2024 Presidential Election

[C0|dB|00ded]

Crazy night! I settled in on the couch around 5pm and didn't leave until the wee hours. I mostly watched ABC because it seemed decent and was offered by Prime. I thought they did a good job and loved the benchmark comparisons. The anchor, we'll call him Mannequin Dude, wasn't unsettling. They had Rinse Preebus (wtf kindofa name..) and Christie chirping all night next to the seething black chic w/ the otherworldly hair. I also watched CBS a bit because it has the old, ugly white lady that broke down last time Trump won. She was much more composed this time. In fact, both networks were very composed and professional. ABC should have called the election earlier than they did, but no matter. They wanna keep eyes on sets so they can keep pumping the commercials. I'm sure this is a big revenue night for them.

Like I said earlier, I'm losing no matter who wins. I feel like I lost a little less with the way everything went down last night. I'll hope for the best even though we all know the guy's an Asshat, child, narcissist, liar, ignorant clown. Does that beat an "empty suit"? Check back in four years.

I think I would prefer president by committee. We can have 6 folks, a left and right wing nut, two moderates, and one independent deciding on the business of the Executive branch. I think I like that idea a lot!

[RoyalShock]

As of now the only Dem I feel is a threat would be Shapiro (sp?), having said that, I think your going to see the entire party abandon the far left and move to the middle

He and Newsome are the only ones the Dems have.

The GOP has Vance, Haley, Gabbard, DeSantis, and heck, maybe even Ramaswamy.

[asiseeit]

Please, PLEASE, let the Dems attach themselves to Harris and nominate she/her as the Dem candidate in 2028.

As of now the only Dem I feel is a threat would be Shapiro (sp?), having said that, I think your going to see the entire party abandon the far left and move to the middle

[shock]

Can we get a welfare check on the Almighty Cold? Perhaps some park bench somewhere?

He is recalibrating to the next troll.

[Atxshoxfan]

Can we get a welfare check on the Almighty Cold? Perhaps some park bench somewhere?

I think he's at St. Francis mental ward on suicide watch.

[RoyalShock]

Agreed this says more about the faux numbers from 2020 than it does about the numbers for 2024. Although, that is not even a consideration for Fake Yapper.

I'd also like to see 2020's state-by-state numbers compared to 2016 and 2024. If the increase is relatively distributed across all states, then MAYBE I can entertain the idea that real turnout was almost 20% higher in 2020, but I seriously doubt it.

[1972Shocker]

Given the outlier numbers from 2020's vote totals, this isn't a surprise.

Agreed this says more about the faux numbers from 2020 than it does about the numbers for 2024. Although, that is not even a consideration for Fake Yapper.

[RoyalShock]

One of the best moments of last night when the ENTIRE country goes dark:

Given the outlier numbers from 2020's vote totals, this isn't a surprise.

[Kung Wu]

One of the best moments of last night when the ENTIRE country goes dark:

[Kung Wu]

Please, PLEASE, let the Dems attach themselves to Harris and nominate she/her as the Dem candidate in 2028.

[Kung Wu]

Credit to WuDrWu post above, which didn't show the tweet for me.

And to a lesser degree, Trump's 2020 vote totals. There were clearly significant issues in 2020, a year when you'd have expected slightly lower turnout due to Covid.

In the long term, this turned out better for us. The Dems being a disaster will leave a nasty taste in people's mouths for a long time, and now we have a young Mr Vance waiting in the wings.

[asiseeit]

Good outline, thanks

[WuDrWu]

2026 Senate (one time, just for fun)

Should be locked tight for the GOP no matter what:

Idaho
Wyoming
South Dakota
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Mississippi
Alabama
West Virginia
Tennessee

Hard lean GOP depending on who is running....work to do but certainly more likely to stay GOP:

South Carolina
Nebraska
Louisiana
Montana
Ohio (not sure where this is going to fall as they will replace Vance in 2025)




Will be marked to flip by Dems and a tough fight:

Texas
Kentucky
Kansas
Alaska
Iowa
North Carolina
Maine


Races without a ton of concern for the Dems:

Oregon
Illinois
Delaware
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Massachusetts



Races where the wrong candidate could be vulnerable but still unlikely to flip:

Colorado
New Mexico
Michigan
Virginia
New Hampshire (should be competitive for the GOP but won't be)


Seats the Dems will have to defend vigorously:

Georgia



So it's really going to be 7 GOP seats up for grabs and just 1 DEM seat in doubt. Hopefully the GOP can hold on.

[asiseeit]

MSNBC and The View has been a whole lot of deliciousness this morning.

Morning Joe changing it's name to Mourning Joe

[shoxlax]

Republican leadership did a better job of preemptive damage control this year.

With the vote scrutiny that is.