FanDuel Question

[Kung Wu]

Two games today:

Kansas 7-9 +1000: $0.17
Kansas 3-6 +550: $0.21
Kansas 1-2 +850: $0.11
Texas Tech 1-2 +1100: $0.14
Texas Tech 3-6 +425: $0.26
Texas Tech 7-9 +750: $0.11
-100% ROI

Wake Forest 3-6 +850: $0.24
Wake Forest 1-2 +1400: $0.11
Duke 1-2 +1000: $0.10
Duke 3-6 +475: $0.22
Duke 7-9 +750: $0.16
Duke 10-13 +500: $0.17
+35% ROI

[shoxlax]

Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

[Kung Wu]

Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

I actually don't like gambling, but I love investing and finances. This is just a fun test to see if I can pull off algorithmic betting. I'm pretty close to putting zero of my own input in at this point.

[Kung Wu]

At this point I'm expecting to take an L on around 25% of these tests (maybe a little more). The question is can I get enough ROI out of the 75% hits to make up for the losses. Probably not, but that's the game.

[Kung Wu]

Interesting enough, the Kansas game tonight is the most even game my algorithm has predicted so far. This is what my algorithm spit out for the Kansas game tonight ...

Kansas, 14, Texas Tech, 38, 3.28 (9.2805, -9.7195)

That's saying that Kansas will win by 9.28 points or less and Texas Tech will win by 9.72 points or less, and there's about a 75% chance of this happening. I have never seen it be THAT even before. Of course there's a 25% chance that the final spread could be outside those bounds by a little or a lot.

[Kung Wu]

Today ...

Marquette 10-13 +600: $0.24
Marquette 7-9 +800: $0.11
Marquette 3-6 +500: $0.23
Marquette 1-2 +1100: $0.11
Butler 1-2 +1000: $0.14
Butler 3-6 +600: $0.17
+38% ROI

Iowa St. 7-9 +1000: $0.17
Iowa St. 3-6 +550: $0.21
Iowa St. 1-2 +900: $0.11
Cincinnati 1-2 +1000: $0.13
Cincinnati 3-6 +500: $0.27
Cincinnati 7-9 +900: $0.11
+70% ROI

New Mexico 7-9 +1100: $0.17
New Mexico 3-6 +600: $0.21
New Mexico 1-2 +950: $0.11
Nevada 1-2 +1200: $0.13
Nevada 3-6 +500: $0.27
Nevada 7-9 +850: $0.11
+15% ROI

Mississippi 1-2 +1400: $0.10
Kentucky 1-2 +1100: $0.16
Kentucky 3-6 +500: $0.20
Kentucky 7-9 +750: $0.16
Kentucky 10-13 +500: $0.27
Kentucky 14-16 +750: $0.11
+62% ROI

Colorado St. 3-6 +750: $0.23
Colorado St. 1-2 +1200: $0.11
San Diego St. 1-2 +1000: $0.10
San Diego St. 3-6 +475: $0.22
San Diego St. 7-9 +700: $0.17
San Diego St. 10-13 +550: $0.17
-100% ROI

Oklahoma 3-6 +850: $0.23
Oklahoma 1-2 +1300: $0.11
Baylor 1-2 +1100: $0.10
Baylor 3-6 +475: $0.22
Baylor 7-9 +700: $0.17
Baylor 10-13 +500: $0.17
-100% ROI

Pittsburgh 3-6 +750: $0.23
Pittsburgh 1-2 +1200: $0.11
Virginia 1-2 +1000: $0.10
Virginia 3-6 +475: $0.22
Virginia 7-9 +750: $0.17
Virginia 10-13 +550: $0.17
-100% ROI

[ShockerFever]

Interesting enough, the Kansas game tonight is the most even game my algorithm has predicted so far. This is what my algorithm spit out for the Kansas game tonight ...

Kansas, 14, Texas Tech, 38, 3.28 (9.2805, -9.7195)

That's saying that Kansas will win by 9.28 points or less and Texas Tech will win by 9.72 points or less, and there's about a 75% chance of this happening. I have never seen it be THAT even before. Of course there's a 25% chance that the final spread could be outside those bounds by a little or a lot.

Your algorithm might need recalibrating lol

[Kung Wu]

Your algorithm might need recalibrating lol

Maybe, but there was a 25% chance of either Texas Tech or KU getting beat by a little or a lot. We wouldn't know if it needs recalibrating unless they play that game several more times.

[Kung Wu]

BTW, I'd pay a dollar EVERY KU game, if it would help make them lose bigly! Thats entertainment funds! Lol

[Kung Wu]

Three games today (in a hurry so just listing ranges):

Xavier 1-9, Seton Hall 1-9

Miami FL 1-2, Clemson 1-16

Iowa 1-6, Maryland 1-13

[ShockerFever]

Gambling is hard.

[Kung Wu]

Three games today (in a hurry so just listing ranges):

Xavier 1-9, Seton Hall 1-9

Miami FL 1-2, Clemson 1-16

Iowa 1-6, Maryland 1-13

Fail, fail, fail.