.

[SB Shock]

OK called for Cruz