2024 Presidential Election

[Kung Wu]

Bongino is a nutjob.

Our country needs kindness.

[C0|dB|00ded]

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-pennsylvania-poll-donald-trump-election-1979093

Kamala Harris Gets Worrying Sign in Bellwether Pennsylvania County: Poll

Pennsylvania is key to win because it has 19 electoral votes, the most out of all seven swing states. It is also one of the swing states that has the smallest margin of voter support between the two candidates.

A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll has Harris and Trump tied with 49 percent of the vote each. The poll was conducted from October 27 to 30, surveyed 500 likely Pennsylvania voters and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

However, Harris has a worrying sign when looking at the bellwether Northampton County. A bellwether region is a place where the election results typically reflect how the overall electorate votes.

Friday's poll had Trump slightly leading Harris in Northampton County (50 to 48 percent). However, the two candidates are tied with 48 percent each in another Pennsylvania bellwether, Erie County. The polls surveyed 300 likely voters in each county. The polls' results fall within their margin of error of 5.65 percentage points.

In September, Harris was leading Trump in Erie and Northampton counties—both where outcomes have correctly predicted the overall winner of presidential elections since 2008.

[ShockerFever]

Nothing wrong with that. Just be sure and thank them from time to time when they get something right (which is most of the time).

This country needs more simple kindness. The depersonalization of communication thanks to worthless social media is a sadness.

Unplug. Unplug. Unplug.

You sound like a government employee.

The country needs kindness, yet everyday you name call people everything in the book.

Once again, biggest trolling hypocrite on the planet.

[Kung Wu]

I'm tracking Pennsylvania, and my guess is whoever wins that state will win the election. You can make the case from either side that you can win.

I have tried to model the results with latest Marist poll and early voting. Changing my assumptions by small amounts can change the winner. Whoever has the better ground game of getting the vote out, I think, will win.

Pennsylvania (8.4 million registered) early voting (as of 10/31)

Requested: 2,100,000 [1,200,000 Dem, 681,100 Rep]
Early Voted: 1,600,000 [926,500 Dem, 540,200 Rep, Diff 386,300]


Kansas, 510,100 have voted early.
Democrats 170,100
Republicans 261,00

IMO, Trump can win without PA, if he gets MI or WI. But better to just get PA and be done with it.

[Kung Wu]

“Expect bad actors to take minor issues and use them to fuel baseless conspiracy theories in order to further their own agenda,” Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said in a post Thursday morning. “Don’t buy into their attempts to create chaos, confusion and fear.”

A 279,000 ballot reconciliation screw up by your department in a state that was won by 159,000 votes in 2020 and will decide the 2024 election is a "minor issue"?

[pinstripers]

Frank Luntz @FrankLuntz

"Only 40% of voters approve of President Biden’s performance, and only 28% say the country is heading in the right direction. No party has retained control of the White House when so many Americans were dissatisfied with the country or the president."

[SB Shock]

I'm tracking Pennsylvania, and my guess is whoever wins that state will win the election. You can make the case from either side that you can win.

I have tried to model the results with latest Marist poll and early voting. Changing my assumptions by small amounts can change the winner. Whoever has the better ground game of getting the vote out, I think, will win.

Pennsylvania (8.4 million registered) early voting (as of 10/31)

Requested: 2,100,000 [1,200,000 Dem, 681,100 Rep]
Early Voted: 1,600,000 [926,500 Dem, 540,200 Rep, Diff 386,300]


Kansas, 510,100 have voted early.
Democrats 170,100
Republicans 261,00

[C0|dB|00ded]

Sorry for all the ****s.

But we're got a group of government employees across this great land that think they are above questioning. They work for the people. They need to be reminded of that.

Nothing wrong with that. Just be sure and thank them from time to time when they get something right (which is most of the time).

This country needs more simple kindness. The depersonalization of communication thanks to worthless social media is a sadness.

Unplug. Unplug. Unplug.

[WuDrWu]

Sorry for all the ****s.

But we're got a group of government employees across this great land that think they are above questioning. They work for the people. They need to be reminded of that.

[WuDrWu]

And the MI SoS is a ****tard.

Don't ****ing tell me how to react to your ****ups. You all ****ed up. You fixed it, explained it, fine. Don't tell the people that found the mistake that they are the problem. Do your ****ing job in the first place and there's no problem.

[WuDrWu]

Unplug.


MI had an error with reporting.

That error made it look like there was a problem. An error by the State of MI.

It was addressed and explained and (hopefully) fixed so that it doesn't happen again.

No voter fraud there.

Sounds like everyone (including "Trumpsters") did their jobs to me. Except the folks running the Excel spreadsheets in MI.


And if they can screw that up, they can screw something else up. Stay vigilant.

[C0|dB|00ded]

Bongino has been all over this. Sounds like the GOP is smoking all this out to the open and forcing action.

Bongino is a nutjob.

[C0|dB|00ded]

It will be interesting to see what if anything is done about this. My guess is nothing if the past is any guide.

https://www.aol.com/conservative-activists-seize-formatting-error-165347181.html

The Secretary of State said Wednesday afternoon the qualified voter file only allows one ballot to be accepted per voter in every election — a formatting error has been corrected.

“Recently, the Bureau of Elections identified a formatting error in a routine report that shows the list of voters who have cast a ballot in this election either by absentee or early voting ballot. The formatting error in the data export process generated a line in the exported report for each formerly associated address of each individual voter listed, resulting in the same ballot for the same voter appearing on multiple lines of information all associated with one unique Voter ID.

Each of these voters only had one vote recorded for this election. This error in the data export process has been corrected and these erroneous extra lines no longer appear on the report,” Cheri Hardmon, a spokesperson for the Secretary of State’s office said in a statement.

DePerno’s post garnered attention from high-profile Republicans including Republican National Committee Co-chair Lara Trump and Sidney Powell, a Texas attorney who faced sanctions in Michigan and elsewhere after forwarding fraud theories in the 2020 election.

Posts like DePerno’s have been gaining attention on Elon Musk’s X in the lead-up to the election, many putting scrutiny on the large number of people on Michigan’svoter rolls, which state officials say does not indicate fraud.

“Expect bad actors to take minor issues and use them to fuel baseless conspiracy theories in order to further their own agenda,” Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson said in a post Thursday morning. “Don’t buy into their attempts to create chaos, confusion and fear.”

Trumpers continue to act like children. Embarrassing.

[shock]

It will be interesting to see what if anything is done about this. My guess is nothing if the past is any guide.

Bongino has been all over this. Sounds like the GOP is smoking all this out to the open and forcing action.

[1972Shocker]

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...an/ar-AA1tdGpp

Matthew DePerno, the 2022 GOP nominee for Michigan's attorney general, posted on X on Wednesday, "After reviewing the Qualified Voter File (QVF) of votes actually cast as of yesterday, Oct 29, 2024, the database identifies 114,545 Michigan voters who have cast 279,113 ballots from multiple addresses across the state. This results in 164,568 excess ballots as of 10/29/2024. Below is one Voter ID."

It will be interesting to see what if anything is done about this. My guess is nothing if the past is any guide.