2014 Senate Projections

[shocka khan]

Wufan, I'm sorry for the misunderstanding and I appreciate you pointing the situation out to me.

PS: Go Royals!

[wufan]

Wufan, I'm sorry for the misunderstanding and I appreciate you pointing the situation out to me.

PS: Go Royals!

Go Royals!

[SB Shock]

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[Play Angry]

Numbers are falling apart for Dems in a lot of close races- Brown/Shaheen is now a dead heat, same with Tillis/Hagan. CO and AR (maybe IA too) are going to be flipped to 'lean' status over the weekend I'm guessing

Looking more and more like a tsunami. Hopefully KS can avoid being a lone, weird bright spot for team blue.

[SB Shock]

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[SB Shock]

early voting shows a 10% lead for republicans

[Play Angry]

Momentum continuing to build for the elephants- Silver now puts the odds of an R majority in the senate at 72.3% and today's guesstimate for House gains is 6-12 seats.

[SB Shock]

final projection. We will find out tomorrow if the polls have a republican or democratic bias to them.

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[Play Angry]

Voting early would save time, but there is just something fun about going to the polls on election day.

Cheers to an evening of watching returns. I always look forward to election night, even when my team gets trounced. Fortunately this year it looks like we are the trouncers.

[WuDrWu]

Voting early would save time, but there is just something fun about going to the polls on election day.

Cheers to an evening of watching returns. I always look forward to election night, even when my team gets trounced. Fortunately this year it looks like we are the trouncers.

I agree. I hope I'm always able to go to the polls. As to the results, I am hopeful, but I am not going to be holding my breath.

[Aargh]

If there is a Republican Senate and Brownback is re-elected, you are going to see a lot of older Kansans with money leave the state. The possibility of Medicare getting lumped in with KanCare will increase the number of retired people who leave the state.

Speaking of KanCare, wait till the contracts are up for renewal and the bill comes due on that little experiment. It does not appear that privatization has produced the expected efficiencies.

[MoValley John]

If there is a Republican Senate and Brownback is re-elected, you are going to see a lot of older Kansans with money leave the state. The possibility of Medicare getting lumped in with KanCare will increase the number of retired people who leave the state.

Speaking of KanCare, wait till the contracts are up for renewal and the bill comes due on that little experiment. It does not appear that privatization has produced the expected efficiencies.

In all seriousness, is that a good or a bad thing? Politically, you would get crucified for running off the elderly, but the elderly are a segment of the population that is expensive. Ideally, you'd want a state full of people 25-65. Once you cross either line, you become an expense.

[Aargh]

In all seriousness, is that a good or a bad thing? Politically, you would get crucified for running off the elderly, but the elderly are a segment of the population that is expensive. Ideally, you'd want a state full of people 25-65. Once you cross either line, you become an expense.

Not quite. Those who are able to leave are property owners with sufficient cash to afford the move. They are not really an expense. They are the ones you want to keep because they will be taking their life savings and feeding it to the local economy. It's the ones who can't afford to move who are both the expense and the ones more likely to have higher health care costs.

Running off the elderly with significant savings is a reasonable expectaation if state threatens to take over Medicare. The Kansas formula for privatizing health care for Medicaid has been filled with serious problems.

[MoValley John]

Not quite. Those who are able to leave are property owners with sufficient cash to afford the move. They are not really an expense. They are the ones you want to keep because they will be taking their life savings and feeding it to the local economy. It's the ones who can't afford to move who are both the expense and the ones more likely to have higher health care costs.

Running off the elderly with significant savings is a reasonable expectaation if state threatens to take over Medicare. The Kansas formula for privatizing health care for Medicaid has been filled with serious problems.

Actually, nobody is running anyone off. The same fear of a mass exodus is predicted in state and federal elections all of the time. It never manifests itself. It is an empty fear tactic. All the Democrats were moving to Canada if Bush wad reelected. Bush was reelected and nobody moved. In Nebraska Governors races' it happens all the time. Since we get Iowa election propaganda in Omaha, I've heard the same stuff from over there. Now you bring it up in Kansas.

In the end, people live where they live. They live there because it is home. They stay because it's home. An election isn't getting anyone to move.

Plus, in many cases, the economic impact of wealthy people in a city or a state is usually overstated. Their wealth is sheltered and even though they have a whole lot of disposable money, they can only spend so much to add to sales taxes.

[Aargh]

The Health Care Compact was originally thought just to be a rebellion against the ACA. After all, for anything to happen, it had to get through Congress. Then people found out that it included Medicare. That changed the game. If the Republicans take Congress, then there's a real possibility that Congress will approve the Health Care Compact. If Medicare in Kansas goes the same way that Medicaid went, you can bet your ass people who can leave the State for Medicare coverage will do that.

About elderly people and spending - My mother spends $73,000 a year (all her own money) to live in a care facility for seniors. That's some serious change going into the economy of a small town in Kansas. She doesn't add much to sales taxes, but she personally provides about 2 jobs just by living there.